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Lightning vs. Red Wings Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Red Wings NHL game on November 28, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
6
3
Nov 28, 5PM Little Caesars Arena
Nov 28, 5PM Little Caesars Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
Red Wings | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
Red Wings | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
P3 19:47 Shot on goal by Emmitt Finnie saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:39 Shot on goal by J.T. Compher saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 17:13 Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Darren Raddysh (Empty Net)
P3 17:04 Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 15:30 Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by John Gibson
P3 15:20 Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 13:58 Shot missed by Lucas Raymond
P3 13:56 Shot on goal by Red Wings saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 13:56 Shot on goal by Michael Rasmussen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 13:49 Shot on goal by Axel Sandin-Pellikka saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 13:19 Shot missed by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
P3 13:05 Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by John Gibson
P3 12:56 Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P3 12:34 Goal scored by Jake Guentzel
P3 12:14 Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by John Gibson
P3 12:09 Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
P3 11:39 Dylan Larkin shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
P3 11:30 Shot on goal by Ben Chiarot saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 10:50 Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 09:37 Power play - Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emmitt Finnie saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.T. Compher saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
Nate Danielson won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
Nate Danielson won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Darren Raddysh (Empty Net)
6-3
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Moritz Seider credited with hit on Dominic James in defensive zone
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by John Gibson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Lucas Raymond
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Red Wings saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Rasmussen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Axel Sandin-Pellikka saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against J.T. Compher in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot missed by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by John Gibson
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Emmitt Finnie in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Jake Guentzel
5-3
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by John Gibson
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
SHOT
Dylan Larkin shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Penalty to Yanni Gourde 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by James van Riemsdyk)
Penalty to James van Riemsdyk 2 minutes for Roughing
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Chiarot saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Giveaway by Darren Raddysh in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Alex DeBrincat in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
Penalty to Brandon Hagel 2 minutes for Misconduct
Nick Paul won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Lilleberg
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Pontus Holmberg credited with hit on Moritz Seider in defensive zone
Simon Edvinsson credited with hit on Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Chiarot saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Darren Raddysh credited with hit on Ben Chiarot in neutral zone
Nate Danielson won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by John Gibson
Takeaway by Andrew Copp in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by John Gibson
Jacob Bernard-Docker credited with hit on Nick Paul in defensive zone
Dominic James won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Marco Kasper in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
Nick Paul won faceoff against Marco Kasper in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against J.T. Compher in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against J.T. Compher in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Dylan Larkin assisted by Lucas Raymond and Simon Edvinsson
4-3
Dominic James won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by John Gibson
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.T. Compher saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
Nick Paul won faceoff against J.T. Compher in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Yanni Gourde
4-2
SHOT
Axel Sandin-Pellikka shot blocked by teammate
Nate Danielson won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
Dominic James won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Declan Carlile in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by John Gibson
Giveaway by Jacob Bernard-Docker in offensive zone
Emmitt Finnie credited with hit on Nikita Kucherov in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Lucas Raymond shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
SHOT
Shot missed by Patrick Kane
SHOT
Shot on goal by Axel Sandin-Pellikka saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Curtis Douglas credited with hit on Patrick Kane in neutral zone
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Marco Kasper saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Lilleberg
SHOT
Shot on goal by Marco Kasper saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Declan Carlile credited with hit on Nate Danielson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Dylan Larkin
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
Lightning won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
Lightning won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by John Gibson
SHOT
Shot missed by Marco Kasper
Dominic James won faceoff against Marco Kasper in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Chiarot saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Chiarot saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - High Stick
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against J.T. Compher in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
SHOT
Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Marco Kasper
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
Ben Chiarot credited with hit on Gage Goncalves in defensive zone
Nick Paul won faceoff against Marco Kasper in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by J.T. Compher
3-2
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by John Gibson
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Nate Danielson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jacob Bernard-Docker saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Dominic James won faceoff against Nate Danielson in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by Marco Kasper saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by James van Riemsdyk
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Marco Kasper in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
SHOT
Shot missed by Mason Appleton
Nick Paul won faceoff against J.T. Compher in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lucas Raymond saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Nick Paul won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by John Gibson
Ben Chiarot credited with hit on Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Dylan Larkin
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
SHOT
Yanni Gourde shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
SHOT
Nate Danielson shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
Nate Danielson won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Darren Raddysh
1-1
Shorthanded - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Penalty to Alex DeBrincat 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Jake Guentzel)
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Marco Kasper in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Dominic James
Michael Rasmussen credited with hit on Declan Carlile in offensive zone
J.T. Compher won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Andrew Copp saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jacob Bernard-Docker saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Patrick Kane
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Dylan Larkin
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Larkin
Takeaway by Alex DeBrincat in defensive zone
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by John Gibson
Nick Paul won faceoff against J.T. Compher in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by J.T. Compher
0-1
SHOT
Shot missed by Patrick Kane
Marco Kasper won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by John Gibson
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by John Gibson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jacob Bernard-Docker saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
SHOT
Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by John Gibson
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
Giveaway by Emmitt Finnie in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Albert Johansson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
SHOT
Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Takeaway by Ben Chiarot in defensive zone
SHOT
Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
Ben Chiarot credited with hit on Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
SHOT
Steven Santini shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
Nate Danielson won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Emmitt Finnie
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Dylan Larkin
Brandon Hagel credited with hit on Lucas Raymond in offensive zone
Lightning won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by John Gibson
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Moritz Seider
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Giveaway by Gage Goncalves in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by John Gibson
Nick Paul won faceoff against Marco Kasper in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by John Gibson
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against J.T. Compher in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 28 | Shots on Goal | 36 | |||
| 53% | Faceoff Win % | 47% | |||
| 1/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 1/0 | |||
| 4 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 15 | Hits | 20 | |||
| 4 | Shots Blocked | 16 | |||
| 12 | Giveaways | 12 |
| |
|---|
| 28 | Shots on Goal | 36 | |||
| 53% | Faceoff Win % | 47% | |||
| 1/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 1/0 | |||
| 4 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 15 | Hits | 20 | |||
| 4 | Shots Blocked | 16 | |||
| 12 | Giveaways | 12 |
Game Prediction Article
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Lightning vs. Red Wings: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Lightning vs. Red Wings
- Date: Friday, November 28, 2025
- Time: 12:00 PM ET
- Venue: Little Caesars Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Lightning -121, Red Wings +110
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Lightning: 55%
- Red Wings: 45%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 55%, while the Red Wings have a win probability of 45%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Red Wings in the NHL game at Little Caesars Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Lightning vs. Red Wings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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