Sep 14, 2026
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Read Article Dodgers vs. Reds prediction: Why Dodgers are favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [9/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Dimers' simulation model projects a 64.6% win probability for the Dodgers at Great American Ball Park.
The Cincinnati Reds and Los Angeles Dodgers will lock horns in MLB action at Great American Ball Park on Monday, starting at 6:40 PM ET.
The Reds will start Nick Lodolo (3-4, 5.12 ERA), pitting him against Tarik Skubal (9-7, 2.84 ERA) for the Dodgers.
Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Dodgers as the most likely winner in this Dodgers vs. Reds prediction.
This article offers further insights into Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
For more, dive into Tarik Skubal's projected pitching stats.
Dodgers vs. Reds prediction and odds
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Monday's MLB game between the Dodgers and Reds, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Dodgers a 64.6% chance of beating the Reds. According to our model, the Dodgers (-1.5) have a 53.0% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 58.1% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Dodgers -1.5 (-121) / Reds +1.5 (+117)
- Moneyline: Dodgers -205, Reds +203
- Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-106/+108)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Reds +1.5 @ 46¢ via Novig
- Moneyline: Reds @ 33¢ via Novig
- Total: Over 7.5 @ 51¢ via Novig
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first pitch details
Monday's MLB action between the Reds and Dodgers at Great American Ball Park is scheduled to begin at 6:40 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds
- Date: Monday, September 14, 2026
- Time: 6:40 PM ET/3:40PM PT
- Venue: Great American Ball Park
Conclusion
We predict the Dodgers, with a 64.6% win probability, will likely beat the Reds in Monday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLB prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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