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Lightning vs. Avalanche Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Avalanche NHL game on November 4, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Lightning
2
3
Nov 5, 2:30AM Ball Arena
Avalanche
Nov 5, 2:30AM Ball Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Lightning
1012
Avalanche
1203
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
LightningTB
Win %
0%
100%
AvalancheCOL
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Lightning
1012
Avalanche
1203
P3 18:44 Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
P3 18:28 Victor Hedman shot blocked by Martin Necas
P3 18:26 Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Cale Makar
P3 18:21 Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Cale Makar
P3 18:15 Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Scott Wedgewood
P3 17:42 Brayden Point shot blocked by Jack Drury
P3 17:31 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 17:18 Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Cale Makar
P3 17:13 Shot missed by Victor Hedman
P3 16:20 Power play - Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 15:57 Power play - Shot on goal by Gabriel Landeskog saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 13:33 Shot missed by Gabriel Landeskog
P3 12:33 Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
P3 12:10 Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 11:50 Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Scott Wedgewood
P3 11:37 Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Scott Wedgewood
P3 10:28 Valeri Nichushkin shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P3 10:14 Shot on goal by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 09:35 Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P3 09:20 Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Scott Wedgewood
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 18:59
Takeaway by Charle-Edouard D'Astous in offensive zone
P3 18:58
Yanni Gourde credited with hit on Josh Manson in offensive zone
P3 18:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
P3 18:37
Dominic James won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
P3 18:31
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Avalanche in offensive zone
P3 18:31
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 18:28
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by Martin Necas
P3 18:26
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Cale Makar
P3 18:21
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Cale Makar
P3 18:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Scott Wedgewood
P3 17:42
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Jack Drury
P3 17:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 17:27
Jack Drury won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P3 17:27
Stoppage - Icing
P3 17:18
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Cale Makar
P3 17:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Victor Hedman
P3 17:00
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jack Drury in offensive zone
P3 17:00
Stoppage - Icing
P3 16:20
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 15:57
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Gabriel Landeskog saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 14:26
Power play - Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P3 14:26
Stoppage - TV timeout
P3 14:26
Penalty to Zemgus Girgensons 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Josh Manson)
P3 13:45
Martin Necas credited with hit on Charle-Edouard D'Astous in offensive zone
P3 13:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Gabriel Landeskog
P3 12:37
Ross Colton credited with hit on Max Crozier in defensive zone
P3 12:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
P3 12:19
Dominic James won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
P3 12:19
Stoppage - Icing
P3 12:11
Dominic James won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
P3 12:11
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 12:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 11:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Scott Wedgewood
P3 11:39
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P3 11:39
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 11:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Scott Wedgewood
P3 10:37
Jack Drury won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P3 10:37
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P3 10:28
SHOT
Valeri Nichushkin shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P3 10:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 10:00
Takeaway by Valeri Nichushkin in neutral zone
P3 09:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P3 09:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Scott Wedgewood
P3 09:12
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
P3 09:12
Stoppage - Icing
P3 09:01
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
P3 09:01
Stoppage - Icing
P3 08:54
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
P3 08:54
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 08:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 08:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 07:54
Jack Drury won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P3 07:54
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P3 07:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Scott Wedgewood
P3 06:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Scott Wedgewood
P3 06:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Malinski
P3 06:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Drury saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 05:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brent Burns saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 04:41
Erik Cernak credited with hit on Brock Nelson in defensive zone
P3 03:55
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P3 03:55
Stoppage - Offside
P3 03:32
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
P3 03:32
GOAL
Goal scored by Brayden Point
2-3
P3 03:30
SHOT
Shot missed by Brayden Point
P3 03:14
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 03:09
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Jack Drury in offensive zone
P3 03:09
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 02:43
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Scott Wedgewood
P3 01:41
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Jack Drury in defensive zone
P3 01:21
Shorthanded - Jack Drury won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P3 01:21
Penalty to Brock Nelson 2 minutes for High Sticking
P3 01:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 01:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 00:35
Martin Necas credited with hit on Ryan McDonagh in offensive zone
P3 00:16
SHOT
Martin Necas shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 00:10
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
P3 00:10
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 00:00
Jack Drury won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Scott Wedgewood
P2 19:39
Jack Drury won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P2 19:39
Stoppage - Icing
P2 19:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Scott Wedgewood
P2 19:25
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Jack Drury
P2 18:54
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Scott Wedgewood
P2 18:38
Power play - Giveaway by Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
P2 18:10
Power play - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P2 18:10
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 18:10
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 17:38
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Ryan McDonagh in defensive zone
P2 17:25
Power play - Takeaway by Victor Olofsson in offensive zone
P2 17:23
Shorthanded - Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
P2 17:23
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 17:21
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 17:01
SHOT
Power play - Cale Makar shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
P2 16:59
Power play - Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P2 16:59
Penalty to Victor Hedman 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Martin Necas)
P2 16:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 16:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Drury saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 16:44
Giveaway by Charle-Edouard D'Astous in offensive zone
P2 16:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Scott Wedgewood
P2 15:22
Charle-Edouard D'Astous credited with hit on Ross Colton in defensive zone
P2 14:32
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Brent Burns
P2 14:06
Brayden Point won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
P2 14:06
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 14:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Manson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 13:03
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
P2 13:03
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 12:50
SHOT
Cale Makar shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
P2 12:48
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 12:40
Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in neutral zone
P2 12:30
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Sam Malinski
P2 11:52
SHOT
Shot missed by Ross Colton
P2 11:26
Dominic James credited with hit on Josh Manson in offensive zone
P2 11:01
Zakhar Bardakov won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
P2 11:01
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P2 10:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Scott Wedgewood
P2 10:04
SHOT
Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P2 09:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P2 09:32
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P2 09:24
SHOT
Shot missed by Cale Makar
P2 08:09
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 07:58
Shorthanded - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P2 07:58
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 07:28
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Devon Toews saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 07:21
Shorthanded - Jack Drury won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P2 07:21
Penalty to Josh Manson 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 06:52
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
P2 06:52
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P2 06:31
Zakhar Bardakov won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P2 06:31
Stoppage - Icing
P2 06:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Crozier
P2 06:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Dominic James
P2 05:42
Dominic James won faceoff against Parker Kelly in neutral zone
P2 05:42
Stoppage - Offside
P2 05:34
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
P2 05:30
SHOT
Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Brent Burns
P2 05:21
Brayden Point won faceoff against Ross Colton in neutral zone
P2 05:21
GOAL
Goal scored by Ross Colton assisted by Sam Malinski and Brock Nelson
1-3
P2 05:11
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P2 05:11
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 05:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Scott Wedgewood
P2 04:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 04:56
SHOT
Shot missed by Devon Toews
P2 04:41
Erik Cernak credited with hit on Artturi Lehkonen in defensive zone
P2 04:38
Giveaway by Erik Cernak in defensive zone
P2 04:08
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
P2 04:07
GOAL
Goal scored by Victor Olofsson
1-2
P2 03:53
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by teammate
P2 03:36
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Gabriel Landeskog
P2 03:34
Brayden Point won faceoff against Jack Drury in offensive zone
P2 03:34
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 03:21
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Brock Nelson
P2 02:56
SHOT
Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P2 02:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Crozier
P2 02:29
SHOT
Shot missed by Ross Colton
P2 02:15
Dominic James won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
P2 02:15
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 02:13
SHOT
Valeri Nichushkin shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P2 02:11
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
P2 02:11
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 02:01
SHOT
Jack Ahcan shot blocked by teammate
P2 01:58
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P2 01:58
Stoppage - Icing
P2 01:32
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P2 00:28
Gabriel Landeskog credited with hit on Emil Lilleberg in offensive zone
P2 00:17
Takeaway by Josh Manson in defensive zone
P2 00:05
Takeaway by Josh Manson in neutral zone
P2 00:00
Jack Drury won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:21
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Scott Wedgewood
P1 19:01
Power play - Giveaway by Dominic James in offensive zone
P1 18:22
Power play - Giveaway by Brandon Hagel in neutral zone
P1 17:34
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Jack Drury in offensive zone
P1 17:12
SHOT
Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P1 17:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 16:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Scott Wedgewood
P1 16:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Scott Wedgewood
P1 16:25
Pontus Holmberg won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
P1 16:25
SHOT
Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P1 16:25
Stoppage - Icing
P1 16:18
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
P1 16:18
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 16:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Devon Toews saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 16:11
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P1 16:11
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P1 15:47
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
P1 15:47
Stoppage - Icing
P1 15:38
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P1 15:04
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
P1 14:13
Brayden Point credited with hit on Jack Drury in defensive zone
P1 13:51
Jack Drury won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P1 13:48
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 13:38
Power play - Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P1 13:38
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 13:37
SHOT
Power play - Cale Makar shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P1 13:34
Power play - Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P1 13:34
Penalty to Lightning 2 minutes for Too Many Men on the Ice (Served by Gage Goncalves)
P1 12:52
Giveaway by Gabriel Landeskog in offensive zone
P1 12:32
Power play - Giveaway by Martin Necas in offensive zone
P1 12:29
SHOT
Power play - Martin Necas shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
P1 12:20
SHOT
Power play - Cale Makar shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P1 12:02
SHOT
Power play - Victor Olofsson shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P1 11:46
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 11:41
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 10:47
Power play - Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P1 10:19
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P1 10:19
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P1 10:02
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P1 09:57
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
P1 09:57
Stoppage - Offside
P1 09:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Devon Toews saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 09:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
P1 08:44
Zakhar Bardakov won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P1 08:44
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 08:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Scott Wedgewood
P1 08:17
SHOT
Victor Olofsson shot blocked by teammate
P1 08:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Manson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 06:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Scott Wedgewood
P1 05:43
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Zakhar Bardakov in neutral zone
P1 05:43
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Zakhar Bardakov in neutral zone
P1 04:47
Takeaway by Brayden Point in neutral zone
P1 04:24
Brayden Point won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
P1 04:24
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 04:22
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
P1 03:55
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
P1 03:55
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 03:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Scott Wedgewood
P1 03:49
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
P1 03:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Scott Wedgewood
P1 03:33
Takeaway by Emil Lilleberg in neutral zone
P1 02:49
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
P1 02:49
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P1 02:43
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
P1 02:43
Stoppage - Icing
P1 01:45
Erik Cernak credited with hit on Artturi Lehkonen in offensive zone
P1 01:37
Brayden Point won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
P1 01:35
GOAL
Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov
1-0
P1 01:09
Giveaway by Pontus Holmberg in offensive zone
P1 00:59
SHOT
Shot missed by J.J. Moser
P1 00:41
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
P1 00:41
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P1 00:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Brent Burns
P1 00:25
SHOT
Brent Burns shot blocked by teammate
P1 00:23
SHOT
Brent Burns shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P1 00:10
Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P1 00:10
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 00:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gabriel Landeskog saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 00:00
Jack Drury won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Lightning
 STATS
Avalanche
24Shots on Goal33
49%Faceoff Win %51%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
13Penalty Infraction Mins11
23Hits17
14Shots Blocked15
14Giveaways11
LightningTB
AvalancheCOL
24Shots on Goal33
49%Faceoff Win %51%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
13Penalty Infraction Mins11
23Hits17
14Shots Blocked15
14Giveaways11

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Lightning vs. Avalanche: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lightning vs. Avalanche
  • Date: Tuesday, November 4, 2025
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Ball Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Avalanche favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Lightning +130, Avalanche -142

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lightning: 43%
  • Avalanche: 57%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 43%, while the Avalanche have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Avalanche are more likely to beat the Lightning in the NHL game at Ball Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Avalanche predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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