Sep 3, 2026
White Sox vs. Astros prediction: Houston favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [9/3/2026]
Read Article Brewers vs. Cubs prediction: Why Cubs are favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [9/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Dimers' simulation model projects a 53.5% win probability for the Cubs at Wrigley Field.
The Chicago Cubs and Milwaukee Brewers are scheduled to meet in MLB action at Wrigley Field on Thursday, starting at 7:15 PM ET.
Kevin Gausman (8-11, 4.52 ERA) will get the ball for the Cubs, up against Logan Henderson (9-2, 2.48 ERA) for the Brewers.
Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Cubs a slight edge with a 53.5% win probability over the Brewers.
This article offers a complete Brewers vs. Cubs prediction, including best bets and picks.
Brewers vs. Cubs prediction and odds
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's MLB matchup between the Brewers and Cubs, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Cubs a 53.5% chance of defeating the Brewers.
According to our model, the Cubs (+1.5) have a 65.2% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 53.4% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Brewers -1.5 (+156) / Cubs +1.5 (-156)
- Moneyline: Brewers -108, Cubs +104
- Total: Over/Under 8.5 (+104/-106)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Cubs +1.5 @ 61¢ via Polymarket
- Moneyline: Cubs @ 49¢ via Novig
- Total: Over 8.5 @ 49¢ via Novig
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Cubs to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first pitch details
Thursday's MLB matchup between the Cubs and Brewers at Wrigley Field is scheduled to commence at 7:15 PM ET.
- Who: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs
- Date: Thursday, September 3, 2026
- Time: 7:15 PM ET/4:15PM PT
- Venue: Wrigley Field
Conclusion
We predict the Cubs, with a 53.5% win probability, will likely beat the Brewers in Thursday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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