Aug 31, 2026
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Read Article Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox prediction: Boston favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [8/17/2026]
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Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Arizona Diamondbacks vs Boston Red Sox predictions for MLB Monday.
The Boston Red Sox and Arizona dbacks will lock horns in MLB action at Fenway Park on Monday, starting at 7:10 PM ET.
The Red Sox will send Alec Gamboa (0-0, 1.59 ERA) to the mound, pitting him against Mitch Bratt (1-1, 3.74 ERA) for the Diamondbacks.
Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Red Sox a slight edge with a 51.9% win probability over the Diamondbacks.
This article offers a complete Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox prediction, including best bets and picks.
Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's MLB game between the Diamondbacks and Red Sox, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Red Sox a 51.9% chance of beating the Diamondbacks.
According to our model, the Diamondbacks (+1.5) have a 63.8% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 57.1% chance of going over,.
Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox odds [8/17/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Diamondbacks +1.5 (-160) / Red Sox -1.5 (+156)
- Moneyline: Diamondbacks +127, Red Sox -127
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Diamondbacks +1.5 @ -160 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Diamondbacks @ +127 via Novig
- Total: Over 8.5 @ -113 via Novig
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Diamondbacks to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox game-day updates and essential details
Monday's MLB action between the Red Sox and Diamondbacks at Fenway Park is scheduled to start at 7:10 PM ET.
- Who: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox
- Date: Monday, August 17, 2026
- Time: 7:10 PM ET/4:10PM PT
- Venue: Fenway Park
Conclusion
We predict the Red Sox, with a 51.9% win probability, will likely beat the Diamondbacks in Monday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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