Sep 11, 2026
Dodgers vs. Marlins prediction: Why Dodgers are favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [9/11/2026]
Read Article Reds vs. Brewers prediction: Why Milwaukee is favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [9/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Dimers' simulation model projects a 60.7% win probability for the Brewers at American Family Field.
The Milwaukee Brewers and Cincinnati Reds will meet in MLB action at American Family Field on Friday, starting at 7:45 PM ET.
The Brewers will have Dustin May (6-9, 4.69 ERA) as their starting pitcher, pitting him against Andrew Abbott (6-10, 4.43 ERA) for the Reds.
Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Brewers as the most likely winner in this Reds vs. Brewers prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Reds vs. Brewers prediction and odds
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Friday's MLB game between the Reds and Brewers, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Brewers a 60.7% chance of defeating the Reds. According to our model, the Reds (+1.5) have a 57.7% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 57.6% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Reds +1.5 (-133) / Brewers -1.5 (+135)
- Moneyline: Reds +163, Brewers -167
- Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-113/+108)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Reds +1.5 @ 57¢ via Polymarket
- Moneyline: Reds @ 38¢ via Polymarket
- Total: Over 7.5 @ -113 via BetRivers
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first pitch details
Friday's MLB game between the Brewers and Reds at American Family Field is scheduled to start at 7:45 PM ET.
- Who: Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers
- Date: Friday, September 11, 2026
- Time: 7:45 PM ET/4:45PM PT
- Venue: American Family Field
Conclusion
We predict the Brewers, with a 60.7% win probability, will likely beat the Reds in Friday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLB prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.
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