Angels vs. Red Sox prediction: Boston favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [9/9/2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 64.4% win probability for the Red Sox at Fenway Park.

The Boston Red Sox and Los Angeles Angels will meet in MLB action at Fenway Park on Wednesday, starting at 6:45 PM ET.
The Red Sox will start Jake Bennett (9-6, 3.34 ERA), pitting him against Ryan Johnson (3-8, 5.17 ERA) for the Angels.
Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Red Sox as the most likely winner in this Angels vs. Red Sox prediction.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Angels vs. Red Sox prediction and odds
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Red Sox a 64.4% chance of defeating the Angels.
According to our model, the Angels (+1.5) have a 51.9% chance of covering the run line, while the 9.5-run over/under has a 51.5% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Angels +1.5 (-106) / Red Sox -1.5 (+104)
- Moneyline: Angels +194, Red Sox -199
- Total: Over/Under 9.5 (+108/-113)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Angels +1.5 @ 51¢ via Novig
- Moneyline: Angels @ 34¢ via Novig
- Total: Over 9.5 @ 48¢ via Novig
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first pitch details
Wednesday's MLB game between the Red Sox and Angels at Fenway Park is scheduled to commence at 6:45 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox
- Date: Wednesday, September 9, 2026
- Time: 6:45 PM ET/3:45PM PT
- Venue: Fenway Park
Conclusion
We predict the Red Sox, with a 64.4% win probability, will likely beat the Angels in Wednesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.




