Dodgers vs. Marlins prediction: Why Dodgers are favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [9/11/2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 66.1% win probability for the Dodgers at loanDepot park.

The Miami Marlins will take on the favored Los Angeles Dodgers in MLB action at loanDepot park on Friday, starting at 7:10 PM ET.
Ryan Gusto (1-4, 4.23 ERA) will be on the bump for the Marlins, pitting him against Blake Snell (3-1, 1.97 ERA) for the Dodgers.
Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Dodgers as the most likely winner in this Dodgers vs. Marlins prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Dodgers vs. Marlins prediction and odds
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Dodgers a 66.1% chance of beating the Marlins. According to our model, the Dodgers (-1.5) have a 53.6% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 56.4% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Dodgers -1.5 (-108) / Marlins +1.5 (+104)
- Moneyline: Dodgers -203, Marlins +200
- Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-104/+100)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Dodgers -1.5 @ 52¢ via Novig
- Moneyline: Marlins @ +200 via bet365
- Total: Over 7.5 @ 51¢ via Novig
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first pitch details
Friday's MLB action between the Marlins and Dodgers at loanDepot park is scheduled to commence at 7:10 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins
- Date: Friday, September 11, 2026
- Time: 7:10 PM ET/4:10PM PT
- Venue: loanDepot park
Conclusion
We predict the Dodgers, with a 66.1% win probability, will likely beat the Marlins in Friday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLB prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.




