Newcastle vs. Bournemouth prediction, odds, Premier League picks [9/5/2026]

Newcastle and Bournemouth will meet in the Premier League on Saturday, starting at 7:30 AM ET.

Dimers' advanced Premier League model projects Newcastle as the most likely winner in this Newcastle vs. Bournemouth prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

For more, check out our view into the Premier League title race, and the best value bets to take in EPL futures right now.

Newcastle vs. Bournemouth prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Premier League match between Newcastle and Bournemouth, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 43.0% chance of Newcastle winning, a 33.3% chance for Bournemouth, and a 23.7% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 59.7% chance of going over, with a 61.7% likelihood that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Bournemouth +251, Newcastle +117
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+144)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Bournemouth @ +251 via Novig
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -150 via Polymarket

According to our best Premier League bets, the top play to make on this game is Bournemouth to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Newcastle 1-1 Bournemouth (10.8% probability)
• Newcastle 2-1 Bournemouth (9%)
• Newcastle 1-2 Bournemouth (7.7%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 61.7% chance of both sides finding the net and a 38.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's Premier League action between Newcastle and Bournemouth is scheduled to begin in the United States at 7:30 AM ET.

• Who: Newcastle vs. Bournemouth
• Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
• Time: 7:30 AM ET/4:30AM PT

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Newcastle has a 43.0% win probability on Saturday, Bournemouth has a 33.3% win probability, and there is a 23.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.