Orioles vs. Mets prediction: Mets favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [9/14/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Monday's MLB game between the Orioles and Mets, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Mets a 58.0% chance of defeating the Orioles. According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 60.0% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Run Line: Orioles -1.5 (+168) / Mets +1.5 (-200)
• Moneyline: Orioles +113, Mets -115
• Total: Over/Under 8.5 (+115/-117)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Run line: Orioles -1.5 @ +168 via FanDuel
• Moneyline: Mets @ 53¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 8.5 @ 47¢ via Novig

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mets to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first pitch details

Monday's MLB action between the Mets and Orioles at Citi Field is scheduled to begin at 7:10 PM ET.

• Who: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets
• Date: Monday, September 14, 2026
• Time: 7:10 PM ET/4:10PM PT
• Venue: Citi Field

Conclusion

We predict the Mets, with a 58.0% win probability, will likely beat the Orioles in Monday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLB prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.