Dodgers vs. Yankees prediction: Yankees favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [7/17/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees predictions for MLB Friday.

Los Angeles Dodgers-New York Yankees Predictions and Game Preview.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees MLB prediction for Friday, July 17, 2026.

The New York Yankees will take on the Los Angeles Dodgers, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at Yankee Stadium on Friday, starting at 7:05 PM ET.

The Yankees will start Gerrit Cole (3-4, 4.04 ERA), up against Roki Sasaki (3-5, 5.33 ERA) for the Dodgers.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Yankees a slight edge with a 50.3% win probability over the Dodgers.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's Dodgers vs. Yankees matchup, including best bets and picks.

Dodgers vs. Yankees prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's MLB game between the Dodgers and Yankees, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Yankees a 50.3% chance of beating the Dodgers.

According to our model, the Yankees (+1.5) have a 61.2% chance of covering the run line, while the 9.5-run over/under has a 54.6% chance of going over,.

 

Dodgers vs. Yankees odds [7/17/2026]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Dodgers Yankees
Run Line -1.5 (+146) +1.5 (-160)
Moneyline -104 +100
Total o9.5 (+113) u9.5 (-117)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Dodgers vs. Yankees picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Run Line Yankees +1.5 -160
Moneyline Yankees +100
Total Over 9.5 hard_rock+113

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9.5 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Dodgers vs. Yankees game-day updates and essential details

Friday's MLB game between the Yankees and Dodgers at Yankee Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:05 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Yankees, with a 50.3% win probability, will likely beat the Dodgers in Friday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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