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Lightning vs. Sharks Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Sharks NHL game on January 3, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
7
3
Jan 3, 9PM SAP Center at San Jose
Jan 3, 9PM SAP Center at San Jose
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 3 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
Sharks | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 3 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
Sharks | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
P3 18:54 Shot missed by Jeff Skinner
P3 18:52 Shot on goal by Pavol Regenda saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 17:29 Erik Cernak shot blocked by William Eklund
P3 16:10 Shot on goal by Pavol Regenda saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 16:10 Goal scored by Pavol Regenda assisted by Jeff Skinner
P3 16:09 Jeff Skinner shot blocked by Declan Carlile
P3 15:35 Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Sam Dickinson
P3 15:33 Brayden Point shot blocked by Alexander Wennberg
P3 14:57 Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P3 14:35 Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P3 14:21 Shot missed by Erik Cernak
P3 14:16 Shot missed by Erik Cernak
P3 12:34 Power play - Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P3 11:33 Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P3 10:49 Power play - Shot missed by Igor Chernyshov
P3 10:18 Power play - Shot on goal by Jeff Skinner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 09:59 Power play - Shot missed by Tyler Toffoli
P3 09:46 Power play - Macklin Celebrini shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 09:40 Power play - Shot missed by William Eklund
P3 09:38 Power play - Shot missed by Dmitry Orlov
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Dominic James won faceoff against Zack Ostapchuk in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Zack Ostapchuk won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
Stoppage
SHOT
Shot missed by Jeff Skinner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pavol Regenda saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Giveaway by Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Erik Cernak credited with hit on Sam Dickinson in defensive zone
Giveaway by Erik Cernak in defensive zone
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by William Eklund
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Zack Ostapchuk in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Zack Ostapchuk in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pavol Regenda saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
GOAL
Goal scored by Pavol Regenda assisted by Jeff Skinner
7-3
SHOT
Jeff Skinner shot blocked by Declan Carlile
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Sam Dickinson
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Alexander Wennberg
Giveaway by Alexander Wennberg in neutral zone
Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Cernak
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Cernak
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Dmitry Orlov in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
Shorthanded - Ty Dellandrea won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
Penalty to Sam Dickinson 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Brayden Point)
Barclay Goodrow credited with hit on Pontus Holmberg in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Igor Chernyshov
Power play - Jeff Skinner won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jeff Skinner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Power play - Takeaway by Jeff Skinner in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Tyler Toffoli
SHOT
Power play - Macklin Celebrini shot blocked by Erik Cernak
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by William Eklund
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Dmitry Orlov
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by William Eklund saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in defensive zone
Penalty to Yanni Gourde 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Macklin Celebrini)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Macklin Celebrini saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Takeaway by Brayden Point in defensive zone
SHOT
Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Vincent Iorio
Power play - Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
Shorthanded - Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against Ty Dellandrea in offensive zone
Penalty to Dmitry Orlov 2 minutes for High Sticking
SHOT
Shot missed by Igor Chernyshov
Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Takeaway by Sam Dickinson in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Reaves
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dmitry Orlov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Giveaway by Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Crozier
Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Brayden Point won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Brayden Point won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Nick Paul won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Macklin Celebrini saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Macklin Celebrini saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in defensive zone
Penalty to Gage Goncalves 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Dmitry Orlov)
Penalty to Dmitry Orlov 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Gage Goncalves)
Ty Dellandrea won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Ty Dellandrea won faceoff against Gage Goncalves in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Vincent Iorio
SHOT
Shot missed by Declan Carlile
Nick Paul won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Igor Chernyshov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Macklin Celebrini saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Dickinson
SHOT
Macklin Celebrini shot blocked by Erik Cernak
SHOT
Shot missed by Macklin Celebrini
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Darren Raddysh assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Nick Paul
7-2
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nick Paul
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Lightning
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in offensive zone
Penalty to Jake Guentzel 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Barclay Goodrow)
Penalty to Barclay Goodrow 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Anthony Cirelli)
Penalty to Brandon Hagel 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to J.J. Moser 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Ryan Reaves)
Zack Ostapchuk won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Zack Ostapchuk credited with hit on Charle-Edouard D'Astous in offensive zone
Zack Ostapchuk won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Oliver Bjorkstrand and Brayden Point
6-2
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in offensive zone
Penalty to William Eklund 2 minutes for Misconduct
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
SHOT
Shot missed by Vincent Iorio
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Reaves
Nikita Kucherov credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in offensive zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Timothy Liljegren assisted by Jeff Skinner and Macklin Celebrini
5-2
Brayden Point won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Pavol Regenda
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jeff Skinner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
William Eklund credited with hit on Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Vincent Iorio
Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Barclay Goodrow
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Igor Chernyshov
Brayden Point won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Tyler Toffoli shot blocked by Erik Cernak
SHOT
Shot missed by Collin Graf
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Alexander Wennberg
Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
SHOT
Shot missed by Barclay Goodrow
SHOT
Shot missed by Tyler Toffoli
Zack Ostapchuk won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Dominic James
5-1
Zack Ostapchuk won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Darren Raddysh assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Oliver Bjorkstrand
4-1
Shorthanded - Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Penalty to Pavol Regenda 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Brayden Point)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ty Dellandrea saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - William Eklund shot blocked by Erik Cernak
Power play - Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Power play - Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Macklin Celebrini saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Shorthanded - Nick Paul won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in defensive zone
Penalty to J.J. Moser 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Shot missed by Macklin Celebrini
Macklin Celebrini credited with hit on Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
Brayden Point won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
SHOT
Dmitry Orlov shot blocked by Declan Carlile
Zack Ostapchuk won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
Giveaway by Igor Chernyshov in offensive zone
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Shakir Mukhamadullin
Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
Darren Raddysh credited with hit on Ty Dellandrea in neutral zone
Ty Dellandrea won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
SHOT
Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Vincent Iorio
SHOT
Dominic James shot blocked by Vincent Iorio
Barclay Goodrow credited with hit on J.J. Moser in offensive zone
Ryan Reaves credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in offensive zone
Giveaway by Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Igor Chernyshov credited with hit on Brandon Hagel in neutral zone
Giveaway by Erik Cernak in offensive zone
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Igor Chernyshov
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
SHOT
Shot missed by Timothy Liljegren
Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Pavol Regenda
3-1
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Timothy Liljegren saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Pavol Regenda saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Shorthanded - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Macklin Celebrini shot blocked by J.J. Moser
Power play - Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in offensive zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in neutral zone
Giveaway by Gage Goncalves in neutral zone
Igor Chernyshov credited with hit on J.J. Moser in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Eklund saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by teammate
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in neutral zone
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Mario Ferraro
SHOT
Barclay Goodrow shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Yaroslav Askarov
SHOT
Declan Carlile shot blocked by Vincent Iorio
Ty Dellandrea won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Yaroslav Askarov
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
Brayden Point won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Yaroslav Askarov
SHOT
Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Yaroslav Askarov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Yaroslav Askarov
Brayden Point won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
Giveaway by Erik Cernak in neutral zone
Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zack Ostapchuk saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zack Ostapchuk saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Yaroslav Askarov
SHOT
Dominic James shot blocked by Vincent Iorio
Dominic James won faceoff against Zack Ostapchuk in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Brayden Point assisted by Max Crozier and Nikita Kucherov
1-0
Pavol Regenda won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jeff Skinner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Yaroslav Askarov
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 26 | Shots on Goal | 22 | |||
| 44% | Faceoff Win % | 56% | |||
| 5/3 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/1 | |||
| 16 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 30 | |||
| 8 | Hits | 23 | |||
| 8 | Shots Blocked | 17 | |||
| 19 | Giveaways | 13 |
| |
|---|
| 26 | Shots on Goal | 22 | |||
| 44% | Faceoff Win % | 56% | |||
| 5/3 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/1 | |||
| 16 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 30 | |||
| 8 | Hits | 23 | |||
| 8 | Shots Blocked | 17 | |||
| 19 | Giveaways | 13 |
Game Prediction Article
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Lightning vs. Sharks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Lightning vs. Sharks
- Date: Saturday, January 3, 2026
- Time: 4:00 PM ET
- Venue: SAP Center at San Jose
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Lightning -210, Sharks +180
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Lightning: 64%
- Sharks: 36%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 64%, while the Sharks have a win probability of 36%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Sharks in the NHL game at SAP Center at San Jose on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Lightning vs. Sharks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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