Sep 16, 2026
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Read Article Tigers vs. Blue Jays prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [9/16/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Dimers' simulation model projects a 54.3% win probability for the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre.
The Toronto Blue Jays and Detroit Tigers will lock horns in MLB action at Rogers Centre on Wednesday, starting at 3:07 PM ET.
The Blue Jays will have Max Scherzer (2-8, 6.38 ERA) as their starting pitcher, up against Keider Montero (9-8, 3.55 ERA) for the Tigers.
Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Blue Jays a slight edge with a 54.3% win probability over the Tigers.
This article offers a complete Tigers vs. Blue Jays prediction, including best bets and picks.
Tigers vs. Blue Jays prediction and odds
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Wednesday's MLB game between the Tigers and Blue Jays, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Blue Jays a 54.3% chance of beating the Tigers. According to our model, the Blue Jays (+1.5) have a 58.1% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 54.0% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Tigers -1.5 (+170) / Blue Jays +1.5 (-200)
- Moneyline: Tigers +117, Blue Jays -117
- Total: Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-102)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Tigers -1.5 @ +170 via BetRivers
- Moneyline: Blue Jays @ 54¢ via Novig
- Total: Over 8.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Tigers -1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first pitch details
Wednesday's MLB action between the Blue Jays and Tigers at Rogers Centre is scheduled to start at 3:07 PM ET.
- Who: Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays
- Date: Wednesday, September 16, 2026
- Time: 3:07 PM ET/12:07PM PT
- Venue: Rogers Centre
Conclusion
We predict the Blue Jays, with a 54.3% win probability, will likely beat the Tigers in Wednesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLB prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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