Stars vs. Oilers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Stars vs. Oilers NHL game on November 25, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL sport icon
NHL
Stars
8
3
Rogers Place
Oilers
Rogers Place
TEAM123T
Stars
4 2 2 8
Oilers
0 1 2 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Stars
    100%
  • Oilers
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Stars
4 2 2 8
Oilers
0 1 2 3
P3 19:56 Power play - Shot on goal by Andrew Mangiapane saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 19:37 Shot on goal by Alec Regula saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 19:06 Shot on goal by David Tomasek saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 18:22 Radek Faksa shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
P3 15:52 Shot on goal by Justin Hryckowian saved by Calvin Pickard
P3 15:37 Goal scored by Nathan Bastian assisted by Radek Faksa
P3 15:36 Shot on goal by Radek Faksa saved by Calvin Pickard
P3 14:41 Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Calvin Pickard
P3 14:24 Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 14:05 Shot missed by Connor McDavid
P3 11:45 Alexander Petrovic shot blocked by Ty Emberson
P3 10:37 Shot on goal by Adam Henrique saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 09:51 Shot missed by Alexander Petrovic
P3 09:31 Goal scored by Jack Roslovic assisted by Connor McDavid and Matt Savoie
P3 09:29 Shot missed by Connor McDavid
P3 08:56 Shot missed by David Tomasek
P3 08:22 Shot on goal by Mattias Janmark saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 08:21 Goal scored by Stars
P3 08:18 Mavrik Bourque shot blocked by teammate
P3 08:02 Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Jake Oettinger
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Andrew Mangiapane saved by Jake Oettinger
  3. P3 19:39
    Shorthanded - Radek Faksa won faceoff against Matt Savoie in defensive zone
  4. P3 19:39
    Penalty to Vladislav Kolyachonok 2 minutes for Misconduct
  5. P3 19:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alec Regula saved by Jake Oettinger
  6. P3 19:35
    Mattias Janmark won faceoff against Radek Faksa in offensive zone
  7. P3 19:35
    Stoppage - Offside
  8. P3 19:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by David Tomasek saved by Jake Oettinger
  9. P3 18:22
    SHOT
    Radek Faksa shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
  10. P3 17:37
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against David Tomasek in defensive zone
  11. P3 17:37
    Stoppage - Icing
  12. P3 16:39
    Sam Steel won faceoff against Adam Henrique in neutral zone
  13. P3 16:39
    Stoppage - Offside
  14. P3 15:53
    David Tomasek won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in defensive zone
  15. P3 15:53
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  16. P3 15:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Hryckowian saved by Calvin Pickard
  17. P3 15:39
    Mavrik Bourque won faceoff against David Tomasek in neutral zone
  18. P3 15:37
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Nathan Bastian assisted by Radek Faksa
    8-3
  19. P3 15:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Radek Faksa saved by Calvin Pickard
  20. P3 15:20
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in neutral zone
  21. P3 15:20
    Stoppage - Offside
  22. P3 14:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Calvin Pickard
  23. P3 14:29
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
  24. P3 14:29
    Stoppage - Puck in Penalty Benches
  25. P3 14:26
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
  26. P3 14:26
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  27. P3 14:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Jake Oettinger
  28. P3 14:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor McDavid
  29. P3 11:48
    Adam Henrique won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in defensive zone
  30. P3 11:48
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
  31. P3 11:45
    SHOT
    Alexander Petrovic shot blocked by Ty Emberson
  32. P3 10:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Henrique saved by Jake Oettinger
  33. P3 09:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alexander Petrovic
  34. P3 09:31
    Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
  35. P3 09:31
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jack Roslovic assisted by Connor McDavid and Matt Savoie
    7-3
  36. P3 09:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor McDavid
  37. P3 09:10
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Sam Steel in neutral zone
  38. P3 09:10
    Stoppage - Offside
  39. P3 08:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by David Tomasek
  40. P3 08:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Janmark saved by Jake Oettinger
  41. P3 08:21
    Stars won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
  42. P3 08:21
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Stars
    7-2
  43. P3 08:18
    SHOT
    Mavrik Bourque shot blocked by teammate
  44. P3 08:04
    Mavrik Bourque won faceoff against Adam Henrique in defensive zone
  45. P3 08:04
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  46. P3 08:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Jake Oettinger
  47. P3 06:33
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Darnell Nurse shot blocked by Jamie Benn
  48. P3 04:38
    Shorthanded - Adam Henrique won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
  49. P3 04:38
    Penalty to Connor Clattenburg 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Mavrik Bourque)
  50. P3 04:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jason Robertson
  51. P3 03:47
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against Vasily Podkolzin in defensive zone
  52. P3 03:47
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  53. P3 03:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Vasily Podkolzin saved by Jake Oettinger
  54. P3 03:28
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
  55. P3 03:28
    Stoppage - Icing
  56. P3 02:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Jake Oettinger
  57. P3 02:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Andrew Mangiapane
  58. P3 02:15
    SHOT
    Radek Faksa shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
  59. P3 01:23
    Mavrik Bourque won faceoff against David Tomasek in neutral zone
  60. P3 01:22
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Evan Bouchard assisted by Vasily Podkolzin and Leon Draisaitl
    6-2
  61. P3 00:34
    Giveaway by Darnell Nurse in defensive zone
  62. P3 00:22
    Giveaway by Alec Regula in offensive zone
  63. P3 00:00
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
  64. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  65. P2 19:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Hryckowian saved by Calvin Pickard
  66. P2 19:54
    SHOT
    Kyle Capobianco shot blocked by David Tomasek
  67. P2 19:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexander Petrovic saved by Calvin Pickard
  68. P2 19:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Calvin Pickard
  69. P2 18:40
    SHOT
    Jason Robertson shot blocked by Adam Henrique
  70. P2 16:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Calvin Pickard
  71. P2 15:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Jake Oettinger
  72. P2 15:36
    David Tomasek won faceoff against Radek Faksa in neutral zone
  73. P2 15:36
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Wyatt Johnston assisted by Jason Robertson and Tyler Seguin
    6-1
  74. P2 15:34
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Calvin Pickard
  75. P2 15:26
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Calvin Pickard
  76. P2 14:57
    SHOT
    Power play - Jason Robertson shot blocked by Alec Regula
  77. P2 14:38
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Jake Oettinger
  78. P2 14:35
    SHOT
    Power play - Kyle Capobianco shot blocked by Ty Emberson
  79. P2 14:01
    Power play - Jamie Benn won faceoff against Vasily Podkolzin in neutral zone
  80. P2 14:01
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Jason Robertson assisted by Tyler Seguin and Wyatt Johnston
    5-1
  81. P2 13:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jason Robertson
  82. P2 13:48
    Power play - Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Matt Savoie in offensive zone
  83. P2 13:48
    Penalty to Adam Henrique 2 minutes for Hooking
  84. P2 13:43
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Calvin Pickard
  85. P2 12:52
    SHOT
    Power play - Tyler Seguin shot blocked by teammate
  86. P2 12:26
    Shorthanded - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Roope Hintz in defensive zone
  87. P2 12:26
    Penalty to Zach Hyman 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Justin Hryckowian)
  88. P2 11:46
    SHOT
    Vasily Podkolzin shot blocked by Esa Lindell
  89. P2 11:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alec Regula
  90. P2 11:19
    Stoppage - Icing
  91. P2 11:16
    Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Adam Henrique in defensive zone
  92. P2 10:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Miro Heiskanen
  93. P2 10:33
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
  94. P2 10:33
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  95. P2 10:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Jake Oettinger
  96. P2 10:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by Jake Oettinger
  97. P2 09:18
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  98. P2 09:18
    Penalty to Adam Henrique 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Lian Bichsel)
  99. P2 09:18
    Penalty to Lian Bichsel 2 minutes for Misconduct
  100. P2 09:18
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  101. P2 09:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Vasily Podkolzin saved by Jake Oettinger
  102. P2 08:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Esa Lindell
  103. P2 08:28
    SHOT
    Radek Faksa shot blocked by teammate
  104. P2 08:23
    SHOT
    Esa Lindell shot blocked by Trent Frederic
  105. P2 07:37
    SHOT
    Jason Robertson shot blocked by teammate
  106. P2 07:24
    David Tomasek won faceoff against Roope Hintz in defensive zone
  107. P2 07:24
    Stoppage - Icing
  108. P2 07:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Jake Oettinger
  109. P2 05:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Calvin Pickard
  110. P2 05:09
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against Adam Henrique in offensive zone
  111. P2 05:09
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  112. P2 05:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Colin Blackwell saved by Calvin Pickard
  113. P2 04:39
    Radek Faksa won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
  114. P2 04:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ty Emberson saved by Jake Oettinger
  115. P2 04:05
    SHOT
    Kyle Capobianco shot blocked by teammate
  116. P2 03:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mavrik Bourque
  117. P2 03:21
    Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Adam Henrique in offensive zone
  118. P2 03:21
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  119. P2 03:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Calvin Pickard
  120. P2 03:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
  121. P2 02:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sam Steel saved by Calvin Pickard
  122. P2 01:53
    SHOT
    Mattias Janmark shot blocked by Alexander Petrovic
  123. P2 01:43
    Trent Frederic won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in defensive zone
  124. P2 01:43
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  125. P2 01:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexander Petrovic saved by Calvin Pickard
  126. P2 01:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by Jake Oettinger
  127. P2 01:00
    Power play - David Tomasek won faceoff against Radek Faksa in defensive zone
  128. P2 01:00
    Stoppage - High Stick
  129. P2 00:48
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Jake Oettinger
  130. P2 00:13
    Power play - Giveaway by Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
  131. P2 00:00
    Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Radek Faksa in neutral zone
  132. P2 00:00
    Oilers replaced goalie. (Calvin Pickard)
  133. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  134. P1 19:52
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Adam Henrique
  135. P1 19:23
    Shorthanded - Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  136. P1 19:23
    Penalty to Nathan Bastian 2 minutes for Misconduct
  137. P1 18:55
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Radek Faksa in defensive zone
  138. P1 18:55
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  139. P1 18:46
    Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
  140. P1 18:46
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Sam Steel
    4-0
  141. P1 18:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jamie Benn saved by Stuart Skinner
  142. P1 18:03
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Sam Steel in offensive zone
  143. P1 18:03
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  144. P1 18:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by Jake Oettinger
  145. P1 17:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Jake Oettinger
  146. P1 17:36
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against Jack Roslovic in neutral zone
  147. P1 17:36
    Stoppage - Video Review
  148. P1 17:36
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Stars
    4-0
  149. P1 15:47
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in offensive zone
  150. P1 15:47
    Stoppage - Icing
  151. P1 15:24
    Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
  152. P1 15:24
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Nathan Bastian assisted by Radek Faksa and Colin Blackwell
    3-0
  153. P1 13:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Vasily Podkolzin
  154. P1 13:01
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in offensive zone
  155. P1 13:01
    Stoppage - Icing
  156. P1 11:57
    David Tomasek won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in neutral zone
  157. P1 11:57
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  158. P1 11:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zach Hyman
  159. P1 11:06
    SHOT
    Darnell Nurse shot blocked by Esa Lindell
  160. P1 10:51
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
  161. P1 10:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Roope Hintz
  162. P1 10:49
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Stuart Skinner
  163. P1 10:30
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jason Robertson
  164. P1 10:12
    Shorthanded - Adam Henrique won faceoff against Roope Hintz in defensive zone
  165. P1 10:12
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  166. P1 10:12
    Penalty to Ty Emberson 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Sam Steel)
  167. P1 10:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jamie Benn
  168. P1 10:02
    SHOT
    Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by teammate
  169. P1 09:59
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Jamie Benn in defensive zone
  170. P1 09:59
    Stoppage - Icing
  171. P1 09:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nathan Bastian saved by Stuart Skinner
  172. P1 08:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Oskar Back
  173. P1 08:10
    Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
  174. P1 08:10
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  175. P1 06:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Andrew Mangiapane saved by Jake Oettinger
  176. P1 06:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Stuart Skinner
  177. P1 06:31
    SHOT
    Jamie Benn shot blocked by Brett Kulak
  178. P1 04:45
    Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Adam Henrique in defensive zone
  179. P1 04:45
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  180. P1 04:44
    SHOT
    Alec Regula shot blocked by Kyle Capobianco
  181. P1 04:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by Jake Oettinger
  182. P1 03:48
    Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
  183. P1 03:48
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jamie Benn assisted by Wyatt Johnston
    1-0
  184. P1 03:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
  185. P1 03:35
    SHOT
    Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Alexander Petrovic
  186. P1 01:40
    Giveaway by Esa Lindell in neutral zone
  187. P1 01:04
    SHOT
    Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Roope Hintz
  188. P1 01:03
    SHOT
    Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Roope Hintz
  189. P1 00:17
    Vasily Podkolzin credited with hit on Miro Heiskanen in defensive zone
  190. P1 00:00
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in neutral zone
  191. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Stars
STATS
Oilers
30Shots on Goal25
59% Faceoff Win % 41%
4/3 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins10
17Hits22
14 Shots Blocked 11
14Giveaways20
StarsDAL
OilersEDM
30Shots on Goal25
59% Faceoff Win % 41%
4/3 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins10
17Hits22
14 Shots Blocked 11
14Giveaways20

Stars vs. Oilers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Stars vs. Oilers
  • Date: Tuesday, November 25, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Rogers Place

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Oilers favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Stars +115, Oilers -134

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Stars: 46%
  • Oilers: 54%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Stars a win probability of 46%, while the Oilers have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Oilers are more likely to beat the Stars in the NHL game at Rogers Place on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Stars vs. Oilers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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