Sep 5, 2026
Ball State vs. Ohio State prediction: Ohio State favored to win in college football Week 1 [2026]
Read Article Alcorn State vs. Southern Miss prediction: Southern Miss favored to win in college football Week 1 [2026]
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Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Dimers' simulation model projects a 90.0% win probability for Southern Miss at M.M. Roberts Stadium.
Southern Miss and Alcorn State will lock horns in Week 1 college football action at M.M. Roberts Stadium on Saturday, starting at 5:00 PM ET.
Dimers' proven college football model projects Southern Miss as the most likely winner in this Alcorn State vs. Southern Miss prediction.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks, backed by the same system that has dominated college football and NFL betting markets across multiple seasons.
Alcorn State vs. Southern Miss prediction and odds
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Alcorn State vs. Southern Miss, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Southern Miss a 90.0% chance of beating Alcorn State. Our predicted final score has Southern Miss winning 34-15.
According to our model, Alcorn State (+20.5) has a 53.8% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 51 points has a 51.9% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Alcorn State +20.5 (-115) / Southern Miss -20.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: Alcorn State +950, Southern Miss -1200
- Total: Over/Under 51 (-110/-113)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Alcorn State +20.5 @ -115 via bet365
- Moneyline: Alcorn State @ +950 via BetRivers
- Total: Under 51 @ -113 via BetRivers
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Alcorn State to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football game between Southern Miss and Alcorn State at M.M. Roberts Stadium is scheduled to start at 5:00 PM ET.
- Who: Alcorn State vs. Southern Miss
- Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
- Time: 5:00 PM ET/2:00PM PT
- Venue: M.M. Roberts Stadium
College football Week 1 promos
Make the most of Dimers' Alcorn State vs. Southern Miss predictions by exploring the Bet365 Sportsbook offer below:
Conclusion
We predict Southern Miss, with a 90.0% win probability, will likely beat Alcorn State in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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