Athletic Bilbao vs. Sevilla prediction, odds, La Liga picks [8/22/2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's La Liga match between Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 51.8% chance of Athletic Bilbao winning, a 22.3% chance for Sevilla, and a 25.9% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 56.0% chance of staying under, with a 53.8% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.

Athletic Bilbao vs. Sevilla odds

We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Sevilla +475, Athletic Bilbao -135

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Athletic Bilbao vs. Sevilla picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Sevilla @ +475 via DraftKings
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ +125 via DraftKings

According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sevilla to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Athletic Bilbao vs. Sevilla: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Athletic Bilbao win being the most probable:

• Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Sevilla (13.6% probability)
• Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Sevilla (12.2%)
• Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Sevilla (10.3%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 46.2% chance of both Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla finding the net and a 53.8% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Athletic Bilbao vs. Sevilla game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's la-liga action between Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla is scheduled to commence in the United States at 11:00 AM ET.

• Who: Athletic Bilbao vs. Sevilla
• Date: Saturday, August 22, 2026
• Time: 11:00 AM ET/8:00AM PT

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Athletic Bilbao has a 51.8% win probability on Saturday, Sevilla has a 22.3% win probability, and there is a 25.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.