MLB picks today: Friday's MLB best bets include Orioles vs. Rangers play [8/7/2026]
Get MLB picks today and best bets for Friday, August 7, 2026.

Today’s MLB picks for August 7, 2026 are here, with Orioles vs. Rangers and Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks among the top plays identified by our model across Friday’s MLB action.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, scanning the latest baseball odds to discover legitimate betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of MLB best bets today [8/7, updated 6:19PM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 MLB best bets, ranked by edge for Friday, August 7, 2026.
Orioles vs. Rangers Over 7.5 runs (+108)
- Edge: 11.4%
- Probability: 59.5%
- Matchup: Orioles vs. Rangers (8:15PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Over 7.5 runs in Orioles vs. Rangers at +108 odds. A 59.5% probability produces an edge of 11.4%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Over 8.5 runs (-117)
- Edge: 9.8%
- Probability: 63.8%
- Matchup: Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks (9:40PM ET)
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks over 8.5 runs carries a 9.8% edge and a probability of 63.8% at -117 odds, according to our model.
Braves vs. Yankees Over 8.5 runs (+117)
- Edge: 8.1%
- Probability: 54.2%
- Matchup: Braves vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)
Braves vs. Yankees Over 8.5 runs at +117 odds shows a 8.1% edge, supported by a 54.2% probability in simulations.
Twins vs. Brewers over 8.5 runs (+115)
- Edge: 7.8%
- Probability: 54.3%
- Matchup: Twins vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET)
A 7.8% edge and 54.3% probability make Twins vs. Brewers over 8.5 runs a value play in the Twins vs. Brewers matchup, per our model.
Blue Jays vs. Phillies Over 7.5 runs (-104)
- Edge: 6.9%
- Probability: 57.9%
- Matchup: Blue Jays vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET)
Blue Jays vs. Phillies Over 7.5 runs at -104 odds presents a 6.9% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 57.9%.
Athletics vs. Red Sox Over 8.5 runs (+100)
- Edge: 6.3%
- Probability: 56.3%
- Matchup: Athletics vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET)
Our model finds value on Over 8.5 runs in Athletics vs. Red Sox at +100 odds, supported by an edge of 6.3%.
Giants ML (+127)
- Edge: 6.1%
- Probability: 50.3%
- Matchup: Tigers vs. Giants (10:15PM ET)
Our model has uncovered value on Tigers-Giants to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at +127 odds. A 50.3% probability produces a 6.1% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.
Reds vs. Nationals Over 9 runs (+100)
- Edge: 5.8%
- Probability: 55.8%
- Matchup: Reds vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET)
A 5.8% edge on a 55.8% probability makes Over 9 runs at +100 odds a solid value play in today's Reds vs. Nationals matchup.
Twins ML (+163)
- Edge: 5.7%
- Probability: 44%
- Matchup: Twins vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET)
Our model projects value on Twins to win at +163 odds. A 44% probability produces a 5.7% edge, making Twins the favorable ML play in today's matchup.
Cubs vs. Royals Over 9.5 runs (+113)
- Edge: 5.1%
- Probability: 52%
- Matchup: Cubs vs. Royals (8:10PM ET)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Cubs vs. Royals Over 9.5 runs at +113 odds shows a 52% probability and a 5.1% edge.
MLB best bets summary: Friday, 8/7/2026
As of 6:19PM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles vs. Rangers | Over 7.5 runs | +108 @ Polymarket | 11.4% | 59.5% |
| Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks | Over 8.5 runs | -117 @ Polymarket | 9.8% | 63.8% |
| Braves vs. Yankees | Over 8.5 Runs | +117 @ Novig | 8.1% | 54.2% |
| Twins vs. Brewers | Over 8.5 runs | +115 @ Novig | 7.8% | 54.3% |
| Blue Jays vs. Phillies | Over 7.5 Runs | -104 @ Polymarket | 6.9% | 57.9% |
| Athletics vs. Red Sox | Over 8.5 Runs | +100 @ Novig | 6.3% | 56.3% |
| Tigers vs. Giants | Giants ML | +127 @ Novig | 6.1% | 50.3% |
| Reds vs. Nationals | Over 9 Runs | +100 @ BetRivers | 5.8% | 55.8% |
| Twins vs. Brewers | Twins ML | +163 @ Novig | 5.7% | 44% |
| Cubs vs. Royals | Over 9.5 Runs | +113 @ Polymarket | 5.1% | 52% |
List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [8/7/2026]
- Blue Jays vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET, Friday)
- Mets vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET, Friday)
- Reds vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET, Friday)
- Braves vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET, Friday)
- Athletics vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET, Friday)
- Angels vs. Marlins (7:10PM ET, Friday)
- Guardians vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET, Friday)
- Twins vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET, Friday)
- Cubs vs. Royals (8:10PM ET, Friday)
- Orioles vs. Rangers (8:15PM ET, Friday)
- Rockies vs. Cardinals (8:15PM ET, Friday)
- Astros vs. Padres (9:40PM ET, Friday)
- Dodgers vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET, Friday)
- Rays vs. Mariners (9:45PM ET, Friday)
- Tigers vs. Giants (10:15PM ET, Friday)
- Braves vs. Yankees (3:05PM ET, Saturday)
- Angels vs. Marlins (4:10PM ET, Saturday)
- Athletics vs. Red Sox (4:10PM ET, Saturday)
- Blue Jays vs. Phillies (6:05PM ET, Saturday)
Conclusion
Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for August 7, 2026, featuring plays such as over 7.5 runs in the Orioles vs. Rangers matchup and over 8.5 runs in the Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.



