Tigers vs. Twins prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [9/2/2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 53.1% win probability for the Twins at Target Field.

The Minnesota Twins will take on the Detroit Tigers, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at Target Field on Wednesday, beginning at 7:40 PM ET.
The Twins will start Dean Kremer (2-5, 5.60 ERA), pitting him against Drew Anderson (4-5, 3.87 ERA) for the Tigers.
Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Twins a slight edge with a 53.1% win probability over the Tigers.
This article offers a complete Tigers vs. Twins prediction, including best bets and picks.
Tigers vs. Twins prediction and odds
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Twins a 53.1% chance of beating the Tigers.
According to our model, the Twins (+1.5) have a 64.4% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 58.0% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Tigers -1.5 (+170) / Twins +1.5 (-174)
- Moneyline: Tigers +105, Twins -106
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Twins +1.5 @ 64¢ via Novig
- Moneyline: Twins @ 51¢ via Novig
- Total: Over 8.5 @ 51¢ via Novig
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first pitch details
Wednesday's MLB matchup between the Twins and Tigers at Target Field is scheduled to begin at 7:40 PM ET.
- Who: Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins
- Date: Wednesday, September 2, 2026
- Time: 7:40 PM ET/4:40PM PT
- Venue: Target Field
Conclusion
We predict the Twins, with a 53.1% win probability, will likely beat the Tigers in Wednesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.




