Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings NHL game on October 11, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

FINAL

NHL

FINAL

NHL

Maple Leafs

Oct 11, 11PM Little Caesars Arena

Red Wings

Oct 11, 11PM Little Caesars Arena

In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play

Game PredictionsPre-Game

Best Bets

TEAM	1	2	3	T
Maple Leafs	2	0	1	3
Red Wings	0	3	3	6

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

Maple LeafsTOR

Win %

100%

Red WingsDET

Win Probability

TEAM	1	2	3	T
Maple Leafs	2	0	1	3
Red Wings	0	3	3	6

Play by Play

GOALS

ALL

P3 20:00

End of 3rd Period.

P3 19:55

Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone

P3 19:55

SHOT

Shot on goal by Andrew Copp saved by Anthony Stolarz

P3 19:48

SHOT

Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson

P3 19:11

SHOT

Nicholas Robertson shot blocked by Moritz Seider

P3 18:58

Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Andrew Copp in offensive zone

P3 18:58

Stoppage - Icing

P3 18:12

J.T. Compher won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone

P3 17:38

Dylan Larkin won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone

P3 17:38

John Tavares won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone

P3 17:38

Stoppage - Offside

P3 17:14

Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Marco Kasper in neutral zone

P3 17:14

Stoppage - Puck in Benches

P3 17:06

Marco Kasper won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in defensive zone

P3 17:06

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P3 17:02

SHOT

Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Cameron Talbot

P3 16:52

SHOT

Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews

P3 16:21

SHOT

Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares

P3 16:14

SHOT

Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Knies

P3 16:10

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Cameron Talbot

P3 16:03

Shorthanded - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone

P3 16:03

Stoppage - Puck in Netting

P3 15:59

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Cameron Talbot

P3 15:43

SHOT

Power play - John Tavares shot blocked by Moritz Seider

P3 15:33

SHOT

Power play - John Tavares shot blocked by Ben Chiarot

P3 14:56

Shorthanded - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone

P3 14:56

Penalty to Jonatan Berggren 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Simon Benoit)

P3 13:45

SHOT

Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Anthony Stolarz

P3 13:17

Giveaway by Max Domi in offensive zone

P3 11:54

Lucas Raymond won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone

P3 11:54

Penalty to Bobby McMann 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Simon Edvinsson)

P3 11:54

Penalty to Simon Edvinsson 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Bobby McMann)

P3 11:35

SHOT

Shot missed by Max Domi

P3 10:43

Giveaway by Marco Kasper in offensive zone

P3 09:57

SHOT

Shot missed by William Nylander

P3 08:38

SHOT

Power play - Axel Sandin-Pellikka shot blocked by Jake McCabe

P3 08:02

Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone

P3 07:23

Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone

P3 07:21

Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone

P3 07:21

Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone

P3 07:21

Penalty to Max Domi 2 minutes for Misconduct

P3 07:12

SHOT

Shot missed by Jonatan Berggren

P3 06:52

Max Domi won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in offensive zone

P3 06:45

Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone

P3 06:43

SHOT

Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Lucas Raymond saved by Anthony Stolarz

P3 05:42

Shorthanded - Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone

P3 05:22

Auston Matthews won faceoff against Emmitt Finnie in defensive zone

P3 05:22

Stoppage - Puck in Netting

P3 05:19

SHOT

Jacob Bernard-Docker shot blocked by Bobby McMann

P3 05:13

SHOT

Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Anthony Stolarz

P3 05:01

Marco Kasper won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone

P3 05:01

SHOT

Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Cameron Talbot

P3 05:01

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P3 04:58

SHOT

Shot on goal by Marco Kasper saved by Anthony Stolarz

P3 04:28

SHOT

Shot on goal by Axel Sandin-Pellikka saved by Anthony Stolarz

P3 03:03

SHOT

Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Nicolas Roy saved by Cameron Talbot

P3 02:38

Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone

P3 02:38

GOAL

Goal scored by Max Domi assisted by Morgan Rielly

3-3

P3 02:37

SHOT

Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Cameron Talbot

P3 01:42

William Nylander won faceoff against Marco Kasper in defensive zone

P3 01:36

SHOT

Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews

P3 01:15

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Cameron Talbot

P3 01:09

Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone

P3 01:07

SHOT

Power play - Morgan Rielly shot blocked by J.T. Compher

P3 01:02

Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone

P3 01:02

Penalty to Axel Sandin-Pellikka 2 minutes for Misconduct

P3 00:41

John Tavares won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone

P3 00:29

SHOT

Shot missed by Dakota Joshua

P3 00:24

Andrew Copp won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone

P3 00:24

Stoppage - Puck in Netting

P3 00:11

SHOT

Moritz Seider shot blocked by Matthew Knies

P3 00:11

Giveaway by Auston Matthews in defensive zone

P3 00:00

Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone

P2 20:00

End of 2nd Period.

P2 19:53

SHOT

Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Cameron Talbot

P2 19:44

SHOT

Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Anthony Stolarz

P2 19:09

SHOT

Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Anthony Stolarz

P2 18:10

Andrew Copp won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone

P2 18:09

GOAL

Goal scored by Patrick Kane assisted by Alex DeBrincat and Albert Johansson

2-3

P2 18:05

SHOT

Shot on goal by Albert Johansson saved by Anthony Stolarz

P2 17:57

SHOT

Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Nicolas Roy

P2 17:30

SHOT

Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Cameron Talbot

P2 16:49

SHOT

Auston Matthews shot blocked by Dylan Larkin

P2 16:48

Auston Matthews won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone

P2 16:48

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 16:42

SHOT

Shot on goal by Chris Tanev saved by Cameron Talbot

P2 16:35

Michael Rasmussen credited with hit on Jake McCabe in offensive zone

P2 15:47

John Tavares won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone

P2 15:32

J.T. Compher won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone

P2 15:32

Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout

P2 14:55

Auston Matthews won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone

P2 14:55

GOAL

Goal scored by Lucas Raymond assisted by Dylan Larkin and Emmitt Finnie

2-2

P2 14:45

SHOT

Shot on goal by Emmitt Finnie saved by Anthony Stolarz

P2 14:13

SHOT

Shot on goal by Marco Kasper saved by Anthony Stolarz

P2 13:28

SHOT

Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Anthony Stolarz

P2 12:52

SHOT

Simon Edvinsson shot blocked by Bobby McMann

P2 12:50

Andrew Copp won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone

P2 12:50

Stoppage - Icing

P2 12:32

John Tavares won faceoff against J.T. Compher in defensive zone

P2 12:32

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout

P2 12:29

SHOT

Shot on goal by Michael Brandsegg-Nygård saved by Anthony Stolarz

P2 12:16

SHOT

Albert Johansson shot blocked by Auston Matthews

P2 12:03

SHOT

Jacob Bernard-Docker shot blocked by Auston Matthews

P2 12:01

SHOT

Jacob Bernard-Docker shot blocked by Matias Maccelli

P2 11:38

SHOT

Shot on goal by Red Wings saved by Anthony Stolarz

P2 11:38

SHOT

Shot missed by Albert Johansson

P2 11:14

SHOT

Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Anthony Stolarz

P2 11:04

SHOT

Lucas Raymond shot blocked by Auston Matthews

P2 10:03

SHOT

Shot on goal by Axel Sandin-Pellikka saved by Anthony Stolarz

P2 09:54

SHOT

Max Domi shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson

P2 08:56

Marco Kasper won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone

P2 08:54

GOAL

Goal scored by Marco Kasper

2-1

P2 08:27

SHOT

Shot missed by Michael Brandsegg-Nygård

P2 08:14

Oliver Ekman-Larsson credited with hit on J.T. Compher in defensive zone

P2 07:53

Andrew Copp won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone

P2 07:53

Stoppage - Puck in Netting

P2 07:51

SHOT

Max Domi shot blocked by Axel Sandin-Pellikka

P2 07:44

SHOT

Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Andrew Copp

P2 07:42

John Tavares won faceoff against Andrew Copp in offensive zone

P2 07:42

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 07:39

SHOT

Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Cameron Talbot

P2 07:14

SHOT

Shot missed by Dylan Larkin

P2 06:52

Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone

P2 06:52

Maple Leafs won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone

P2 06:52

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout

P2 06:50

SHOT

Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Cameron Talbot

P2 06:36

SHOT

Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Anthony Stolarz

P2 06:01

SHOT

Jake McCabe shot blocked by Mason Appleton

P2 05:51

SHOT

Shot on goal by Nicolas Roy saved by Cameron Talbot

P2 05:34

Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in offensive zone

P2 05:34

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 05:32

SHOT

Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Cameron Talbot

P2 05:25

SHOT

Albert Johansson shot blocked by Dakota Joshua

P2 04:54

SHOT

Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Morgan Rielly

P2 04:41

SHOT

Shot on goal by Axel Sandin-Pellikka saved by Anthony Stolarz

P2 04:33

SHOT

Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by teammate

P2 04:18

SHOT

Shot on goal by Simon Edvinsson saved by Anthony Stolarz

P2 04:09

SHOT

Shot missed by Michael Brandsegg-Nygård

P2 04:04

SHOT

Shot missed by Red Wings

P2 03:46

SHOT

Ben Chiarot shot blocked by teammate

P2 03:07

SHOT

Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Cameron Talbot

P2 02:23

SHOT

William Nylander shot blocked by Michael Rasmussen

P2 01:29

SHOT

Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson

P2 01:11

SHOT

Shot on goal by Dakota Joshua saved by Cameron Talbot

P2 01:09

Max Domi won faceoff against Marco Kasper in offensive zone

P2 01:09

Stoppage - Puck in Netting

P2 01:08

SHOT

Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Michael Brandsegg-Nygård

P2 00:38

SHOT

Auston Matthews shot blocked by Moritz Seider

P2 00:26

SHOT

Shot missed by Auston Matthews

P2 00:00

Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone

P1 20:00

End of 1st Period.

P1 19:50

Max Domi won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone

P1 19:50

Stoppage - Puck Frozen

P1 19:47

SHOT

Dakota Joshua shot blocked by Moritz Seider

P1 19:23

SHOT

Shot missed by Albert Johansson

P1 18:35

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Marco Kasper saved by Anthony Stolarz

P1 17:55

SHOT

Power play - Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat

P1 17:48

SHOT

Power play - Shot missed by Dylan Larkin

P1 16:58

SHOT

Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Nicolas Roy saved by Cameron Talbot

P1 16:44

SHOT

Power play - Patrick Kane shot blocked by teammate

P1 16:42

SHOT

Power play - Dylan Larkin shot blocked by Chris Tanev

P1 16:35

Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone

P1 16:35

Stoppage - TV timeout

P1 16:35

Penalty to Brandon Carlo 2 minutes for Tripping

P1 16:29

SHOT

Shot on goal by Andrew Copp saved by Anthony Stolarz

P1 15:56

SHOT

Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Cameron Talbot

P1 13:18

SHOT

Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by J.T. Compher

P1 13:16

John Tavares won faceoff against Andrew Copp in offensive zone

P1 13:16

Stoppage - Puck Frozen

P1 13:12

SHOT

Shot missed by Auston Matthews

P1 12:59

SHOT

Shot on goal by Emmitt Finnie saved by Anthony Stolarz

P1 12:29

Auston Matthews won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone

P1 12:29

SHOT

Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Cameron Talbot

P1 12:27

SHOT

Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Ben Chiarot

P1 12:08

SHOT

Shot on goal by Mason Appleton saved by Anthony Stolarz

P1 11:38

SHOT

Shot on goal by Dakota Joshua saved by Cameron Talbot

P1 11:27

Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone

P1 11:27

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P1 11:25

SHOT

Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Anthony Stolarz

P1 11:10

SHOT

Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Anthony Stolarz

P1 10:51

SHOT

Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat

P1 10:46

SHOT

Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat

P1 10:40

John Tavares won faceoff against Marco Kasper in defensive zone

P1 10:40

Stoppage - Icing

P1 10:19

John Tavares won faceoff against Andrew Copp in neutral zone

P1 10:19

Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout

P1 09:54

SHOT

Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Anthony Stolarz

P1 09:33

SHOT

Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Cameron Talbot

P1 09:24

Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone

P1 09:24

Stoppage - Puck Frozen

P1 09:04

SHOT

Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Cameron Talbot

P1 09:03

Giveaway by Simon Edvinsson in defensive zone

P1 08:43

SHOT

Simon Benoit shot blocked by Marco Kasper

P1 08:06

Giveaway by Jacob Bernard-Docker in offensive zone

P1 07:58

SHOT

Shot on goal by Jacob Bernard-Docker saved by Anthony Stolarz

P1 07:50

Marco Kasper won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone

P1 07:50

Stoppage - Icing

P1 07:38

SHOT

Shot missed by Michael Brandsegg-Nygård

P1 07:11

John Tavares won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone

P1 07:11

Stoppage - High Stick

P1 06:52

Giveaway by Jake McCabe in defensive zone

P1 06:32

Matias Maccelli won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone

P1 06:32

Stoppage - Offside

P1 06:19

Auston Matthews won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone

P1 06:19

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout

P1 06:16

SHOT

Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Cameron Talbot

P1 05:17

SHOT

Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson

P1 04:15

SHOT

Shot missed by Michael Brandsegg-Nygård

P1 03:20

SHOT

Shot on goal by Ben Chiarot saved by Anthony Stolarz

P1 02:27

Auston Matthews won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone

P1 02:24

SHOT

Chris Tanev shot blocked by teammate

P1 02:18

Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against Steven Lorentz in defensive zone

P1 02:18

Stoppage - Icing

P1 01:57

SHOT

Shot missed by Marco Kasper

P1 01:18

SHOT

Shot on goal by J.T. Compher saved by Anthony Stolarz

P1 01:16

SHOT

Shot on goal by Michael Brandsegg-Nygård saved by Anthony Stolarz

P1 00:49

SHOT

Shot missed by William Nylander

P1 00:43

SHOT

Simon Edvinsson shot blocked by Jake McCabe

P1 00:09

Ben Chiarot credited with hit on Matias Maccelli in defensive zone

P1 00:00

Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone

P1 00:00

Game Setup.

Stats

Maple Leafs		STATS		Red Wings

23	Shots on Goal	35
48%	Faceoff Win %	52%
2/0	PP Opportunities/PP Goals	4/1
10	Penalty Infraction Mins	6
22	Hits	15
16	Shots Blocked	14
14	Giveaways	13

Maple LeafsTOR			Red WingsDET

23	Shots on Goal	35
48%	Faceoff Win %	52%
2/0	PP Opportunities/PP Goals	4/1
10	Penalty Infraction Mins	6
22	Hits	15
16	Shots Blocked	14
14	Giveaways	13

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Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings
Date: Saturday, October 11, 2025
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Venue: Little Caesars Arena

Current Betting Odds

Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
Total (Over/Under): 6
Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs -142, Red Wings +122

Dimers' Win Probabilities

Maple Leafs: 55%
Red Wings: 45%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 55%, while the Red Wings have a win probability of 45%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Red Wings in the NHL game at Little Caesars Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Prediction, Picks and Odds

Best Sportsbook Promotions

Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Current Betting Odds

Dimers' Win Probabilities

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

Summary

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