College football picks today: Week 1 Saturday best bets include Baylor vs. Auburn play [9/5/2026]

Baylor ML (+240)

• Edge: 10.8%
• Probability: 40.2%
• Matchup: Baylor vs. Auburn (3:30PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Baylor to defeat Auburn at +240 odds. A 40.2% probability produces an edge of 10.8%, making this the strongest play for today's college football slate.

UNLV vs. Hawaii Under 58.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 10.0%
• Probability: 61.2%
• Matchup: UNLV vs. Hawaii (10:00PM ET)

UNLV vs. Hawaii under 58.5 points carries a 10.0% edge and a probability of 61.2% at -105 odds, according to our model.

Campbell ML (+144)

• Edge: 8.8%
• Probability: 49.8%
• Matchup: Western Carolina vs. Campbell (3:30PM ET)

Campbell ML at +144 odds shows a 8.8% edge, supported by a 49.8% probability in simulations.

Gardner-Webb ML (+226)

• Edge: 8.6%
• Probability: 39.3%
• Matchup: Gardner-Webb vs. Wofford (1:30PM ET)

An 8.6% edge and 39.3% probability makes Gardner-Webb at the moneyline a value play in the Gardner-Webb vs. Wofford matchup, per our model.

Baylor +7 (-105)

• Edge: 8.5%
• Probability: 59.8%
• Matchup: Baylor vs. Auburn (3:30PM ET)

Baylor +7 at -105 odds presents a 8.5% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 59.8%.

Youngstown State vs. Kentucky Under 62.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 8.4%
• Probability: 60.8%
• Matchup: Youngstown State vs. Kentucky (1:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Under 62.5 points in Youngstown State vs. Kentucky at -110 odds, supported by an edge of 8.4%.

Arkansas State vs. Memphis Under 55.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 8.2%
• Probability: 60.6%
• Matchup: Arkansas State vs. Memphis (7:00PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Arkansas State vs. Memphis Under 55.5 points at -110 odds. A 60.6% probability produces an 8.2% edge, making this a strong play for today's college football action.

Miami Ohio vs. Pittsburgh Under 49.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 8.0%
• Probability: 60.4%
• Matchup: Miami Ohio vs. Pittsburgh (12:30PM ET)

A 8.0% edge on a 60.4% probability makes Under 49.5 points at -110 odds a solid value play in today's Miami Ohio vs. Pittsburgh matchup.

Nevada ML (+120)

• Edge: 8.0%
• Probability: 53.4%
• Matchup: Western Kentucky vs. Nevada (10:30PM ET)

Our model projects value on Nevada to win at +120 odds. A 53.4% probability produces a 8.0% edge, making Nevada the favorable ML play in today's matchup.

Boston College ML (+250)

• Edge: 7.5%
• Probability: 36.1%
• Matchup: Arkansas State vs. Memphis (3:30PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Boston College to defeat Cincinnati at +250 odds shows a 36.1% probability and a 7.5% edge.

NCAAF best bets summary: Saturday, 9/5/2026

As of 2:29AM ET, here are our top college football bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming college football games to bet on now

• Ohio vs. Nebraska (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Oregon State vs. Houston (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• East Carolina vs. Alabama (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• North Texas vs. Indiana (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Coastal Carolina vs. West Virginia (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Liberty vs. James Madison (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Lafayette vs. Connecticut (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• New Hampshire vs. Syracuse (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Tarleton State vs. Bowling Green (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Bryant University vs. Army (12:00PM ET, Saturday)

College football offer for Week 1

Make the most of the picks in this article—including Baylor ML—with the Underdog Fantasy offer below:

Conclusion

Our college football best bets are locked and loaded for September 5, 2026, featuring plays such as Baylor ML vs. Auburn and under 58.5 points in the UNLV vs. Hawaii matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.