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Lightning vs. Flyers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Flyers NHL game on January 10, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Lightning
7
2
Jan 11, 12AM Xfinity Mobile Arena
Flyers
Jan 11, 12AM Xfinity Mobile Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Lightning
2 1 4 7
Flyers
1 0 1 2
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
LightningTB
Win %
100%
0%
FlyersPHI
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Lightning
2 1 4 7
Flyers
1 0 1 2
P3 16:39 Shot on goal by Emil Andrae saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 16:27 Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Emil Andrae
P3 16:17 Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Samuel Ersson
P3 15:00 Shot missed by Garnet Hathaway
P3 14:25 Power play - Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 12:07 Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 10:59 Goal scored by Gage Goncalves assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Brayden Point
P3 09:00 Goal scored by Yanni Gourde assisted by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 06:23 Shot missed by Max Crozier
P3 06:02 Declan Carlile shot blocked by Noah Juulsen
P3 06:00 Shot missed by Max Crozier
P3 05:44 Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Samuel Ersson
P3 05:14 Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Samuel Ersson
P3 04:45 Power play - Goal scored by Owen Tippett assisted by Christian Dvorak
P3 04:41 Power play - Shot on goal by Cam York saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 03:36 Goal scored by Brandon Hagel
P3 03:29 Denver Barkey shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
P3 03:02 Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P3 02:28 Lightning shot blocked by Nikita Kucherov
P3 02:03 Goal scored by Gage Goncalves
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 18:39
Emil Andrae credited with hit on Nick Paul in defensive zone
P3 16:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Andrae saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 16:28
Dominic James won faceoff against Noah Cates in offensive zone
P3 16:28
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P3 16:27
SHOT
Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Emil Andrae
P3 16:23
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Rodrigo Abols in offensive zone
P3 16:23
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 16:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Samuel Ersson
P3 15:33
Takeaway by Dominic James in defensive zone
P3 15:06
Giveaway by J.J. Moser in defensive zone
P3 15:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Garnet Hathaway
P3 14:25
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 12:53
Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
P3 12:53
Penalty to Garnet Hathaway 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Declan Carlile)
P3 12:07
SHOT
Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 11:37
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P3 11:37
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
P3 11:00
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Owen Tippett in neutral zone
P3 10:59
GOAL
Goal scored by Gage Goncalves assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Brayden Point
7-2
P3 10:30
Noah Cates won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P3 10:30
Stoppage - Icing
P3 09:00
Rodrigo Abols won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
P3 09:00
GOAL
Goal scored by Yanni Gourde assisted by Zemgus Girgensons
6-2
P3 07:52
Denver Barkey credited with hit on Gage Goncalves in offensive zone
P3 07:14
Nikita Grebenkin credited with hit on Charle-Edouard D'Astous in offensive zone
P3 06:23
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Crozier
P3 06:02
SHOT
Declan Carlile shot blocked by Noah Juulsen
P3 06:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Crozier
P3 05:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Samuel Ersson
P3 05:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Samuel Ersson
P3 04:45
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P3 04:45
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Owen Tippett assisted by Christian Dvorak
5-2
P3 04:43
Power play - Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P3 04:43
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 04:41
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Cam York saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 04:13
Power play - Noah Cates won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P3 04:13
Penalty to Gage Goncalves 2 minutes for High Sticking
P3 03:37
Brayden Point won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in neutral zone
P3 03:36
GOAL
Goal scored by Brandon Hagel
5-1
P3 03:29
SHOT
Denver Barkey shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
P3 03:02
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P3 03:00
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
P3 03:00
Stoppage - Icing
P3 02:53
Sean Couturier won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P3 02:53
Stoppage - Hand Pass
P3 02:28
SHOT
Lightning shot blocked by Nikita Kucherov
P3 02:03
Dominic James won faceoff against Rodrigo Abols in neutral zone
P3 02:03
GOAL
Goal scored by Gage Goncalves
4-1
P3 01:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Trevor Zegras
P3 01:29
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P3 01:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Carl Grundstrom saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 01:03
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Travis Sanheim
P3 00:00
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sean Couturier in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:52
SHOT
Shot missed by Trevor Zegras
P2 19:05
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in defensive zone
P2 19:05
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 18:30
SHOT
Shot missed by Sean Couturier
P2 17:39
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P2 17:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Samuel Ersson
P2 17:25
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
P2 16:52
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P2 16:52
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 16:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cam York saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 16:26
Sean Couturier won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
P2 16:26
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 15:11
Nikita Grebenkin credited with hit on Nick Paul in neutral zone
P2 15:01
Nick Paul won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in defensive zone
P2 15:01
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 15:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Christian Dvorak
P2 14:44
Brayden Point won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in neutral zone
P2 14:44
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 14:43
Giveaway by Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P2 14:31
Noah Cates won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
P2 14:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Grebenkin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 14:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Samuel Ersson
P2 13:37
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in neutral zone
P2 13:36
GOAL
Goal scored by Jake Guentzel
2-1
P2 13:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Samuel Ersson
P2 13:33
SHOT
Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Nick Seeler
P2 12:57
Sean Couturier won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P2 11:15
Nicolas Deslauriers credited with hit on Max Crozier in offensive zone
P2 11:11
Dominic James credited with hit on Garnet Hathaway in offensive zone
P2 10:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Rodrigo Abols
P2 10:40
Nick Paul won faceoff against Rodrigo Abols in offensive zone
P2 10:40
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 10:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Samuel Ersson
P2 10:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matvei Michkov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 10:06
SHOT
Yanni Gourde shot blocked by Noah Juulsen
P2 09:22
SHOT
Emil Andrae shot blocked by teammate
P2 08:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Cates saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 07:42
Brayden Point won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
P2 07:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Flyers
P2 07:42
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 07:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Samuel Ersson
P2 07:23
SHOT
Noah Cates shot blocked by teammate
P2 07:21
SHOT
Cam York shot blocked by teammate
P2 07:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicolas Deslauriers
P2 06:39
SHOT
Lightning shot blocked by Noah Juulsen
P2 06:14
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Owen Tippett
P2 06:05
Giveaway by Nick Seeler in defensive zone
P2 05:51
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
P2 05:51
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 05:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Samuel Ersson
P2 04:47
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Carl Grundstrom
P2 03:59
Brayden Point won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
P2 03:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Paul
P2 02:45
Dominic James won faceoff against Rodrigo Abols in neutral zone
P2 02:42
SHOT
Max Crozier shot blocked by Emil Andrae
P2 02:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Samuel Ersson
P2 02:06
SHOT
Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Owen Tippett
P2 01:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Ristolainen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 01:42
Sean Couturier won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P2 01:42
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 00:42
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Travis Sanheim in defensive zone
P2 00:29
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Travis Sanheim saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 00:05
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Christian Dvorak saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 00:00
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Sean Couturier in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:52
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Samuel Ersson
P1 19:43
SHOT
Power play - Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Rasmus Ristolainen
P1 19:05
SHOT
Power play - Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Rasmus Ristolainen
P1 18:55
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
P1 18:55
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 18:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Samuel Ersson
P1 17:58
Max Crozier credited with hit on Noah Cates in defensive zone
P1 17:48
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
P1 17:48
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 17:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Seeler
P1 17:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Grebenkin
P1 16:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Samuel Ersson
P1 15:22
Sean Couturier won faceoff against Gage Goncalves in defensive zone
P1 15:22
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
P1 14:15
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Christian Dvorak
P1 13:57
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 13:49
SHOT
Power play - Cam York shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P1 13:34
SHOT
Power play - Owen Tippett shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P1 13:27
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Matvei Michkov
P1 13:17
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P1 13:13
Shorthanded - Nick Paul won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
P1 12:25
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sean Couturier in neutral zone
P1 12:25
Stoppage - Offside
P1 12:10
Takeaway by Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P1 11:51
SHOT
Yanni Gourde shot blocked by Trevor Zegras
P1 11:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Christian Dvorak saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 10:45
Brayden Point won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
P1 10:45
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 10:42
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
P1 09:37
Giveaway by Noah Cates in neutral zone
P1 09:34
Giveaway by Brayden Point in neutral zone
P1 09:22
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P1 09:18
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
P1 08:00
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sean Couturier in neutral zone
P1 08:00
Penalty to Declan Carlile 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Garnet Hathaway)
P1 08:00
Penalty to Garnet Hathaway 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 07:03
Noah Cates credited with hit on Charle-Edouard D'Astous in offensive zone
P1 06:49
Dominic James won faceoff against Noah Cates in offensive zone
P1 06:49
Stoppage - Icing
P1 06:42
Noah Cates won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P1 06:42
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 06:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Samuel Ersson
P1 06:24
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Noah Juulsen in offensive zone
P1 06:05
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P1 06:04
GOAL
Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov
2-1
P1 05:34
SHOT
Sean Couturier shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P1 05:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 05:03
SHOT
Max Crozier shot blocked by Nicolas Deslauriers
P1 04:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Samuel Ersson
P1 04:15
Rodrigo Abols won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
P1 04:15
GOAL
Goal scored by Garnet Hathaway assisted by Noah Juulsen and Rodrigo Abols
1-1
P1 04:00
Rodrigo Abols won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P1 04:00
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 03:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Seeler saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 03:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Christian Dvorak saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 03:09
Giveaway by Declan Carlile in defensive zone
P1 02:46
Dominic James won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
P1 02:46
Stoppage - Icing
P1 02:37
SHOT
Shot missed by Rodrigo Abols
P1 02:37
Giveaway by Max Crozier in defensive zone
P1 01:49
Brayden Point won faceoff against Sean Couturier in neutral zone
P1 01:49
GOAL
Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Brayden Point
1-1
P1 00:54
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Matvei Michkov
P1 00:52
Giveaway by Trevor Zegras in defensive zone
P1 00:38
Darren Raddysh credited with hit on Emil Andrae in defensive zone
P1 00:31
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P1 00:31
Stoppage - Offside
P1 00:14
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P1 00:03
Nikita Grebenkin credited with hit on Erik Cernak in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Noah Cates in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Lightning
STATS
Flyers
23Shots on Goal20
63% Faceoff Win % 37%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/1
9Penalty Infraction Mins9
18Hits32
6Shots Blocked14
15Giveaways14
LightningTB
FlyersPHI
23Shots on Goal20
63% Faceoff Win % 37%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/1
9Penalty Infraction Mins9
18Hits32
6Shots Blocked14
15Giveaways14

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Lightning vs. Flyers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lightning vs. Flyers
  • Date: Saturday, January 10, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Lightning -176, Flyers +158

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lightning: 60%
  • Flyers: 40%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 60%, while the Flyers have a win probability of 40%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Flyers in the NHL game at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Flyers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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