Brewers vs. Cardinals prediction: Milwaukee favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [7/9/2026]

The St. Louis Cardinals will face the Milwaukee Brewers, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at Busch Stadium on Thursday, commencing at 7:45 PM ET.

The Cardinals will have Andre Pallante (10-5, 3.60 ERA) as their starting pitcher, pitting him against Logan Henderson (2-1, 2.74 ERA) for the Brewers.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Brewers a slight edge with a 54.7% win probability over the Cardinals.

This article offers further insights into Thursday's Brewers vs. Cardinals matchup, including best bets and picks.

Brewers vs. Cardinals prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's MLB matchup between the Brewers and Cardinals, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Brewers a 54.7% chance of beating the Cardinals.

According to our model, the Cardinals (+1.5) have a 57.7% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 53.6% chance of going over,.

Brewers vs. Cardinals odds [7/9/2026]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Brewers	Cardinals
Run Line	-1.5 (+144)	+1.5 (-144)
Moneyline	-113	+116
Total	o8.5 (+108)	u8.5 (-113)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Brewers vs. Cardinals picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Run Line	Brewers -1.5	polymarket+144
Moneyline	Brewers	polymarket-113
Total	Over 8.5	polymarket+108

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Brewers vs. Cardinals game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's MLB matchup between the Cardinals and Brewers at Busch Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:45 PM ET.

• Who: Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
• Date: Thursday, July 9, 2026
• Time: 7:45 PM ET/4:45PM PT
• Venue: Busch Stadium

Conclusion

We predict the Brewers, with a 54.7% win probability, will likely beat the Cardinals in Thursday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.