Canadiens vs. Red Wings Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Canadiens vs. Red Wings NHL game on October 9, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Canadiens
5
1
Little Caesars Arena
Red Wings
Little Caesars Arena
TEAM123T
Canadiens
3 2 0 5
Red Wings
1 0 0 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Canadiens
    100%
  • Red Wings
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Canadiens
3 2 0 5
Red Wings
1 0 0 1
P3 19:57 Shot on goal by Patrik Laine saved by Cameron Talbot
P3 19:08 Elmer Soderblom shot blocked by Arber Xhekaj
P3 18:54 Shot missed by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
P3 18:27 Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 18:11 Power play - Shot missed by Patrick Kane
P3 17:52 Power play - Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 16:23 Shot on goal by Red Wings saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 16:20 Shot missed by Travis Hamonic
P3 12:42 Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
P3 11:27 Shot missed by Elmer Soderblom
P3 11:21 Shot missed by Simon Edvinsson
P3 10:07 Shot on goal by Axel Sandin-Pellikka saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 07:59 Simon Edvinsson shot blocked by teammate
P3 07:35 Shot on goal by Andrew Copp saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 07:28 Power play - Michael Brandsegg-Nygård shot blocked by Josh Anderson
P3 06:19 Power play - Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
P3 06:05 Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 05:39 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Cameron Talbot
P3 04:55 Shot on goal by Albert Johansson saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 04:47 Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Jakub Dobes
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Patrik Laine saved by Cameron Talbot
  3. P3 19:08
    SHOT
    Elmer Soderblom shot blocked by Arber Xhekaj
  4. P3 18:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
  5. P3 18:27
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Jakub Dobes
  6. P3 18:11
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Patrick Kane
  7. P3 17:52
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Jakub Dobes
  8. P3 16:42
    Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
  9. P3 16:42
    Penalty to Brendan Gallagher 2 minutes for Tripping
  10. P3 16:23
    Kirby Dach won faceoff against Andrew Copp in neutral zone
  11. P3 16:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Red Wings saved by Jakub Dobes
  12. P3 16:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Travis Hamonic
  13. P3 14:21
    Arber Xhekaj credited with hit on Andrew Copp in defensive zone
  14. P3 13:49
    Oliver Kapanen credited with hit on Ben Chiarot in offensive zone
  15. P3 13:33
    Giveaway by Alex DeBrincat in neutral zone
  16. P3 12:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
  17. P3 11:35
    Takeaway by Emmitt Finnie in neutral zone
  18. P3 11:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Elmer Soderblom
  19. P3 11:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Simon Edvinsson
  20. P3 10:35
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in neutral zone
  21. P3 10:35
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  22. P3 10:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Axel Sandin-Pellikka saved by Jakub Dobes
  23. P3 09:53
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in offensive zone
  24. P3 09:46
    Alex Newhook won faceoff against J.T. Compher in neutral zone
  25. P3 09:46
    Stoppage - High Stick
  26. P3 07:59
    SHOT
    Simon Edvinsson shot blocked by teammate
  27. P3 07:37
    Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
  28. P3 07:37
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  29. P3 07:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Andrew Copp saved by Jakub Dobes
  30. P3 07:28
    SHOT
    Power play - Michael Brandsegg-Nygård shot blocked by Josh Anderson
  31. P3 06:19
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
  32. P3 06:05
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Jakub Dobes
  33. P3 05:39
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Cameron Talbot
  34. P3 05:32
    Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
  35. P3 04:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Albert Johansson saved by Jakub Dobes
  36. P3 04:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Jakub Dobes
  37. P3 04:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Patrick Kane
  38. P3 04:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Jakub Dobes
  39. P3 04:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
  40. P3 03:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Cameron Talbot
  41. P3 02:15
    Giveaway by Albert Johansson in defensive zone
  42. P3 02:05
    Giveaway by Moritz Seider in offensive zone
  43. P3 01:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Arber Xhekaj saved by Cameron Talbot
  44. P3 01:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Marco Kasper
  45. P3 00:22
    Giveaway by Lucas Raymond in offensive zone
  46. P3 00:00
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  47. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  48. P2 19:17
    SHOT
    Lane Hutson shot blocked by Marco Kasper
  49. P2 18:44
    Alex Newhook won faceoff against Marco Kasper in defensive zone
  50. P2 18:44
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  51. P2 18:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Jakub Dobes
  52. P2 18:40
    SHOT
    Dylan Larkin shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
  53. P2 18:17
    Arber Xhekaj credited with hit on Emmitt Finnie in defensive zone
  54. P2 17:36
    SHOT
    Noah Dobson shot blocked by teammate
  55. P2 17:12
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Kirby Dach in neutral zone
  56. P2 17:12
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Juraj Slafkovský
    5-1
  57. P2 17:09
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by John Gibson
  58. P2 17:05
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Andrew Copp in offensive zone
  59. P2 17:05
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  60. P2 17:05
    Penalty to Moritz Seider 2 minutes for Misconduct
  61. P2 16:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
  62. P2 16:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Jakub Dobes
  63. P2 16:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
  64. P2 15:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by John Gibson
  65. P2 14:28
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Travis Hamonic saved by Jakub Dobes
  66. P2 14:24
    SHOT
    Power play - Noah Dobson shot blocked by Albert Johansson
  67. P2 12:53
    Shorthanded - Andrew Copp won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  68. P2 12:53
    Penalty to Simon Edvinsson 2 minutes for Misconduct
  69. P2 12:29
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in neutral zone
  70. P2 12:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Jakub Dobes
  71. P2 12:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Jakub Dobes
  72. P2 11:40
    SHOT
    Patrick Kane shot blocked by teammate
  73. P2 11:09
    Marco Kasper won faceoff against Zachary Bolduc in defensive zone
  74. P2 11:02
    SHOT
    Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
  75. P2 09:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mike Matheson
  76. P2 08:40
    SHOT
    Patrik Laine shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
  77. P2 08:26
    SHOT
    Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by J.T. Compher
  78. P2 08:24
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Andrew Copp in offensive zone
  79. P2 08:24
    Stoppage - Icing
  80. P2 07:50
    Kirby Dach won faceoff against Andrew Copp in neutral zone
  81. P2 07:50
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  82. P2 07:43
    J.T. Compher won faceoff against Zachary Bolduc in neutral zone
  83. P2 07:43
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  84. P2 07:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Simon Edvinsson saved by Jakub Dobes
  85. P2 07:02
    Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
  86. P2 07:02
    Stoppage - Icing
  87. P2 06:52
    SHOT
    Alexandre Carrier shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
  88. P2 06:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
  89. P2 06:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Axel Sandin-Pellikka saved by Jakub Dobes
  90. P2 06:17
    SHOT
    Michael Rasmussen shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
  91. P2 05:59
    SHOT
    J.T. Compher shot blocked by Mike Matheson
  92. P2 05:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mason Appleton saved by Jakub Dobes
  93. P2 05:33
    SHOT
    Mike Matheson shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
  94. P2 05:19
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Andrew Copp in neutral zone
  95. P2 05:17
    SHOT
    Alexandre Carrier shot blocked by Albert Johansson
  96. P2 05:07
    SHOT
    Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Albert Johansson
  97. P2 05:02
    SHOT
    Kirby Dach shot blocked by Albert Johansson
  98. P2 04:21
    SHOT
    Kaiden Guhle shot blocked by Travis Hamonic
  99. P2 04:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Jakub Dobes
  100. P2 03:56
    Alex Newhook won faceoff against Alex DeBrincat in defensive zone
  101. P2 03:56
    Stoppage - High Stick
  102. P2 03:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Emmitt Finnie saved by Jakub Dobes
  103. P2 02:20
    Takeaway by Alexandre Carrier in neutral zone
  104. P2 02:18
    Giveaway by Zachary Bolduc in defensive zone
  105. P2 02:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.T. Compher saved by Jakub Dobes
  106. P2 01:04
    Lane Hutson credited with hit on Marco Kasper in defensive zone
  107. P2 00:53
    Simon Edvinsson credited with hit on Ivan Demidov in defensive zone
  108. P2 00:45
    SHOT
    Simon Edvinsson shot blocked by Oliver Kapanen
  109. P2 00:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Jakub Dobes
  110. P2 00:27
    Giveaway by Ben Chiarot in neutral zone
  111. P2 00:00
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  112. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  113. P1 19:53
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  114. P1 19:51
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Mike Matheson
    3-1
  115. P1 19:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Michael Rasmussen
  116. P1 19:20
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in defensive zone
  117. P1 19:20
    Stoppage - Icing
  118. P1 19:10
    SHOT
    Moritz Seider shot blocked by Jake Evans
  119. P1 18:33
    SHOT
    Oliver Kapanen shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
  120. P1 17:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zachary Bolduc saved by John Gibson
  121. P1 15:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by J.T. Compher
  122. P1 15:51
    SHOT
    J.T. Compher shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
  123. P1 15:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Michael Brandsegg-Nygård saved by Jakub Dobes
  124. P1 14:47
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Jakub Dobes
  125. P1 14:37
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Jakub Dobes
  126. P1 14:12
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Jakub Dobes
  127. P1 13:23
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Lucas Raymond saved by Jakub Dobes
  128. P1 13:15
    Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
  129. P1 13:15
    Penalty to Brendan Gallagher 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Michael Brandsegg-Nygård)
  130. P1 13:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kirby Dach
  131. P1 12:43
    J.T. Compher won faceoff against Kirby Dach in neutral zone
  132. P1 12:43
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Oliver Kapanen assisted by Alex Newhook and Ivan Demidov
    2-1
  133. P1 12:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by John Gibson
  134. P1 12:01
    Marco Kasper won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in neutral zone
  135. P1 12:01
    Stoppage - Offside
  136. P1 11:40
    SHOT
    Mike Matheson shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
  137. P1 11:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by John Gibson
  138. P1 11:26
    Juraj Slafkovský won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
  139. P1 11:26
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  140. P1 11:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Simon Edvinsson saved by Jakub Dobes
  141. P1 11:08
    SHOT
    Axel Sandin-Pellikka shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
  142. P1 11:03
    SHOT
    Simon Edvinsson shot blocked by Patrik Laine
  143. P1 10:51
    Michael Brandsegg-Nygård credited with hit on Kaiden Guhle in offensive zone
  144. P1 10:51
    J.T. Compher credited with hit on Lane Hutson in offensive zone
  145. P1 10:27
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
  146. P1 10:27
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  147. P1 10:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ben Chiarot saved by Jakub Dobes
  148. P1 10:18
    Josh Anderson credited with hit on Moritz Seider in neutral zone
  149. P1 10:14
    J.T. Compher won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
  150. P1 10:14
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Zachary Bolduc assisted by Brendan Gallagher and Mike Matheson
    1-1
  151. P1 10:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
  152. P1 09:40
    Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against Zachary Bolduc in defensive zone
  153. P1 09:40
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  154. P1 09:16
    Marco Kasper won faceoff against Alex Newhook in offensive zone
  155. P1 09:16
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  156. P1 08:39
    SHOT
    Kaiden Guhle shot blocked by J.T. Compher
  157. P1 08:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Travis Hamonic saved by Jakub Dobes
  158. P1 08:09
    SHOT
    Travis Hamonic shot blocked by Patrik Laine
  159. P1 07:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Noah Dobson shot blocked by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
  160. P1 07:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by John Gibson
  161. P1 07:44
    SHOT
    Power play - Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Lucas Raymond
  162. P1 07:23
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Noah Dobson
  163. P1 06:30
    Shorthanded - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  164. P1 06:30
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  165. P1 06:28
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by John Gibson
  166. P1 06:27
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Lane Hutson
  167. P1 05:51
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Andrew Copp in offensive zone
  168. P1 05:51
    Penalty to Marco Kasper 2 minutes for Roughing
  169. P1 05:34
    SHOT
    Travis Hamonic shot blocked by teammate
  170. P1 04:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by John Gibson
  171. P1 04:09
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  172. P1 04:09
    Stoppage - Icing
  173. P1 04:02
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  174. P1 04:02
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  175. P1 03:50
    J.T. Compher won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  176. P1 03:49
    SHOT
    Power play - Dylan Larkin shot blocked by teammate
  177. P1 03:16
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Lucas Raymond saved by Jakub Dobes
  178. P1 03:13
    Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Alex Newhook in offensive zone
  179. P1 03:13
    Penalty to Noah Dobson 2 minutes for Misconduct
  180. P1 03:04
    SHOT
    Elmer Soderblom shot blocked by Jake Evans
  181. P1 03:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Simon Edvinsson saved by Jakub Dobes
  182. P1 02:44
    SHOT
    Axel Sandin-Pellikka shot blocked by teammate
  183. P1 02:23
    Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
  184. P1 02:23
    Stoppage - Offside
  185. P1 02:07
    SHOT
    Andrew Copp shot blocked by Zachary Bolduc
  186. P1 01:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Travis Hamonic saved by Jakub Dobes
  187. P1 01:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Andrew Copp
  188. P1 01:01
    SHOT
    Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Lane Hutson
  189. P1 00:38
    Alex Newhook won faceoff against Alex DeBrincat in defensive zone
  190. P1 00:38
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  191. P1 00:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Jakub Dobes
  192. P1 00:23
    Dylan Larkin credited with hit on Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  193. P1 00:18
    Mike Matheson credited with hit on Lucas Raymond in defensive zone
  194. P1 00:07
    Dylan Larkin credited with hit on Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  195. P1 00:00
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
  196. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Canadiens
STATS
Red Wings
17Shots on Goal31
43% Faceoff Win % 58%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
8Penalty Infraction Mins6
25Hits35
14 Shots Blocked 13
14Giveaways18
CanadiensMTL
Red WingsDET
17Shots on Goal31
43% Faceoff Win % 58%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
8Penalty Infraction Mins6
25Hits35
14 Shots Blocked 13
14Giveaways18

Canadiens vs. Red Wings: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Canadiens vs. Red Wings
  • Date: Thursday, October 9, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Little Caesars Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Red Wings favored at undefined
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Canadiens +120, Red Wings -140

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Canadiens: 45%
  • Red Wings: 55%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canadiens a win probability of 45%, while the Red Wings have a win probability of 55%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Red Wings are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at Little Caesars Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Canadiens vs. Red Wings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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