Senators vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Senators vs. Sabres NHL game on October 15, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Senators
4
8
KeyBank Center
Sabres
KeyBank Center
TEAM123T
Senators
1 1 2 4
Sabres
1 4 3 8
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Senators
    0%
  • Sabres
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Senators
1 1 2 4
Sabres
1 4 3 8
P3 18:10 Shot on goal by Senators saved by Alex Lyon
P3 17:43 Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Alex Lyon
P3 16:44 Goal scored by Sabres
P3 16:42 Jiri Kulich shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
P3 16:03 Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Alex Lyon
P3 15:05 Alex Tuch shot blocked by Ridly Greig
P3 13:17 Shot missed by Shane Pinto
P3 13:10 Shot on goal by Jordan Spence saved by Alex Lyon
P3 13:02 Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Alex Lyon
P3 12:36 Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
P3 11:33 Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
P3 10:10 Shot missed by Drake Batherson
P3 08:53 Shot missed by Jake Sanderson
P3 08:49 Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Alex Lyon
P3 08:19 Olle Lycksell shot blocked by Josh Doan
P3 07:42 Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Alex Lyon
P3 06:35 Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Zach Benson
P3 05:52 Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
P3 05:43 Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Leevi Merilainen
P3 04:30 Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 18:29
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  3. P3 18:29
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  4. P3 18:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Senators saved by Alex Lyon
  5. P3 17:54
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
  6. P3 17:54
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  7. P3 17:45
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Lars Eller in defensive zone
  8. P3 17:45
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  9. P3 17:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Alex Lyon
  10. P3 16:44
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
  11. P3 16:44
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Sabres
    4-8
  12. P3 16:42
    SHOT
    Jiri Kulich shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
  13. P3 16:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Alex Lyon
  14. P3 15:05
    SHOT
    Alex Tuch shot blocked by Ridly Greig
  15. P3 13:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Shane Pinto
  16. P3 13:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jordan Spence saved by Alex Lyon
  17. P3 13:04
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
  18. P3 13:04
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  19. P3 13:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Alex Lyon
  20. P3 12:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
  21. P3 11:37
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in offensive zone
  22. P3 11:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
  23. P3 10:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Drake Batherson
  24. P3 09:08
    Tyson Kozak credited with hit on Jake Sanderson in offensive zone
  25. P3 08:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake Sanderson
  26. P3 08:51
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Jason Zucker in offensive zone
  27. P3 08:51
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  28. P3 08:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Alex Lyon
  29. P3 08:19
    SHOT
    Olle Lycksell shot blocked by Josh Doan
  30. P3 07:45
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in offensive zone
  31. P3 07:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Alex Lyon
  32. P3 06:37
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
  33. P3 06:37
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  34. P3 06:35
    SHOT
    Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Zach Benson
  35. P3 05:52
    SHOT
    Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
  36. P3 05:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Leevi Merilainen
  37. P3 04:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
  38. P3 04:25
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  39. P3 04:25
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  40. P3 04:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Alex Lyon
  41. P3 03:17
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in neutral zone
  42. P3 03:16
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jack Quinn
    4-7
  43. P3 02:47
    Peyton Krebs credited with hit on Tyler Kleven in offensive zone
  44. P3 02:32
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
  45. P3 02:32
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Ryan McLeod assisted by Alex Tuch
    4-6
  46. P3 02:15
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  47. P3 02:15
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Lars Eller
    4-5
  48. P3 01:46
    Nick Cousins won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
  49. P3 01:46
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  50. P3 01:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Alex Lyon
  51. P3 01:18
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
  52. P3 01:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Alex Lyon
  53. P3 00:58
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  54. P3 00:40
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
  55. P3 00:40
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jordan Spence assisted by Michael Amadio and Jake Sanderson
    3-5
  56. P3 00:20
    SHOT
    Ridly Greig shot blocked by Tage Thompson
  57. P3 00:00
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  58. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  59. P2 19:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Leevi Merilainen
  60. P2 19:51
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in defensive zone
  61. P2 19:51
    Stoppage - Icing
  62. P2 18:42
    Josh Doan won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
  63. P2 18:42
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  64. P2 18:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jordan Spence saved by Alex Lyon
  65. P2 18:00
    Michael Amadio won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in neutral zone
  66. P2 18:00
    Stoppage - Offside
  67. P2 17:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Alex Lyon
  68. P2 17:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Alex Lyon
  69. P2 17:30
    SHOT
    Jack Quinn shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
  70. P2 16:54
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  71. P2 16:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Leevi Merilainen
  72. P2 16:52
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
  73. P2 16:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Leevi Merilainen
  74. P2 16:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Senators saved by Alex Lyon
  75. P2 15:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Senators saved by Alex Lyon
  76. P2 15:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Michael Amadio
  77. P2 15:47
    SHOT
    Artem Zub shot blocked by teammate
  78. P2 15:40
    SHOT
    Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
  79. P2 14:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Alex Lyon
  80. P2 14:26
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Lars Eller in defensive zone
  81. P2 14:26
    Stoppage - Icing
  82. P2 13:43
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
  83. P2 13:43
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Jason Zucker
    2-5
  84. P2 13:12
    Power play - Tage Thompson won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
  85. P2 13:12
    Penalty to Ridly Greig 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Jiri Kulich)
  86. P2 12:29
    SHOT
    Alex Tuch shot blocked by Nick Jensen
  87. P2 12:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Leevi Merilainen
  88. P2 12:20
    SHOT
    Ryan McLeod shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
  89. P2 12:17
    SHOT
    Alex Tuch shot blocked by teammate
  90. P2 11:46
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  91. P2 11:46
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Jason Zucker assisted by Rasmus Dahlin and Zach Benson
    2-4
  92. P2 11:31
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jason Zucker
  93. P2 11:13
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Leevi Merilainen
  94. P2 11:03
    Power play - Tage Thompson won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
  95. P2 11:03
    Penalty to Conor Timmins 2 minutes for Misconduct
  96. P2 11:03
    Penalty to Shane Pinto 2 minutes for Misconduct
  97. P2 11:03
    Penalty to Peyton Krebs 2 minutes for Misconduct
  98. P2 11:03
    Penalty to Claude Giroux 2 minutes for Misconduct
  99. P2 10:45
    SHOT
    Peyton Krebs shot blocked by Tyler Kleven
  100. P2 10:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Leevi Merilainen
  101. P2 10:17
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
  102. P2 10:17
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Alex Tuch
    2-3
  103. P2 10:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sabres saved by Leevi Merilainen
  104. P2 10:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jacob Bryson saved by Leevi Merilainen
  105. P2 10:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Johnson saved by Leevi Merilainen
  106. P2 08:51
    Giveaway by Jason Zucker in neutral zone
  107. P2 08:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Alex Lyon
  108. P2 07:36
    SHOT
    Power play - Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Beck Malenstyn
  109. P2 07:29
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Claude Giroux
  110. P2 07:24
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Leevi Merilainen
  111. P2 06:46
    Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
  112. P2 06:46
    GOAL
    Shorthanded - Goal scored by Ryan McLeod
    2-2
  113. P2 06:42
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Leevi Merilainen
  114. P2 06:19
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jake Sanderson
  115. P2 06:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Alex Lyon
  116. P2 05:57
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Drake Batherson
  117. P2 05:48
    Power play - Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Beck Malenstyn in offensive zone
  118. P2 05:48
    Penalty to Alex Tuch 2 minutes for Misconduct
  119. P2 05:39
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Alex Lyon
  120. P2 05:14
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  121. P2 05:14
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  122. P2 05:12
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Alex Lyon
  123. P2 05:07
    Power play - Lars Eller won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
  124. P2 05:07
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  125. P2 05:00
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Alex Lyon
  126. P2 04:59
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Alex Lyon
  127. P2 04:54
    Power play - Lars Eller won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
  128. P2 04:54
    Stoppage
  129. P2 04:52
    SHOT
    Power play - Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Conor Timmins
  130. P2 04:29
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Alex Lyon
  131. P2 03:58
    Power play - Ridly Greig won faceoff against Alex Tuch in neutral zone
  132. P2 03:58
    Sabres challenge (Interference on goalie), call reversed
  133. P2 03:34
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Ridly Greig
  134. P2 02:34
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
  135. P2 02:17
    Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  136. P2 02:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Alex Lyon
  137. P2 02:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Alex Lyon
  138. P2 01:42
    SHOT
    Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Alex Tuch
  139. P2 01:39
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
  140. P2 01:39
    Stoppage - Icing
  141. P2 01:16
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
  142. P2 00:53
    SHOT
    Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Bowen Byram
  143. P2 00:43
    SHOT
    Nick Jensen shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
  144. P2 00:39
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
  145. P2 00:39
    Stoppage - Icing
  146. P2 00:21
    SHOT
    Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Justin Danforth
  147. P2 00:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyson Kozak saved by Leevi Merilainen
  148. P2 00:00
    Justin Danforth won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  149. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  150. P1 19:33
    SHOT
    Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Conor Timmins
  151. P1 18:17
    SHOT
    Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Olle Lycksell
  152. P1 17:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tage Thompson
  153. P1 16:34
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
  154. P1 16:34
    Stoppage
  155. P1 16:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Alex Lyon
  156. P1 16:27
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
  157. P1 16:27
    Stoppage - Icing
  158. P1 16:09
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
  159. P1 16:09
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Fabian Zetterlund
    1-1
  160. P1 16:02
    SHOT
    Jordan Spence shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
  161. P1 15:30
    SHOT
    Josh Doan shot blocked by Claude Giroux
  162. P1 15:20
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Alex Tuch
  163. P1 14:15
    SHOT
    Power play - Drake Batherson shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
  164. P1 14:00
    Power play - Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Justin Danforth in offensive zone
  165. P1 13:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Alex Tuch
  166. P1 13:30
    SHOT
    Power play - Tim Stutzle shot blocked by teammate
  167. P1 13:25
    Power play - Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  168. P1 13:25
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  169. P1 13:23
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Alex Lyon
  170. P1 13:21
    Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
  171. P1 13:21
    Penalty to Jacob Bryson 2 minutes for Misconduct
  172. P1 13:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Alex Lyon
  173. P1 13:04
    SHOT
    Olle Lycksell shot blocked by Jacob Bryson
  174. P1 12:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jacob Bryson
  175. P1 12:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zach Benson
  176. P1 10:47
    Power play - Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  177. P1 10:47
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  178. P1 10:43
    SHOT
    Power play - Tim Stutzle shot blocked by teammate
  179. P1 10:09
    Power play - Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Justin Danforth in offensive zone
  180. P1 10:09
    Penalty to Ryan Johnson 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Olle Lycksell)
  181. P1 10:02
    SHOT
    Lars Eller shot blocked by Jacob Bryson
  182. P1 09:52
    SHOT
    Jake Sanderson shot blocked by teammate
  183. P1 09:41
    SHOT
    Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Jiri Kulich
  184. P1 09:24
    Nick Cousins won faceoff against Sabres in offensive zone
  185. P1 09:23
    Jiri Kulich won faceoff against Nick Cousins in defensive zone
  186. P1 09:23
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Nick Cousins in defensive zone
  187. P1 09:23
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  188. P1 09:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Jensen saved by Alex Lyon
  189. P1 08:01
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in neutral zone
  190. P1 07:58
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Jack Quinn
    0-1
  191. P1 07:28
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Leevi Merilainen
  192. P1 06:54
    Shorthanded - Ridly Greig won faceoff against Josh Doan in defensive zone
  193. P1 06:54
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  194. P1 06:52
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Leevi Merilainen
  195. P1 06:36
    Power play - Tage Thompson won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
  196. P1 06:36
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  197. P1 06:36
    Penalty to Fabian Zetterlund 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Rasmus Dahlin)
  198. P1 06:19
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
  199. P1 06:19
    Stoppage - Icing
  200. P1 05:59
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  201. P1 05:59
    Stoppage - Icing
  202. P1 04:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
  203. P1 04:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Alex Lyon
  204. P1 03:39
    Michael Amadio won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  205. P1 03:39
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  206. P1 03:22
    SHOT
    Tage Thompson shot blocked by Drake Batherson
  207. P1 03:14
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
  208. P1 03:09
    SHOT
    Owen Power shot blocked by Olle Lycksell
  209. P1 02:51
    SHOT
    Nick Jensen shot blocked by Conor Timmins
  210. P1 02:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
  211. P1 02:06
    SHOT
    Shane Pinto shot blocked by teammate
  212. P1 02:04
    SHOT
    Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Bowen Byram
  213. P1 01:26
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  214. P1 01:26
    Stoppage - Offside
  215. P1 01:11
    SHOT
    Artem Zub shot blocked by Alex Tuch
  216. P1 01:07
    SHOT
    Jake Sanderson shot blocked by teammate
  217. P1 00:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Shane Pinto
  218. P1 00:00
    Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  219. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Senators
STATS
Sabres
36Shots on Goal27
65% Faceoff Win % 35%
5/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/3
10Penalty Infraction Mins14
21Hits29
10 Shots Blocked 20
15Giveaways14
SenatorsOTT
SabresBUF
36Shots on Goal27
65% Faceoff Win % 35%
5/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/3
10Penalty Infraction Mins14
21Hits29
10 Shots Blocked 20
15Giveaways14

Senators vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Senators vs. Sabres
  • Date: Wednesday, October 15, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: KeyBank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Senators favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Senators -110, Sabres -104

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Senators: 50%
  • Sabres: 50%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Senators a win probability of 50%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 50%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Sabres in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Senators vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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