Red Sox vs. Pirates prediction: Why Boston is favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [8/14/2026]
Get Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates predictions for MLB Friday.
The Pittsburgh Pirates will square off with the Boston Red Sox, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at PNC Park on Friday, starting at 6:40 PM ET.
The Pirates will start Bubba Chandler (5-8, 4.26 ERA), up against Jake Bennett (7-5, 3.17 ERA) for the Red Sox.
Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Red Sox a slight edge with a 51.1% win probability over the Pirates.
This article offers a complete Red Sox vs. Pirates prediction, including best bets and picks.
Red Sox vs. Pirates prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Red Sox a 51.1% chance of defeating the Pirates.
According to our model, the Pirates (+1.5) have a 61.1% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 52.6% chance of going over,.
Red Sox vs. Pirates odds [8/14/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Red Sox -1.5 (+145) / Pirates +1.5 (-150)
- Moneyline: Red Sox -113, Pirates +112
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Red Sox vs. Pirates picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Pirates +1.5 @ -150 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Pirates @ +112 via DraftKings
- Total: Over 8.5 @ +113 via Polymarket
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Red Sox vs. Pirates game-day updates and essential details
Friday's MLB matchup between the Pirates and Red Sox at PNC Park is scheduled to commence at 6:40 PM ET.
- Who: Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
- Date: Friday, August 14, 2026
- Time: 6:40 PM ET/3:40PM PT
- Venue: PNC Park
Conclusion
We predict the Red Sox, with a 51.1% win probability, will likely beat the Pirates in Friday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
