Astros vs. Giants prediction: Houston favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [8/10/2026]
Get Houston Astros vs San Francisco Giants predictions for MLB Monday.
The San Francisco Giants will square off with the Houston Astros, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at Oracle Park on Monday, beginning at 9:45 PM ET.
Blade Tidwell (0-0, 3.18 ERA) will start for the Giants, while the Astros have opted for Hayden Wesneski (2-0, 3.86 ERA).
Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Astros a slight edge with a 54.5% win probability over the Giants.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's Astros vs. Giants matchup, including best bets and picks.
Astros vs. Giants prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Astros a 54.5% chance of beating the Giants.
According to our model, the Giants (+1.5) have a 57.9% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 51.5% chance of staying under,.
Astros vs. Giants odds [8/10/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Astros -1.5 (+122) / Giants +1.5 (-125)
- Moneyline: Astros -138, Giants +137
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Astros vs. Giants picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Giants +1.5 @ -125 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Giants @ +137 via DraftKings
- Total: Over 8.5 @ +108 via Novig
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Giants to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Astros vs. Giants game-day updates and essential details
Monday's MLB game between the Giants and Astros at Oracle Park is scheduled to start at 9:45 PM ET.
- Who: Houston Astros vs. San Francisco Giants
- Date: Monday, August 10, 2026
- Time: 9:45 PM ET/6:45PM PT
- Venue: Oracle Park
Conclusion
We predict the Astros, with a 54.5% win probability, will likely beat the Giants in Monday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
