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Lightning vs. Flyers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Flyers NHL game on January 10, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
7
2
Jan 11, 12AM Xfinity Mobile Arena
Jan 11, 12AM Xfinity Mobile Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
Flyers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
Flyers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
P3 16:39 Shot on goal by Emil Andrae saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 16:27 Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Emil Andrae
P3 16:17 Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Samuel Ersson
P3 15:00 Shot missed by Garnet Hathaway
P3 14:25 Power play - Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 12:07 Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 10:59 Goal scored by Gage Goncalves assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Brayden Point
P3 09:00 Goal scored by Yanni Gourde assisted by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 06:23 Shot missed by Max Crozier
P3 06:02 Declan Carlile shot blocked by Noah Juulsen
P3 06:00 Shot missed by Max Crozier
P3 05:44 Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Samuel Ersson
P3 05:14 Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Samuel Ersson
P3 04:45 Power play - Goal scored by Owen Tippett assisted by Christian Dvorak
P3 04:41 Power play - Shot on goal by Cam York saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 03:36 Goal scored by Brandon Hagel
P3 03:29 Denver Barkey shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
P3 03:02 Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P3 02:28 Lightning shot blocked by Nikita Kucherov
P3 02:03 Goal scored by Gage Goncalves
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Emil Andrae credited with hit on Nick Paul in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Andrae saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Dominic James won faceoff against Noah Cates in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Emil Andrae
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Rodrigo Abols in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Samuel Ersson
Takeaway by Dominic James in defensive zone
Giveaway by J.J. Moser in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Garnet Hathaway
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
Penalty to Garnet Hathaway 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Declan Carlile)
SHOT
Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Owen Tippett in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Gage Goncalves assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Brayden Point
7-2
Noah Cates won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Rodrigo Abols won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Yanni Gourde assisted by Zemgus Girgensons
6-2
Denver Barkey credited with hit on Gage Goncalves in offensive zone
Nikita Grebenkin credited with hit on Charle-Edouard D'Astous in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Crozier
SHOT
Declan Carlile shot blocked by Noah Juulsen
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Crozier
SHOT
Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Samuel Ersson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Samuel Ersson
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Owen Tippett assisted by Christian Dvorak
5-2
Power play - Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Cam York saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Power play - Noah Cates won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Penalty to Gage Goncalves 2 minutes for High Sticking
Brayden Point won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Brandon Hagel
5-1
SHOT
Denver Barkey shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Sean Couturier won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass
SHOT
Lightning shot blocked by Nikita Kucherov
Dominic James won faceoff against Rodrigo Abols in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Gage Goncalves
4-1
SHOT
Shot missed by Trevor Zegras
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
SHOT
Shot on goal by Carl Grundstrom saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Travis Sanheim
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sean Couturier in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Trevor Zegras
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Sean Couturier
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Samuel Ersson
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cam York saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Sean Couturier won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Nikita Grebenkin credited with hit on Nick Paul in neutral zone
Nick Paul won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Christian Dvorak
Brayden Point won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Giveaway by Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Noah Cates won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Grebenkin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Samuel Ersson
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Jake Guentzel
2-1
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Samuel Ersson
SHOT
Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Nick Seeler
Sean Couturier won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Nicolas Deslauriers credited with hit on Max Crozier in offensive zone
Dominic James credited with hit on Garnet Hathaway in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Rodrigo Abols
Nick Paul won faceoff against Rodrigo Abols in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Samuel Ersson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matvei Michkov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Yanni Gourde shot blocked by Noah Juulsen
SHOT
Emil Andrae shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Cates saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Brayden Point won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Flyers
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Samuel Ersson
SHOT
Noah Cates shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Cam York shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicolas Deslauriers
SHOT
Lightning shot blocked by Noah Juulsen
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Owen Tippett
Giveaway by Nick Seeler in defensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Samuel Ersson
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Carl Grundstrom
Brayden Point won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Paul
Dominic James won faceoff against Rodrigo Abols in neutral zone
SHOT
Max Crozier shot blocked by Emil Andrae
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Samuel Ersson
SHOT
Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Owen Tippett
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Ristolainen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Sean Couturier won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Travis Sanheim in defensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Travis Sanheim saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Christian Dvorak saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Sean Couturier in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Samuel Ersson
SHOT
Power play - Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Rasmus Ristolainen
SHOT
Power play - Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Rasmus Ristolainen
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Samuel Ersson
Max Crozier credited with hit on Noah Cates in defensive zone
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Seeler
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Grebenkin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Samuel Ersson
Sean Couturier won faceoff against Gage Goncalves in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Christian Dvorak
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Cam York shot blocked by Erik Cernak
SHOT
Power play - Owen Tippett shot blocked by Erik Cernak
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Matvei Michkov
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Nick Paul won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sean Couturier in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Takeaway by Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
SHOT
Yanni Gourde shot blocked by Trevor Zegras
SHOT
Shot on goal by Christian Dvorak saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Brayden Point won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
Giveaway by Noah Cates in neutral zone
Giveaway by Brayden Point in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sean Couturier in neutral zone
Penalty to Declan Carlile 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Garnet Hathaway)
Penalty to Garnet Hathaway 2 minutes for Misconduct
Noah Cates credited with hit on Charle-Edouard D'Astous in offensive zone
Dominic James won faceoff against Noah Cates in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Noah Cates won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Samuel Ersson
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Noah Juulsen in offensive zone
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov
2-1
SHOT
Sean Couturier shot blocked by Erik Cernak
SHOT
Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Max Crozier shot blocked by Nicolas Deslauriers
SHOT
Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Samuel Ersson
Rodrigo Abols won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Garnet Hathaway assisted by Noah Juulsen and Rodrigo Abols
1-1
Rodrigo Abols won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Seeler saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Christian Dvorak saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Giveaway by Declan Carlile in defensive zone
Dominic James won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Rodrigo Abols
Giveaway by Max Crozier in defensive zone
Brayden Point won faceoff against Sean Couturier in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Brayden Point
1-1
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Matvei Michkov
Giveaway by Trevor Zegras in defensive zone
Darren Raddysh credited with hit on Emil Andrae in defensive zone
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
Nikita Grebenkin credited with hit on Erik Cernak in neutral zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Noah Cates in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 23 | Shots on Goal | 20 | |||
| 63% | Faceoff Win % | 37% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/1 | |||
| 9 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 9 | |||
| 18 | Hits | 32 | |||
| 6 | Shots Blocked | 14 | |||
| 15 | Giveaways | 14 |
| |
|---|
| 23 | Shots on Goal | 20 | |||
| 63% | Faceoff Win % | 37% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/1 | |||
| 9 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 9 | |||
| 18 | Hits | 32 | |||
| 6 | Shots Blocked | 14 | |||
| 15 | Giveaways | 14 |
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Lightning vs. Flyers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Lightning vs. Flyers
- Date: Saturday, January 10, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Lightning -176, Flyers +158
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Lightning: 60%
- Flyers: 40%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 60%, while the Flyers have a win probability of 40%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Flyers in the NHL game at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Lightning vs. Flyers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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