Red Sox vs. Marlins prediction: Why Boston is favored to win Tuesday's MLB matchup [8/25/2026]
Get Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins predictions for MLB Tuesday.

The Miami Marlins will face the Boston Red Sox in MLB action at loanDepot park on Tuesday, commencing at 6:40 PM ET.
The Marlins will start Tyler Phillips (3-6, 3.67 ERA), up against Payton Tolle (8-6, 3.08 ERA) for the Red Sox.
Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Red Sox as the most likely winner in this Red Sox vs. Marlins prediction.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Red Sox vs. Marlins prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model gives the Red Sox a 59.0% chance of beating the Marlins.
According to our model, the Marlins (+1.5) have a 53.7% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 58.3% chance of going over.
Red Sox vs. Marlins odds [8/25/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Red Sox -1.5 (+113) / Marlins +1.5 (-113)
- Moneyline: Red Sox -150, Marlins +147
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Red Sox vs. Marlins picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Marlins +1.5 @ -113 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Marlins @ +147 via DraftKings
- Total: Over 7.5 @ -106 via Novig
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Red Sox vs. Marlins game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's MLB action between the Marlins and Red Sox at loanDepot park is scheduled to begin at 6:40 PM ET.
- Who: Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins
- Date: Tuesday, August 25, 2026
- Time: 6:40 PM ET/3:40PM PT
- Venue: loanDepot park
Conclusion
We predict the Red Sox, with a 59.0% win probability, will likely beat the Marlins in Tuesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Continue reading with Dimers Pro
Join now to unlock this article and get full access to our predictions and betting tools. Cancel anytime.
Full football season covered
NFL + College Football
One payment. Renews in 6 months.
Your Pro access is locked in for 6 months. Cancel or pause anytime.
Access to every sport, all season long.
Everything in Dimers Pro - not just football



