Aston Villa vs. Arsenal prediction, odds, Premier League picks [8/31/2026]
Get Aston Villa vs Arsenal predictions for Premier League Monday.

Aston Villa will face Arsenal in Premier League action at Villa Park on Monday, starting at 3:00 PM ET.
Dimers' proven Premier League model projects Arsenal as the most likely winner in this Aston Villa vs. Arsenal prediction.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's match, including best bets and picks.
For more, check out our view into the Premier League title race, and the best value bets to take in EPL futures right now.
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal prediction: Who will win?
Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 14.9% chance of Aston Villa winning, a 64.4% chance for Arsenal, and a 20.7% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 54.0% chance of going over, with a 50.8% chance of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal odds
We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Arsenal -178, Aston Villa +575
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Arsenal @ -178 via Polymarket
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -113 via Polymarket
According to our best Premier League bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-0 Arsenal win being the most probable:
- Aston Villa 0-2 Arsenal (11.7% probability)
- Aston Villa 0-1 Arsenal (11.7%)
- Aston Villa 1-2 Arsenal (9.8%)
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 49.2% chance of both sides finding the net and a 50.8% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal game-day updates and essential details
Monday's Premier League game between Aston Villa and Arsenal at Villa Park is scheduled to begin in the United States at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Aston Villa vs. Arsenal
- Date: Monday, August 31, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: Villa Park
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Aston Villa has a 14.9% win probability on Monday, Arsenal has a 64.4% win probability, and there is a 20.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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