Rockies vs. Tigers prediction: Detroit favored to win Saturday's MLB matchup [9/12/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Dimers' simulation model projects a 61.4% win probability for the Tigers at Comerica Park.

The Colorado Rockies take on the Detroit Tigers in MLB action.
Colorado Rockies vs. Detroit Tigers MLB prediction for Saturday, September 12, 2026.

The Detroit Tigers and Colorado Rockies will meet in MLB action at Comerica Park on Saturday, starting at 1:10 PM ET.

The Tigers will have Andrew Sears (0-1, 4.38 ERA) as their starting pitcher, pitting him against Tanner Gordon (1-4, 5.40 ERA) for the Rockies.

Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Tigers as the most likely winner in this Rockies vs. Tigers prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Rockies vs. Tigers prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLB matchup between the Rockies and Tigers, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Tigers a 61.4% chance of beating the Rockies. According to our model, the Rockies (+1.5) have a 56.9% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 54.7% chance of going over.

 

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Run Line: Rockies +1.5 (-137) / Tigers -1.5 (+133)
  • Moneyline: Rockies +150, Tigers -156
  • Total: Over/Under 8.5 (+100/+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Run line: Tigers -1.5 @ 43¢ via Novig
  • Moneyline: Tigers @ 61¢ via Novig
  • Total: Over 8.5 @ 50¢ via Novig

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first pitch details

Saturday's MLB game between the Tigers and Rockies at Comerica Park is scheduled to start at 1:10 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Tigers, with a 61.4% win probability, will likely beat the Rockies in Saturday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLB prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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