Aug 29, 2026
Phillies vs. Angels prediction: Philadelphia favored to win Saturday's MLB matchup [8/29/2026]
Read Article Astros vs. Mets prediction: Mets favored to win Saturday's MLB matchup [8/29/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Houston Astros vs New York Mets predictions for MLB Saturday.
The New York Mets will face the Houston Astros in MLB action at Citi Field on Saturday, commencing at 4:10 PM ET.
Nolan McLean (9-8, 3.21 ERA) will get the ball for the Mets, while the Astros will counter with Bennett Sousa (1-3, 6.27 ERA).
Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Mets as the most likely winner in this Astros vs. Mets prediction.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Astros vs. Mets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLB game between the Astros and Mets, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Mets a 56.8% chance of defeating the Astros.
According to our model, the Astros (+1.5) have a 60.6% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 50.2% chance of staying under.
Astros vs. Mets odds [8/29/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Astros +1.5 (-150) / Mets -1.5 (+150)
- Moneyline: Astros +147, Mets -142
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Astros vs. Mets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Astros +1.5 @ -150 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Astros @ +147 via Novig
- Total: Over 8.5 @ +117 via Polymarket
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Astros vs. Mets game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's MLB game between the Mets and Astros at Citi Field is scheduled to begin at 4:10 PM ET.
- Who: Houston Astros vs. New York Mets
- Date: Saturday, August 29, 2026
- Time: 4:10 PM ET/1:10PM PT
- Venue: Citi Field
Conclusion
We predict the Mets, with a 56.8% win probability, will likely beat the Astros in Saturday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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