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Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on October 8, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
2
5
Oct 8, 11PM Scotiabank Arena
Oct 8, 11PM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Canadiens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Maple Leafs | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Canadiens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Maple Leafs | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 |
P3 19:45 Goal scored by William Nylander assisted by Steven Lorentz and John Tavares (Empty Net)
P3 19:33 Noah Dobson shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 18:56 Shot missed by Patrik Laine
P3 18:47 Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
P3 18:27 Goal scored by Auston Matthews
P3 18:16 Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 16:52 Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 16:16 Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 14:09 Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 13:57 Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
P3 13:37 Shot on goal by Dakota Joshua saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 12:07 Calle Jarnkrok shot blocked by Lane Hutson
P3 11:18 Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 10:47 Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 10:25 Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
P3 09:57 Noah Dobson shot blocked by teammate
P3 09:02 Goal scored by Morgan Rielly assisted by Matthew Knies and Matias Maccelli
P3 08:57 Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 08:48 Shot missed by Lane Hutson
P3 08:22 Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
End of 3rd Period.
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Kirby Dach in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by William Nylander assisted by Steven Lorentz and John Tavares (Empty Net)
2-5
SHOT
Noah Dobson shot blocked by Jake McCabe
SHOT
Shot missed by Patrik Laine
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
Stoppage - Visitor Timeout
GOAL
Goal scored by Auston Matthews
2-4
John Tavares won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Anthony Stolarz
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
John Tavares won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Sam Montembeault
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Anthony Stolarz
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Giveaway by Jake Evans in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dakota Joshua saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Calle Jarnkrok shot blocked by Lane Hutson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
SHOT
Noah Dobson shot blocked by teammate
Alex Newhook won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Kirby Dach won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Canadiens won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Morgan Rielly assisted by Matthew Knies and Matias Maccelli
2-3
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Shot missed by Lane Hutson
SHOT
Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
SHOT
Mike Matheson shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot missed by Mike Matheson
SHOT
Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Giveaway by Oliver Kapanen in offensive zone
SHOT
Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Patrik Laine shot blocked by Nicolas Roy
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Dobson
SHOT
Simon Benoit shot blocked by Brendan Gallagher
Max Domi won faceoff against Kirby Dach in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
John Tavares won faceoff against Kirby Dach in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Kaiden Guhle shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
Shot missed by Bobby McMann
SHOT
Cole Caufield shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Anthony Stolarz
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Canadiens saved by Anthony Stolarz
Canadiens won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Cole Caufield in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Canadiens saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Mike Matheson shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicolas Roy
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Kirby Dach
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Evans
Power play - Giveaway by Lane Hutson in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Dakota Joshua credited with hit on Juraj Slafkovský in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Power play - Nick Suzuki shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Anthony Stolarz
Shorthanded - Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Penalty to Matthew Knies 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Mike Matheson)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kirby Dach saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Kirby Dach
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Sam Montembeault
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Kirby Dach in offensive zone
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Lane Hutson
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Shot missed by Mike Matheson
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Canadiens saved by Anthony Stolarz
Giveaway by Kaiden Guhle in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Patrik Laine
SHOT
Josh Anderson shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
Jake Evans won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Sam Montembeault
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Benoit
Alex Newhook won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Sam Montembeault
Max Domi won faceoff against Alex Newhook in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Anderson
Jake Evans won faceoff against William Nylander in neutral zone
Jake Evans won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Arber Xhekaj
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Sam Montembeault
Steven Lorentz won faceoff against Zachary Bolduc in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Max Domi won faceoff against Kirby Dach in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Canadiens saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Jake McCabe
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Chris Tanev saved by Sam Montembeault
John Tavares won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Lane Hutson
Jake Evans won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Zachary Bolduc assisted by Brendan Gallagher and Kirby Dach
2-1
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brendan Gallagher saved by Anthony Stolarz
Max Domi won faceoff against Kirby Dach in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Sam Montembeault
John Tavares won faceoff against Alex Newhook in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Shot missed by Maple Leafs
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Max Domi won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Anthony Stolarz
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
Stoppage - High Stick
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Benoit
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kirby Dach saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
William Nylander won faceoff against Kirby Dach in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Caufield
SHOT
Power play - Patrik Laine shot blocked by Chris Tanev
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Kirby Dach in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Cole Caufield shot blocked by Simon Benoit
SHOT
Power play - Zachary Bolduc shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Penalty to William Nylander 2 minutes for Misconduct
Kirby Dach won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Kirby Dach won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Sam Montembeault
Max Domi won faceoff against Alex Newhook in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Max Domi won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zachary Bolduc saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
SHOT
Chris Tanev shot blocked by Nick Suzuki
SHOT
Alexandre Carrier shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Noah Dobson
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Alex Newhook in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Canadiens shot blocked by teammate
Max Domi won faceoff against Kirby Dach in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Steven Lorentz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Chris Tanev shot blocked by Juraj Slafkovský
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Bobby McMann
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Sam Montembeault
Power play - Max Domi won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
GOAL
Shorthanded - Goal scored by Oliver Kapanen
1-1
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Anthony Stolarz
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Penalty to Patrik Laine 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Chris Tanev)
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Kirby Dach
Brendan Gallagher won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Sam Montembeault
Max Domi won faceoff against Kirby Dach in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Anthony Stolarz
Jake Evans won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Patrik Laine won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Josh Anderson credited with hit on Steven Lorentz in offensive zone
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Jake Evans in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Arber Xhekaj saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Alexandre Carrier shot blocked by Simon Benoit
Max Domi won faceoff against Kirby Dach in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Bobby McMann
0-1
Zachary Bolduc won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Sam Montembeault
Juraj Slafkovský credited with hit on Matias Maccelli in defensive zone
Giveaway by Mike Matheson in defensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 31 | Shots on Goal | 27 | |||
| 39% | Faceoff Win % | 61% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/0 | |||
| 4 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 28 | Hits | 37 | |||
| 13 | Shots Blocked | 17 | |||
| 13 | Giveaways | 12 |
| |
|---|
| 31 | Shots on Goal | 27 | |||
| 39% | Faceoff Win % | 61% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/0 | |||
| 4 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 28 | Hits | 37 | |||
| 13 | Shots Blocked | 17 | |||
| 13 | Giveaways | 12 |
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Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs
- Date: Wednesday, October 8, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Canadiens +145, Maple Leafs -166
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Canadiens: 39%
- Maple Leafs: 61%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canadiens a win probability of 39%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 61%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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