Newcastle vs. Bournemouth prediction, odds, Premier League picks [9/5/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Premier League match between Newcastle and Bournemouth, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model suggests a 42.0% chance of Newcastle winning, a 34.4% chance for Bournemouth, and a 23.6% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 61.0% chance of going over, with a 62.8% chance that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Bournemouth +245, Newcastle +117
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-156/+150)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Bournemouth @ +245 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -156 via Polymarket

According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Bournemouth to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Newcastle 1-1 Bournemouth (10.6% probability)
• Newcastle 2-1 Bournemouth (8.8%)
• Newcastle 1-2 Bournemouth (7.9%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 62.8% chance of both sides finding the net and a 37.2% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's Premier League game between Newcastle and Bournemouth is scheduled to start in the USA at 7:30 AM ET.

• Who: Newcastle vs. Bournemouth
• Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
• Time: 7:30 AM ET/4:30AM PT

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Newcastle has a 42.0% win probability on Saturday, Bournemouth has a 34.4% win probability, and there is a 23.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.