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Penguins vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on November 3, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
3
4
Nov 4, 12:30AM Scotiabank Arena
Nov 4, 12:30AM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Penguins | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Maple Leafs | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Penguins | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Maple Leafs | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
P3 19:58 Sidney Crosby shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P3 19:53 Kris Letang shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P3 18:59 Ben Kindel shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P3 18:49 Shot missed by Ben Kindel
P3 18:38 Kris Letang shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P3 18:31 Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 17:56 Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 16:35 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 16:28 Kris Letang shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P3 15:53 Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 15:42 Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 13:43 Goal scored by Bobby McMann assisted by Nicholas Robertson and Morgan Rielly
P3 13:41 Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 12:38 Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Matthew Knies
P3 12:25 Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Auston Matthews
P3 12:21 Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
P3 11:54 Shot on goal by Blake Lizotte saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 11:49 Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 11:44 Shot on goal by Philippe Myers saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 10:57 Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Jake McCabe
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Sidney Crosby shot blocked by Simon Benoit
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by Simon Benoit
Giveaway by John Tavares in neutral zone
Giveaway by Bryan Rust in offensive zone
SHOT
Ben Kindel shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
SHOT
Shot missed by Ben Kindel
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Anthony Stolarz
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Anthony Stolarz
Oliver Ekman-Larsson credited with hit on Ville Koivunen in defensive zone
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
Matthew Knies credited with hit on Kris Letang in neutral zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Anthony Stolarz
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
Sidney Crosby credited with hit on Brandon Carlo in offensive zone
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Bobby McMann assisted by Nicholas Robertson and Morgan Rielly
3-4
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Tristan Jarry
John Tavares won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Kris Letang credited with hit on William Nylander in offensive zone
Ben Kindel credited with hit on Jake McCabe in offensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Matthew Knies
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Blake Lizotte saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Philippe Myers saved by Tristan Jarry
Dakota Joshua credited with hit on Kris Letang in defensive zone
Giveaway by Calle Jarnkrok in offensive zone
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Jake McCabe
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Anthony Stolarz
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Anthony Stolarz
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Philippe Myers
Shorthanded - Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Tristan Jarry
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Penalty to Samuel Blais 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Erik Karlsson)
Oliver Ekman-Larsson credited with hit on Ben Kindel in defensive zone
Giveaway by Ben Kindel in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Novak
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicolas Roy saved by Tristan Jarry
John Tavares won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by William Nylander
3-2
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Tristan Jarry
Max Domi credited with hit on Erik Karlsson in offensive zone
Easton Cowan credited with hit on Parker Wotherspoon in offensive zone
Max Domi won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Tristan Jarry
William Nylander won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
John Tavares won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Auston Matthews
3-1
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ville Koivunen saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot missed by Harrison Brunicke
SHOT
Harrison Brunicke shot blocked by Easton Cowan
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ville Koivunen saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Tristan Jarry
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
SHOT
Power play - Bryan Rust shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
Shorthanded - Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Anthony Stolarz
Power play - Thomas Novak won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Power play - Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
SHOT
Power play - Ben Kindel shot blocked by Jake McCabe
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
Penalty to William Nylander 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Shot missed by Bobby McMann
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Samuel Blais
Giveaway by Bryan Rust in offensive zone
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Philippe Myers credited with hit on Philip Tomasino in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Harrison Brunicke saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Tristan Jarry
Auston Matthews credited with hit on Ben Kindel in defensive zone
Thomas Novak won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Penguins
SHOT
Shot missed by Penguins
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake McCabe
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Owen Pickering shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
Shot on goal by Blake Lizotte saved by Anthony Stolarz
Max Domi won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Ben Kindel
2-0
SHOT
Power play - Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Power play - Ben Kindel shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Power play - Ben Kindel shot blocked by Jake McCabe
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Philippe Myers 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Evgeni Malkin)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Anthony Stolarz
Takeaway by Evgeni Malkin in offensive zone
Bobby McMann credited with hit on Owen Pickering in offensive zone
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by Philip Tomasino saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Tristan Jarry
Takeaway by Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Nicholas Robertson shot blocked by Ryan Shea
Giveaway by Oliver Ekman-Larsson in defensive zone
John Tavares credited with hit on Erik Karlsson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Anthony Stolarz
Matthew Knies credited with hit on Parker Wotherspoon in defensive zone
Giveaway by Parker Wotherspoon in offensive zone
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Sidney Crosby shot blocked by Dakota Joshua
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Max Domi shot blocked by Philip Tomasino
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Novak
John Tavares won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot missed by Evgeni Malkin
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Jake McCabe
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Ville Koivunen shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
Giveaway by Thomas Novak in offensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Shea saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Philip Tomasino saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Anthony Stolarz
Matthew Knies credited with hit on Parker Wotherspoon in offensive zone
Giveaway by Bryan Rust in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
SHOT
Shot missed by Parker Wotherspoon
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Filip Hallander shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Sidney Crosby shot blocked by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Shea saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot missed by Evgeni Malkin
John Tavares won faceoff against Philip Tomasino in defensive zone
Philip Tomasino won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Video Review
John Tavares won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Shea saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Harrison Brunicke shot blocked by teammate
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Power play - Nicholas Robertson credited with hit on Connor Dewar in neutral zone
Shorthanded - Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Connor Dewar
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Tristan Jarry
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Connor Dewar in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Owen Pickering 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Nicolas Roy)
Connor Dewar credited with hit on Brandon Carlo in offensive zone
Brandon Carlo credited with hit on Connor Dewar in defensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Erik Karlsson assisted by Sidney Crosby and Philip Tomasino
1-0
John Tavares won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
Takeaway by Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Filip Hallander
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Philippe Myers saved by Tristan Jarry
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Anthony Stolarz
Giveaway by Harrison Brunicke in neutral zone
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Dakota Joshua in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
Giveaway by Parker Wotherspoon in defensive zone
Blake Lizotte won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Max Domi
SHOT
Ville Koivunen shot blocked by Simon Benoit
SHOT
Shot missed by Ben Kindel
SHOT
Brandon Carlo shot blocked by Ben Kindel
Giveaway by Anthony Mantha in offensive zone
Giveaway by Philippe Myers in defensive zone
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by teammate
Bobby McMann credited with hit on Ryan Shea in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Filip Hallander
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Calle Jarnkrok won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Harrison Brunicke shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Philippe Myers
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dakota Joshua saved by Tristan Jarry
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 37 | Shots on Goal | 20 | |||
| 41% | Faceoff Win % | 59% | |||
| 3/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 1/0 | |||
| 2 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 9 | Hits | 35 | |||
| 5 | Shots Blocked | 25 | |||
| 18 | Giveaways | 22 |
| |
|---|
| 37 | Shots on Goal | 20 | |||
| 41% | Faceoff Win % | 59% | |||
| 3/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 1/0 | |||
| 2 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 9 | Hits | 35 | |||
| 5 | Shots Blocked | 25 | |||
| 18 | Giveaways | 22 |
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Penguins vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Penguins vs. Maple Leafs
- Date: Monday, November 3, 2025
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Penguins +158, Maple Leafs -184
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Penguins: 40%
- Maple Leafs: 60%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 40%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 60%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Penguins vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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