Reds vs. Diamondbacks prediction: Why Arizona is favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [8/23/2026]
Get Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks predictions for MLB Sunday.

The Arizona Diamondbacks and Cincinnati Reds will lock horns in MLB action at Chase Field on Sunday, starting at 4:15 PM ET.
Mitch Bratt (1-2, 4.17 ERA) will start for the Diamondbacks, up against Andrew Abbott (6-8, 4.07 ERA) for the Reds.
Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Diamondbacks as the most likely winner in this Reds vs. Diamondbacks prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Reds vs. Diamondbacks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Diamondbacks a 56.7% chance of beating the Reds.
According to our model, the Reds (+1.5) have a 59.8% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 62.9% chance of going over.
Reds vs. Diamondbacks odds [8/23/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Reds +1.5 (-167) / Diamondbacks -1.5 (+163)
- Moneyline: Reds +125, Diamondbacks -127
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Reds vs. Diamondbacks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Diamondbacks -1.5 @ +163 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Diamondbacks @ -127 via Novig
- Total: Over 8.5 @ -115 via Novig
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Reds vs. Diamondbacks game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's MLB matchup between the Diamondbacks and Reds at Chase Field is scheduled to commence at 4:15 PM ET.
- Who: Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- Date: Sunday, August 23, 2026
- Time: 4:15 PM ET/1:15PM PT
- Venue: Chase Field
Conclusion
We predict the Diamondbacks, with a 56.7% win probability, will likely beat the Reds in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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