Jul 22, 2026
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Read Article Dodgers vs. Phillies prediction: Why Philadelphia is favored to win Tuesday's MLB matchup [7/21/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies predictions for MLB Tuesday.
MLB action continues on Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET as the Los Angeles Dodgers lock horns with the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.
Zack Wheeler (10-1, 2.13 ERA) will be the starting pitcher for the Phillies, pitting him against Justin Wrobleski (10-2, 2.69 ERA) for the Dodgers.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Phillies a slight edge with a 51.7% win probability over the Dodgers.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's Dodgers vs. Phillies matchup, including best bets and picks.
Dodgers vs. Phillies prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's MLB matchup between the Dodgers and Phillies, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Phillies a 51.7% chance of defeating the Dodgers.
According to our model, the Dodgers (+1.5) have a 63.4% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 57.7% chance of going over,.
Dodgers vs. Phillies odds [7/21/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Dodgers | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-190) | -1.5 (+163) |
| Moneyline | +106 | -106 |
| Total | o8.5 (-118) | u8.5 (+117) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Dodgers vs. Phillies picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Phillies -1.5 | +163 |
| Moneyline | Phillies | -106 |
| Total | Over 8.5 | -118 |
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Dodgers vs. Phillies game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's MLB action between the Phillies and Dodgers at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to commence at 6:40 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- Date: Tuesday, July 21, 2026
- Time: 6:40 PM ET/3:40PM PT
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
Conclusion
We predict the Phillies, with a 51.7% win probability, will likely beat the Dodgers in Tuesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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