MLB picks today: Friday's MLB best bets include Twins vs. Brewers play [8/7/2026]

Twins ML (+163)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 44.6%
• Matchup: Twins vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Twins to defeat Brewers at +163 odds. A 44.6% probability produces an edge of 6.6%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

Orioles vs. Rangers Over 7.5 runs (-113)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 59.5%
• Matchup: Orioles vs. Rangers (8:15PM ET)

Orioles vs. Rangers over 7.5 runs carries a 6.4% edge and a probability of 59.5% at -113 odds, according to our model.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Over 9.5 runs (+117)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 52.2%
• Matchup: Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks (9:40PM ET)

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Over 9.5 runs at +117 odds shows a 6.1% edge, supported by a 52.2% probability in simulations.

Twins vs. Brewers over 7.5 runs (-113)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 59%
• Matchup: Twins vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET)

A 6.0% edge and 59% probability make Twins vs. Brewers over 7.5 runs a value play in the Twins vs. Brewers matchup, per our model.

White Sox +1.5 (-130)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 61.6%
• Matchup: Guardians vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET)

White Sox +1.5 at -130 odds presents a 5.1% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 61.6%.

Diamondbacks ML (+170)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 41.9%
• Matchup: Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks (9:40PM ET)

Our model finds value on Diamondbacks to win at +170 odds, supported by an edge of 4.8%.

Athletics vs. Red Sox Over 8.5 runs (-117)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 58.8%
• Matchup: Athletics vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Athletics vs. Red Sox Over 8.5 runs at -117 odds. A 58.8% probability produces a 4.8% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

Athletics +1.5 (+117)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 50.9%
• Matchup: Athletics vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET)

A 4.8% edge on a 50.9% probability makes Athletics +1.5 at +117 odds a solid value play in today's Athletics vs. Red Sox matchup.

Braves vs. YankeesOver 8.5 runs (+108)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 52.6%
• Matchup: Braves vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)

Our model projects value on Over 8.5 runs at +108 odds. A 52.6% probability produces a 4.5% edge, making the Over the favorable side in today's matchup.

Athletics ML (+239)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 34%
• Matchup: Athletics vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Athletics to defeat Red Sox at +239 odds shows a 34% probability and a 4.5% edge.

MLB best bets summary: Friday, 8/7/2026

As of 4:31AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [8/7/2026]

• Blue Jays vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET, Friday)
• Mets vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET, Friday)
• Braves vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET, Friday)
• Athletics vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• Angels vs. Marlins (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• Guardians vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET, Friday)
• Twins vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET, Friday)
• Cubs vs. Royals (8:10PM ET, Friday)
• Orioles vs. Rangers (8:15PM ET, Friday)
• Rockies vs. Cardinals (8:15PM ET, Friday)
• Astros vs. Padres (9:40PM ET, Friday)
• Dodgers vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET, Friday)
• Rays vs. Mariners (9:45PM ET, Friday)

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for August 7, 2026, featuring plays such as Twins ML vs. Brewers and over 7.5 runs in the Orioles vs. Rangers matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.