Pumas UNAM vs. Mazatlan Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Pumas UNAM vs. Mazatlan Liga MX match on September 12, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Pumas UNAM
4
1
Sep 12, 11:00 PM ET Estadio El Encanto (Mazatlán)
Mazatlan
Sep 12, 11:00 PM ET Estadio El Encanto (Mazatlán)
MazatlanMAZ
Score Summary
Pumas UNAMUNAM
Fabio Gomes (45')
Soccer ball icon
G. Martinez (pen.) (11')
Soccer ball icon
G. Martinez (45')
Soccer ball icon
A. Medina (90')
Soccer ball icon
J. Macias (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mazatlan
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Pumas UNAM
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by A. Medina, assisted by J. Macias
3-1
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by J. Macias (pen.)
4-1
83'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: J. Macias replaces G. Martinez
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: M. Lainez replaces M. Zaleta
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: J. Esquivel replaces J. Sierra
76'
Yellow Card
J. Esquivel (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
75'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Medina replaces J. Ruvalcaba
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: I. Gonzalez replaces O. F. Moreno Villegas
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: A. Duarte replaces S. Fierro
60'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Carrasquilla replaces A. Ramsey
60'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Angulo replaces R. Lopez
59'
Yellow Card
J. Caicedo (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
57'
Penalty missed by N. Benedetti for Mazatlan FC
54'
Yellow Card
Nathan Silva (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: Y. Barcenas replaces Dudu
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by G. Martinez, assisted by J. Ruvalcaba
2-0
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by Fabio Gomes, assisted by O. F. Moreno Villegas
2-1
30'
Yellow Card
S. Trigos (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
18'
Yellow Card
P. Bennevendo (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
14'
Yellow Card
G. Martinez (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
11'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by G. Martinez (pen.)
1-0
9'
Yellow Card
F. Almada (Mazatlan FC) cautioned

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Pumas UNAM vs. Mazatlan: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Pumas UNAM vs. Mazatlan
  • Date: Friday, September 12, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio El Encanto

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Pumas UNAM +120, Mazatlan +250, draw +230
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+118/-144)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Pumas UNAM: 44.1%
  • Mazatlan: 27.3%
  • Draw: 28.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Pumas UNAM 1-0 Mazatlan (14.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Pumas UNAM vs. Mazatlan? Prediction & correct score

Pumas UNAM is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 44.1%.

The most likely correct score is Pumas UNAM 1-0 Mazatlan.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

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