Sep 5, 2026
UC Davis vs. San Diego prediction: UC Davis favored to win in college football Week 1 [2026]
Read Article Oklahoma State vs. Tulsa prediction: Why Oklahoma State is favored to win in college football Week 1 [2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Dimers' simulation model projects a 78.6% win probability for Oklahoma State at Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium.
Tulsa will square off with the favored Oklahoma State in Week 1 college football action at Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 3:45 PM ET.
Dimers' proven college football model projects Oklahoma State as the most likely winner in this Oklahoma State vs. Tulsa prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, backed by the same system that has dominated college football and NFL betting markets across multiple seasons.
Oklahoma State vs. Tulsa prediction and odds
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Oklahoma State vs. Tulsa, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Oklahoma State a 78.6% chance of defeating Tulsa. Our predicted final score has Oklahoma State winning 35-22.
According to our model, Tulsa (+14.5) has a 53.7% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 60.5 points has a 54.5% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Oklahoma State -14.5 (+100) / Tulsa +14.5 (-120)
- Moneyline: Oklahoma State -550, Tulsa +450
- Total: Over/Under 60.5 (-115/-105)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Tulsa +14.5 @ -120 via BetMGM
- Moneyline: Tulsa @ +450 via BetMGM
- Total: Under 60.5 @ -105 via BetMGM
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 60.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football game between Tulsa and Oklahoma State at Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium is scheduled to begin at 3:45 PM ET.
- Who: Oklahoma State vs. Tulsa
- Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
- Time: 3:45 PM ET/12:45PM PT
- Venue: Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium
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Make the most of Dimers' Oklahoma State vs. Tulsa predictions by exploring the Bet365 Sportsbook offer below:
Conclusion
We predict Oklahoma State, with a 78.6% win probability, will likely beat Tulsa in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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