Sep 5, 2026
Youngstown State vs. Kentucky prediction: Kentucky favored to win in college football Week 1 [2026]
Read Article Idaho State vs. Utah State prediction: Utah State favored to win in college football Week 1 [2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Dimers' simulation model projects a 75.3% win probability for Utah State at Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium.
Utah State will face Idaho State in Week 1 college football action at Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 7:00 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced college football model projects Utah State as the most likely winner in this Idaho State vs. Utah State prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, backed by the same system that has dominated college football and NFL betting markets across multiple seasons.
Idaho State vs. Utah State prediction and odds
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Idaho State vs. Utah State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Utah State a 75.3% chance of beating Idaho State. Our predicted final score has Utah State winning 37-24.
According to our model, Idaho State (+14) has a 52.6% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 62.5 points has a 52.2% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Idaho State +14 (-110) / Utah State -14 (-102)
- Moneyline: Idaho State +450, Utah State -550
- Total: Over/Under 62.5 (-107/-105)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Idaho State +14 @ -110 via ESPN BET
- Moneyline: Idaho State @ +450 via ESPN BET
- Total: Under 62.5 @ -105 via bet365
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Idaho State to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football action between Utah State and Idaho State at Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Idaho State vs. Utah State
- Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium
College football Week 1 promos
Make the most of Dimers' Idaho State vs. Utah State predictions by exploring the Bet365 Sportsbook offer below:
Conclusion
We predict Utah State, with a 75.3% win probability, will likely beat Idaho State in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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