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Senators vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Senators vs. Sabres NHL game on October 15, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Senators
4
8
Oct 15, 11PM KeyBank Center
Sabres
Oct 15, 11PM KeyBank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Senators
1124
Sabres
1438
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
SenatorsOTT
Win %
0%
100%
SabresBUF
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Senators
1124
Sabres
1438
P3 18:10 Shot on goal by Senators saved by Alex Lyon
P3 17:43 Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Alex Lyon
P3 16:44 Goal scored by Sabres
P3 16:42 Jiri Kulich shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
P3 16:03 Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Alex Lyon
P3 15:05 Alex Tuch shot blocked by Ridly Greig
P3 13:17 Shot missed by Shane Pinto
P3 13:10 Shot on goal by Jordan Spence saved by Alex Lyon
P3 13:02 Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Alex Lyon
P3 12:36 Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
P3 11:33 Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
P3 10:10 Shot missed by Drake Batherson
P3 08:53 Shot missed by Jake Sanderson
P3 08:49 Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Alex Lyon
P3 08:19 Olle Lycksell shot blocked by Josh Doan
P3 07:42 Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Alex Lyon
P3 06:35 Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Zach Benson
P3 05:52 Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
P3 05:43 Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Leevi Merilainen
P3 04:30 Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 18:29
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
P3 18:29
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 18:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Senators saved by Alex Lyon
P3 17:54
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
P3 17:54
Stoppage - Hand Pass
P3 17:45
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Lars Eller in defensive zone
P3 17:45
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 17:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Alex Lyon
P3 16:44
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
P3 16:44
GOAL
Goal scored by Sabres
4-8
P3 16:42
SHOT
Jiri Kulich shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
P3 16:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Alex Lyon
P3 15:05
SHOT
Alex Tuch shot blocked by Ridly Greig
P3 13:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Shane Pinto
P3 13:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jordan Spence saved by Alex Lyon
P3 13:04
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
P3 13:04
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 13:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Alex Lyon
P3 12:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
P3 11:37
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in offensive zone
P3 11:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
P3 10:10
SHOT
Shot missed by Drake Batherson
P3 09:08
Tyson Kozak credited with hit on Jake Sanderson in offensive zone
P3 08:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Sanderson
P3 08:51
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Jason Zucker in offensive zone
P3 08:51
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 08:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Alex Lyon
P3 08:19
SHOT
Olle Lycksell shot blocked by Josh Doan
P3 07:45
Lars Eller won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in offensive zone
P3 07:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Alex Lyon
P3 06:37
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
P3 06:37
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 06:35
SHOT
Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Zach Benson
P3 05:52
SHOT
Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
P3 05:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Leevi Merilainen
P3 04:30
SHOT
Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
P3 04:25
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P3 04:25
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 04:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Alex Lyon
P3 03:17
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in neutral zone
P3 03:16
GOAL
Goal scored by Jack Quinn
4-7
P3 02:47
Peyton Krebs credited with hit on Tyler Kleven in offensive zone
P3 02:32
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
P3 02:32
GOAL
Goal scored by Ryan McLeod assisted by Alex Tuch
4-6
P3 02:15
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
P3 02:15
GOAL
Goal scored by Lars Eller
4-5
P3 01:46
Nick Cousins won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
P3 01:46
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 01:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Alex Lyon
P3 01:18
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
P3 01:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Alex Lyon
P3 00:58
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
P3 00:40
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
P3 00:40
GOAL
Goal scored by Jordan Spence assisted by Michael Amadio and Jake Sanderson
3-5
P3 00:20
SHOT
Ridly Greig shot blocked by Tage Thompson
P3 00:00
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Leevi Merilainen
P2 19:51
Lars Eller won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in defensive zone
P2 19:51
Stoppage - Icing
P2 18:42
Josh Doan won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
P2 18:42
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 18:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jordan Spence saved by Alex Lyon
P2 18:00
Michael Amadio won faceoff against Jiri Kulich in neutral zone
P2 18:00
Stoppage - Offside
P2 17:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Alex Lyon
P2 17:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Alex Lyon
P2 17:30
SHOT
Jack Quinn shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
P2 16:54
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 16:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Leevi Merilainen
P2 16:52
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
P2 16:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Leevi Merilainen
P2 16:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Senators saved by Alex Lyon
P2 15:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Senators saved by Alex Lyon
P2 15:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Amadio
P2 15:47
SHOT
Artem Zub shot blocked by teammate
P2 15:40
SHOT
Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
P2 14:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Alex Lyon
P2 14:26
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Lars Eller in defensive zone
P2 14:26
Stoppage - Icing
P2 13:43
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
P2 13:43
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Jason Zucker
2-5
P2 13:12
Power play - Tage Thompson won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
P2 13:12
Penalty to Ridly Greig 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Jiri Kulich)
P2 12:29
SHOT
Alex Tuch shot blocked by Nick Jensen
P2 12:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Leevi Merilainen
P2 12:20
SHOT
Ryan McLeod shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
P2 12:17
SHOT
Alex Tuch shot blocked by teammate
P2 11:46
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
P2 11:46
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Jason Zucker assisted by Rasmus Dahlin and Zach Benson
2-4
P2 11:31
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jason Zucker
P2 11:13
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Leevi Merilainen
P2 11:03
Power play - Tage Thompson won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
P2 11:03
Penalty to Conor Timmins 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 11:03
Penalty to Shane Pinto 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 11:03
Penalty to Peyton Krebs 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 11:03
Penalty to Claude Giroux 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 10:45
SHOT
Peyton Krebs shot blocked by Tyler Kleven
P2 10:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Leevi Merilainen
P2 10:17
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
P2 10:17
GOAL
Goal scored by Alex Tuch
2-3
P2 10:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sabres saved by Leevi Merilainen
P2 10:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jacob Bryson saved by Leevi Merilainen
P2 10:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Johnson saved by Leevi Merilainen
P2 08:51
Giveaway by Jason Zucker in neutral zone
P2 08:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Alex Lyon
P2 07:36
SHOT
Power play - Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Beck Malenstyn
P2 07:29
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Claude Giroux
P2 07:24
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Leevi Merilainen
P2 06:46
Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
P2 06:46
GOAL
Shorthanded - Goal scored by Ryan McLeod
2-2
P2 06:42
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Leevi Merilainen
P2 06:19
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jake Sanderson
P2 06:03
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Alex Lyon
P2 05:57
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Drake Batherson
P2 05:48
Power play - Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Beck Malenstyn in offensive zone
P2 05:48
Penalty to Alex Tuch 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 05:39
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Alex Lyon
P2 05:14
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P2 05:14
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 05:12
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Alex Lyon
P2 05:07
Power play - Lars Eller won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
P2 05:07
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 05:00
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Alex Lyon
P2 04:59
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Alex Lyon
P2 04:54
Power play - Lars Eller won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
P2 04:54
Stoppage
P2 04:52
SHOT
Power play - Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Conor Timmins
P2 04:29
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Alex Lyon
P2 03:58
Power play - Ridly Greig won faceoff against Alex Tuch in neutral zone
P2 03:58
Sabres challenge (Interference on goalie), call reversed
P2 03:34
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Ridly Greig
P2 02:34
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
P2 02:17
Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P2 02:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Alex Lyon
P2 02:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Alex Lyon
P2 01:42
SHOT
Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Alex Tuch
P2 01:39
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
P2 01:39
Stoppage - Icing
P2 01:16
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
P2 00:53
SHOT
Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Bowen Byram
P2 00:43
SHOT
Nick Jensen shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
P2 00:39
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
P2 00:39
Stoppage - Icing
P2 00:21
SHOT
Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Justin Danforth
P2 00:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyson Kozak saved by Leevi Merilainen
P2 00:00
Justin Danforth won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:33
SHOT
Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Conor Timmins
P1 18:17
SHOT
Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Olle Lycksell
P1 17:30
SHOT
Shot missed by Tage Thompson
P1 16:34
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
P1 16:34
Stoppage
P1 16:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Alex Lyon
P1 16:27
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
P1 16:27
Stoppage - Icing
P1 16:09
Lars Eller won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
P1 16:09
GOAL
Goal scored by Fabian Zetterlund
1-1
P1 16:02
SHOT
Jordan Spence shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
P1 15:30
SHOT
Josh Doan shot blocked by Claude Giroux
P1 15:20
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Alex Tuch
P1 14:15
SHOT
Power play - Drake Batherson shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
P1 14:00
Power play - Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Justin Danforth in offensive zone
P1 13:58
SHOT
Power play - Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Alex Tuch
P1 13:30
SHOT
Power play - Tim Stutzle shot blocked by teammate
P1 13:25
Power play - Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P1 13:25
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 13:23
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Alex Lyon
P1 13:21
Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
P1 13:21
Penalty to Jacob Bryson 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 13:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Alex Lyon
P1 13:04
SHOT
Olle Lycksell shot blocked by Jacob Bryson
P1 12:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Jacob Bryson
P1 12:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Zach Benson
P1 10:47
Power play - Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P1 10:47
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 10:43
SHOT
Power play - Tim Stutzle shot blocked by teammate
P1 10:09
Power play - Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Justin Danforth in offensive zone
P1 10:09
Penalty to Ryan Johnson 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Olle Lycksell)
P1 10:02
SHOT
Lars Eller shot blocked by Jacob Bryson
P1 09:52
SHOT
Jake Sanderson shot blocked by teammate
P1 09:41
SHOT
Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Jiri Kulich
P1 09:24
Nick Cousins won faceoff against Sabres in offensive zone
P1 09:23
Jiri Kulich won faceoff against Nick Cousins in defensive zone
P1 09:23
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Nick Cousins in defensive zone
P1 09:23
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 09:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Jensen saved by Alex Lyon
P1 08:01
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in neutral zone
P1 07:58
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Jack Quinn
0-1
P1 07:28
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Leevi Merilainen
P1 06:54
Shorthanded - Ridly Greig won faceoff against Josh Doan in defensive zone
P1 06:54
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 06:52
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Leevi Merilainen
P1 06:36
Power play - Tage Thompson won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
P1 06:36
Stoppage - TV timeout
P1 06:36
Penalty to Fabian Zetterlund 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Rasmus Dahlin)
P1 06:19
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
P1 06:19
Stoppage - Icing
P1 05:59
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
P1 05:59
Stoppage - Icing
P1 04:43
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
P1 04:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Alex Lyon
P1 03:39
Michael Amadio won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P1 03:39
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 03:22
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by Drake Batherson
P1 03:14
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
P1 03:09
SHOT
Owen Power shot blocked by Olle Lycksell
P1 02:51
SHOT
Nick Jensen shot blocked by Conor Timmins
P1 02:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
P1 02:06
SHOT
Shane Pinto shot blocked by teammate
P1 02:04
SHOT
Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Bowen Byram
P1 01:26
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
P1 01:26
Stoppage - Offside
P1 01:11
SHOT
Artem Zub shot blocked by Alex Tuch
P1 01:07
SHOT
Jake Sanderson shot blocked by teammate
P1 00:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Shane Pinto
P1 00:00
Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Senators
 STATS
Sabres
36Shots on Goal27
65%Faceoff Win %35%
5/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/3
10Penalty Infraction Mins14
21Hits29
10Shots Blocked20
15Giveaways14
SenatorsOTT
SabresBUF
36Shots on Goal27
65%Faceoff Win %35%
5/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/3
10Penalty Infraction Mins14
21Hits29
10Shots Blocked20
15Giveaways14

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Senators vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Senators vs. Sabres
  • Date: Wednesday, October 15, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: KeyBank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Senators favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Senators -110, Sabres -104

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Senators: 50%
  • Sabres: 50%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Senators a win probability of 50%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 50%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Sabres in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Senators vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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