Sep 13, 2026
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Read Article Reds vs. Brewers prediction: Why Milwaukee is favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [9/13/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Dimers' simulation model projects a 60.3% win probability for the Brewers at American Family Field.
MLB action continues on Sunday at 2:10 PM ET as the Cincinnati Reds square off with the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field.
Robert Gasser (4-5, 4.43 ERA) will be on the bump for the Brewers, while the Reds are going with Chase Burns (15-3, 2.73 ERA).
Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Brewers as the most likely winner in this Reds vs. Brewers prediction.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
For more, dive into Chase Burns' projected pitching stats.
Reds vs. Brewers prediction and odds
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's MLB game between the Reds and Brewers, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Brewers a 60.3% chance of defeating the Reds. According to our model, the Reds (+1.5) have a 57.3% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 50.1% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Reds +1.5 (-122) / Brewers -1.5 (+117)
- Moneyline: Reds +178, Brewers -182
- Total: Over/Under 8.5 (+111/-113)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Reds +1.5 @ 55¢ via Novig
- Moneyline: Reds @ 36¢ via Novig
- Total: Over 8.5 @ 47¢ via Novig
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Reds to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first pitch details
Sunday's MLB action between the Brewers and Reds at American Family Field is scheduled to start at 2:10 PM ET.
- Who: Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers
- Date: Sunday, September 13, 2026
- Time: 2:10 PM ET/11:10AM PT
- Venue: American Family Field
Conclusion
We predict the Brewers, with a 60.3% win probability, will likely beat the Reds in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLB prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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