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Lightning vs. Sharks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Sharks NHL game on January 3, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
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NHL
Lightning
7
3
Jan 3, 9PM SAP Center at San Jose
Sharks
Jan 3, 9PM SAP Center at San Jose
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Lightning
3407
Sharks
1113
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
LightningTB
Win %
100%
0%
SharksSJ
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Lightning
3407
Sharks
1113
P3 18:54 Shot missed by Jeff Skinner
P3 18:52 Shot on goal by Pavol Regenda saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 17:29 Erik Cernak shot blocked by William Eklund
P3 16:10 Shot on goal by Pavol Regenda saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 16:10 Goal scored by Pavol Regenda assisted by Jeff Skinner
P3 16:09 Jeff Skinner shot blocked by Declan Carlile
P3 15:35 Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Sam Dickinson
P3 15:33 Brayden Point shot blocked by Alexander Wennberg
P3 14:57 Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P3 14:35 Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P3 14:21 Shot missed by Erik Cernak
P3 14:16 Shot missed by Erik Cernak
P3 12:34 Power play - Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P3 11:33 Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P3 10:49 Power play - Shot missed by Igor Chernyshov
P3 10:18 Power play - Shot on goal by Jeff Skinner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 09:59 Power play - Shot missed by Tyler Toffoli
P3 09:46 Power play - Macklin Celebrini shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 09:40 Power play - Shot missed by William Eklund
P3 09:38 Power play - Shot missed by Dmitry Orlov
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:48
Dominic James won faceoff against Zack Ostapchuk in defensive zone
P3 19:48
Stoppage - Icing
P3 19:27
Zack Ostapchuk won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
P3 19:27
Stoppage
P3 18:54
SHOT
Shot missed by Jeff Skinner
P3 18:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pavol Regenda saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:22
Giveaway by Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P3 17:50
Erik Cernak credited with hit on Sam Dickinson in defensive zone
P3 17:49
Giveaway by Erik Cernak in defensive zone
P3 17:29
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by William Eklund
P3 16:23
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Zack Ostapchuk in offensive zone
P3 16:23
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 16:11
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Zack Ostapchuk in neutral zone
P3 16:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pavol Regenda saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 16:10
GOAL
Goal scored by Pavol Regenda assisted by Jeff Skinner
7-3
P3 16:09
SHOT
Jeff Skinner shot blocked by Declan Carlile
P3 15:35
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Sam Dickinson
P3 15:33
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Alexander Wennberg
P3 15:17
Giveaway by Alexander Wennberg in neutral zone
P3 15:00
Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P3 15:00
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P3 14:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P3 14:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P3 14:34
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in offensive zone
P3 14:34
Stoppage - Icing
P3 14:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Cernak
P3 14:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Cernak
P3 13:54
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Dmitry Orlov in defensive zone
P3 12:34
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P3 12:08
Shorthanded - Ty Dellandrea won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
P3 12:08
Penalty to Sam Dickinson 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Brayden Point)
P3 11:35
Barclay Goodrow credited with hit on Pontus Holmberg in defensive zone
P3 11:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P3 10:49
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Igor Chernyshov
P3 10:20
Power play - Jeff Skinner won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
P3 10:20
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 10:18
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jeff Skinner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 10:14
Power play - Takeaway by Jeff Skinner in offensive zone
P3 09:59
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Tyler Toffoli
P3 09:46
SHOT
Power play - Macklin Celebrini shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 09:40
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by William Eklund
P3 09:38
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Dmitry Orlov
P3 09:28
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by William Eklund saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 09:00
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in defensive zone
P3 09:00
Penalty to Yanni Gourde 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Macklin Celebrini)
P3 08:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Macklin Celebrini saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 08:25
Takeaway by Brayden Point in defensive zone
P3 08:16
SHOT
Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Vincent Iorio
P3 07:49
Power play - Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone
P3 07:05
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 06:35
Shorthanded - Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
P3 06:35
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 06:33
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P3 06:13
Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against Ty Dellandrea in offensive zone
P3 06:13
Penalty to Dmitry Orlov 2 minutes for High Sticking
P3 05:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Igor Chernyshov
P3 05:44
Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P3 05:44
Stoppage - Icing
P3 05:08
Takeaway by Sam Dickinson in neutral zone
P3 05:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Reaves
P3 03:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P3 03:19
Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P3 03:19
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 03:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dmitry Orlov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 02:41
Giveaway by Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
P3 02:24
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Crozier
P3 01:49
Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P3 01:49
Stoppage - Offside
P3 01:40
Brayden Point won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in offensive zone
P3 01:40
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 01:23
Brayden Point won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in neutral zone
P3 01:23
Stoppage - Offside
P3 00:33
Nick Paul won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in defensive zone
P3 00:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Macklin Celebrini saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 00:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Macklin Celebrini saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 00:00
Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:23
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in defensive zone
P2 19:23
Penalty to Gage Goncalves 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Dmitry Orlov)
P2 19:23
Penalty to Dmitry Orlov 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Gage Goncalves)
P2 18:47
Ty Dellandrea won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P2 18:47
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 18:37
Ty Dellandrea won faceoff against Gage Goncalves in offensive zone
P2 18:37
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 18:34
SHOT
Shot missed by Vincent Iorio
P2 18:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Declan Carlile
P2 17:44
Nick Paul won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in defensive zone
P2 17:44
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 17:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Igor Chernyshov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 17:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Macklin Celebrini saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 17:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Dickinson
P2 17:01
SHOT
Macklin Celebrini shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P2 17:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Macklin Celebrini
P2 16:53
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in neutral zone
P2 16:53
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Darren Raddysh assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Nick Paul
7-2
P2 16:43
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nick Paul
P2 15:59
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Lightning
P2 15:39
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in offensive zone
P2 15:39
Penalty to Jake Guentzel 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Barclay Goodrow)
P2 15:39
Penalty to Barclay Goodrow 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Anthony Cirelli)
P2 15:39
Penalty to Brandon Hagel 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 15:39
Penalty to J.J. Moser 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Ryan Reaves)
P2 15:16
Zack Ostapchuk won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P2 15:16
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P2 14:45
Zack Ostapchuk credited with hit on Charle-Edouard D'Astous in offensive zone
P2 14:08
Zack Ostapchuk won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
P2 14:08
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Oliver Bjorkstrand and Brayden Point
6-2
P2 13:42
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P2 13:07
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in offensive zone
P2 13:07
Penalty to William Eklund 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 12:38
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in offensive zone
P2 12:38
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 12:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P2 11:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Vincent Iorio
P2 11:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Reaves
P2 09:57
Nikita Kucherov credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in offensive zone
P2 09:52
GOAL
Goal scored by Timothy Liljegren assisted by Jeff Skinner and Macklin Celebrini
5-2
P2 09:50
Brayden Point won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in neutral zone
P2 09:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Pavol Regenda
P2 09:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jeff Skinner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 09:18
William Eklund credited with hit on Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
P2 08:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Vincent Iorio
P2 08:17
Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P2 08:17
Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
P2 07:59
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Barclay Goodrow
P2 07:43
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
P2 06:27
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Igor Chernyshov
P2 05:51
Brayden Point won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in defensive zone
P2 05:51
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 05:26
SHOT
Tyler Toffoli shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P2 05:20
SHOT
Shot missed by Collin Graf
P2 05:03
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Alexander Wennberg
P2 04:53
Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P2 04:53
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 04:51
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P2 04:37
SHOT
Shot missed by Barclay Goodrow
P2 04:30
SHOT
Shot missed by Tyler Toffoli
P2 03:55
Zack Ostapchuk won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
P2 03:55
GOAL
Goal scored by Dominic James
5-1
P2 03:50
Zack Ostapchuk won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
P2 03:50
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 02:49
Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P2 02:49
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Darren Raddysh assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Oliver Bjorkstrand
4-1
P2 01:21
Shorthanded - Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P2 01:21
Penalty to Pavol Regenda 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Brayden Point)
P2 01:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ty Dellandrea saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 00:49
SHOT
Power play - William Eklund shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P2 00:11
Power play - Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P2 00:11
Stoppage - Offside
P2 00:00
Power play - Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:54
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Macklin Celebrini saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 19:32
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in defensive zone
P1 19:32
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P1 19:03
Shorthanded - Nick Paul won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in defensive zone
P1 19:03
Penalty to J.J. Moser 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 18:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Macklin Celebrini
P1 18:43
Macklin Celebrini credited with hit on Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P1 18:19
Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P1 18:19
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 18:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P1 17:45
Brayden Point won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in offensive zone
P1 17:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P1 17:25
SHOT
Dmitry Orlov shot blocked by Declan Carlile
P1 16:47
Zack Ostapchuk won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
P1 16:47
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 16:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P1 16:04
Giveaway by Igor Chernyshov in offensive zone
P1 15:28
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Shakir Mukhamadullin
P1 15:23
Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P1 15:23
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 15:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P1 15:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P1 15:00
Darren Raddysh credited with hit on Ty Dellandrea in neutral zone
P1 14:08
Ty Dellandrea won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P1 14:08
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 14:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P1 13:54
SHOT
Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Vincent Iorio
P1 13:35
SHOT
Dominic James shot blocked by Vincent Iorio
P1 12:42
Barclay Goodrow credited with hit on J.J. Moser in offensive zone
P1 12:40
Ryan Reaves credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in offensive zone
P1 12:06
Giveaway by Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P1 11:56
Igor Chernyshov credited with hit on Brandon Hagel in neutral zone
P1 11:52
Giveaway by Erik Cernak in offensive zone
P1 11:36
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Igor Chernyshov
P1 11:33
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in offensive zone
P1 11:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P1 11:06
SHOT
Shot missed by Timothy Liljegren
P1 10:50
Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P1 10:48
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Pavol Regenda
3-1
P1 10:46
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Timothy Liljegren saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 10:30
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Pavol Regenda saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 09:36
Shorthanded - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in neutral zone
P1 09:15
SHOT
Power play - Macklin Celebrini shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P1 09:14
Power play - Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P1 08:53
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in offensive zone
P1 08:53
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P1 08:18
Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in neutral zone
P1 08:00
Giveaway by Gage Goncalves in neutral zone
P1 07:51
Igor Chernyshov credited with hit on J.J. Moser in offensive zone
P1 07:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Eklund saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 07:23
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by teammate
P1 06:46
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in neutral zone
P1 06:45
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Mario Ferraro
P1 06:37
SHOT
Barclay Goodrow shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P1 05:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P1 05:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Yaroslav Askarov
P1 05:45
SHOT
Declan Carlile shot blocked by Vincent Iorio
P1 05:08
Ty Dellandrea won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
P1 05:08
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 05:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Yaroslav Askarov
P1 04:49
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
P1 04:45
Brayden Point won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in offensive zone
P1 04:45
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 04:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Yaroslav Askarov
P1 04:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
P1 04:08
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in neutral zone
P1 04:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Yaroslav Askarov
P1 04:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Yaroslav Askarov
P1 03:49
Brayden Point won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in offensive zone
P1 03:49
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 03:46
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
P1 03:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P1 03:14
Giveaway by Erik Cernak in neutral zone
P1 03:06
Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P1 03:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zack Ostapchuk saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 03:06
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 03:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zack Ostapchuk saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 02:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Yaroslav Askarov
P1 02:51
SHOT
Dominic James shot blocked by Vincent Iorio
P1 02:37
Dominic James won faceoff against Zack Ostapchuk in neutral zone
P1 02:37
GOAL
Goal scored by Brayden Point assisted by Max Crozier and Nikita Kucherov
1-0
P1 02:08
Pavol Regenda won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
P1 02:08
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 02:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jeff Skinner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 01:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Yaroslav Askarov
P1 00:00
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Lightning
STATS
Sharks
26Shots on Goal22
44%Faceoff Win %56%
5/3 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
16Penalty Infraction Mins30
8Hits23
8Shots Blocked17
19Giveaways13
LightningTB
SharksSJ
26Shots on Goal22
44%Faceoff Win %56%
5/3 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
16Penalty Infraction Mins30
8Hits23
8Shots Blocked17
19Giveaways13

Game Prediction Article

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Lightning vs. Sharks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lightning vs. Sharks
  • Date: Saturday, January 3, 2026
  • Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • Venue: SAP Center at San Jose

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Lightning -210, Sharks +180

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lightning: 64%
  • Sharks: 36%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 64%, while the Sharks have a win probability of 36%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Sharks in the NHL game at SAP Center at San Jose on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Sharks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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