Carlos Alcaraz vs. Sebastian Baez Prediction, Picks and Odds

Carlos Alcaraz vs. Sebastian Baez: Detailed Breakdown

Match Overview

• Who: Carlos Alcaraz vs. Sebastian Baez
• Date: Thursday, September 25, 2025
• Approx. Time: 5:10 AM ET
• Tournament: ATP Tokyo, Japan Men's Singles 2025

Current Betting Odds

• Moneyline Odds: Carlos Alcaraz -3030, Sebastian Baez +2600

Dimers' Win Probabilities

• Carlos Alcaraz: 95.7%
• Sebastian Baez: 4.3%

Dimers' predictive model provides an unbiased view of each player's winning chances after simulating the outcome of the match 10,000 times.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Carlos Alcaraz a win probability of 96%, while Sebastian Baez has a win probability of 4%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Carlos Alcaraz is more likely to beat Sebastian Baez at the ATP Tokyo, Japan Men's Singles 2025 on Thursday.

Our Carlos Alcaraz vs. Sebastian Baez predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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