Brewers vs. Mets prediction: Milwaukee favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [8/27/2026]
Get Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets predictions for MLB Thursday.

The New York Mets will face the Milwaukee Brewers in MLB action at Citi Field on Thursday, commencing at 7:10 PM ET.
The Mets will send Sean Manaea (4-5, 4.31 ERA) to the mound, while the Brewers will counter with Jacob Misiorowski (13-5, 1.68 ERA).
Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Brewers as the most likely winner in this Brewers vs. Mets prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
For more, dive into Jacob Misiorowski's projected pitching stats.
Brewers vs. Mets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Brewers a 55.7% chance of defeating the Mets.
According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 58.0% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 51.8% chance of going over.
Brewers vs. Mets odds [8/27/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Brewers -1.5 (+104) / Mets +1.5 (-104)
- Moneyline: Brewers -185, Mets +184
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Brewers vs. Mets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Mets +1.5 @ -104 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Mets @ +184 via DraftKings
- Total: Over 7.5 @ +120 via DraftKings
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mets to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Brewers vs. Mets game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's MLB game between the Mets and Brewers at Citi Field is scheduled to commence at 7:10 PM ET.
- Who: Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets
- Date: Thursday, August 27, 2026
- Time: 7:10 PM ET/4:10PM PT
- Venue: Citi Field
Conclusion
We predict the Brewers, with a 55.7% win probability, will likely beat the Mets in Thursday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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