Necaxa vs. Tigres UANL Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Necaxa vs. Tigres UANL Liga MX match on September 5, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Necaxa
1
:
1
Estadio Universitario
Tigres UANL
Estadio Universitario
Tigres UANLUANL
Score Summary
NecaxaNEC
R. Aguirre (40')
Soccer ball icon
O. Gonzalez (12')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Tigres UANL
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Necaxa
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: I. Galvan replaces D. Lainez
  2. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: E. Rodriguez replaces J. Ruiz
  3. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: D. Leyva replaces L. Faravelli
  4. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: A. Pena replaces R. Martinez
  5. 65'
    Yellow Card
    P. Pedraza (Necaxa) cautioned
  6. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: J. P. Torres Patino replaces M. Espindola
  7. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: D. A. Sanchez Guevara replaces R. Monreal
  8. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: C. Araujo replaces Simeone
  9. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: K. Rosero replaces O. Gonzalez
  10. 40'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Tigres UANL by R. Aguirre, assisted by J. Brunetta
    1-1
  11. 35'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: M. Lainez replaces F. I. Ordonez Delgado
  12. 25'
    Yellow Card
    N. Guzman (Tigres UANL) cautioned
  13. 24'
    Penalty missed by J. Carranza for Necaxa
  14. 21'
    Yellow Card
    O. Gonzalez (Necaxa) cautioned
  15. 19'
    Yellow Card
    R. Monreal (Tigres UANL) cautioned
  16. 12'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Necaxa by O. Gonzalez
    1-0
  17. 5'
    Yellow Card
    F. I. Ordonez Delgado (Tigres UANL) cautioned

Necaxa vs. Tigres UANL: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Necaxa vs. Tigres UANL
  • Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Universitario

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Necaxa +430, Tigres UANL -165, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-134/+110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Necaxa: 16.7%
  • Tigres UANL: 63.3%
  • Draw: 20.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Necaxa 0-2 Tigres UANL (9.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Necaxa vs. Tigres UANL? Prediction & correct score

Tigres UANL is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 63.3%.

The most likely correct score is Necaxa 0-2 Tigres UANL.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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