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Flames vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Flames vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on October 28, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
3
4
Oct 28, 10PM Scotiabank Arena
Oct 28, 10PM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Flames | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Maple Leafs | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Flames | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Maple Leafs | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
P3 19:32 Shot on goal by Jonathan Huberdeau saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 19:11 Shot missed by Brandon Carlo
P3 18:10 Shot on goal by Morgan Frost saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 18:09 Shot on goal by Jonathan Huberdeau saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 17:55 Goal scored by Max Domi assisted by Matthew Knies and John Tavares
P3 17:14 Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 16:57 Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 16:57 Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
P3 16:48 Shot missed by Easton Cowan
P3 15:18 Brandon Carlo shot blocked by MacKenzie Weegar
P3 14:48 Shot on goal by Samuel Honzek saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 13:59 Shot on goal by Morgan Frost saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 13:15 Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 12:43 Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 10:39 Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 10:20 Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P3 09:47 Jake Bean shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P3 09:24 Shot on goal by Connor Zary saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 08:30 Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 08:24 Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Rasmus Andersson
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonathan Huberdeau saved by Anthony Stolarz
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Carlo
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Frost saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonathan Huberdeau saved by Anthony Stolarz
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Max Domi assisted by Matthew Knies and John Tavares
3-4
John Tavares won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Dustin Wolf
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
SHOT
Shot missed by Easton Cowan
John Tavares won faceoff against Connor Zary in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Brandon Carlo shot blocked by MacKenzie Weegar
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Samuel Honzek saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Frost saved by Anthony Stolarz
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by Anthony Stolarz
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Dustin Wolf
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Dustin Wolf
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
Matthew Knies credited with hit on Joel Farabee in offensive zone
SHOT
Jake Bean shot blocked by Simon Benoit
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Zary saved by Anthony Stolarz
Bobby McMann credited with hit on Kevin Bahl in offensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Rasmus Andersson
Joel Hanley credited with hit on Nicholas Robertson in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Connor Zary shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Power play - Zayne Parekh shot blocked by Simon Benoit
SHOT
Power play - Matt Coronato shot blocked by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Power play - Matt Coronato shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Rasmus Andersson
Power play - Morgan Frost won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Knies
John Tavares won faceoff against Justin Kirkland in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Dustin Wolf
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Zayne Parekh
SHOT
Shot on goal by Flames saved by Anthony Stolarz
Morgan Frost credited with hit on Brandon Carlo in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
GOAL
Goal scored by Matthew Knies
2-3
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Dustin Wolf
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Morgan Frost in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Dustin Wolf
Shorthanded - Mikael Backlund won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Penalty to Joel Hanley 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Matias Maccelli)
John Tavares won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Dakota Joshua credited with hit on Joel Farabee in defensive zone
Justin Kirkland won faceoff against Steven Lorentz in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Dustin Wolf
Philippe Myers credited with hit on MacKenzie Weegar in defensive zone
SHOT
Nazem Kadri shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone
Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Brandon Carlo shot blocked by Justin Kirkland
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Dustin Wolf
John Tavares won faceoff against Justin Kirkland in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Matthew Knies assisted by William Nylander
2-2
John Tavares won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Nazem Kadri shot blocked by Philippe Myers
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zayne Parekh saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Frost
SHOT
Jonathan Huberdeau shot blocked by Philippe Myers
SHOT
Nazem Kadri shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
GOAL
Goal scored by Joel Farabee assisted by Justin Kirkland and Rasmus Andersson
2-1
Justin Kirkland won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
Justin Kirkland won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Matt Coronato shot blocked by Jake McCabe
SHOT
Shot missed by Blake Coleman
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Dustin Wolf
Bobby McMann credited with hit on MacKenzie Weegar in offensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dakota Joshua saved by Dustin Wolf
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicolas Roy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Dustin Wolf
John Tavares won faceoff against Morgan Frost in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Samuel Honzek credited with hit on Simon Benoit in offensive zone
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Dustin Wolf
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Dustin Wolf
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Philippe Myers saved by Dustin Wolf
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Samuel Honzek
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Steven Lorentz in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Dustin Wolf
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot missed by Joel Hanley
SHOT
Jake McCabe shot blocked by Rasmus Andersson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Dustin Wolf
SHOT
Jake Bean shot blocked by Auston Matthews
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Dustin Wolf
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Lomberg
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake McCabe
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Dustin Wolf
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Dustin Wolf
SHOT
Shot on goal by Philippe Myers saved by Dustin Wolf
Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Nazem Kadri shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Domi
GOAL
Goal scored by Max Domi assisted by Steven Lorentz
1-1
SHOT
Kevin Bahl shot blocked by Matthew Knies
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yegor Sharangovich saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Dustin Wolf
SHOT
Kevin Bahl shot blocked by Philippe Myers
Giveaway by Steven Lorentz in defensive zone
SHOT
Zayne Parekh shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Frost saved by Anthony Stolarz
Power play - Morgan Frost won faceoff against Steven Lorentz in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Philippe Myers saved by Dustin Wolf
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Zayne Parekh saved by Anthony Stolarz
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
Penalty to Oliver Ekman-Larsson 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Jonathan Huberdeau)
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Rasmus Andersson shot blocked by teammate
Shorthanded - Morgan Frost won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by Joel Farabee
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Justin Kirkland in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Morgan Rielly shot blocked by teammate
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Blake Coleman in offensive zone
Stoppage - High Stick
SHOT
Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by Kevin Bahl
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Jonathan Huberdeau 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Max Domi)
SHOT
Power play - Max Domi shot blocked by Rasmus Andersson
Power play - Easton Cowan won faceoff against Justin Kirkland in offensive zone
Justin Kirkland won faceoff against Easton Cowan in defensive zone
Stoppage - Clock Problem
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Dustin Wolf
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Dustin Wolf
SHOT
Power play - Morgan Rielly shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Dustin Wolf
Power play - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
Penalty to Flames 2 minutes for Too Many Men on the Ice (Served by Matt Coronato)
Stoppage - TV timeout
Shorthanded - Morgan Frost won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Dustin Wolf
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Dustin Wolf
John Tavares won faceoff against Joel Farabee in offensive zone
Penalty to Connor Zary 2 minutes for Misconduct
Shorthanded - Dakota Joshua credited with hit on MacKenzie Weegar in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Rasmus Andersson shot blocked by Jake McCabe
SHOT
Power play - Yegor Sharangovich shot blocked by Dakota Joshua
Shorthanded - Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Connor Zary in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by MacKenzie Weegar saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
Penalty to Oliver Ekman-Larsson 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Jonathan Huberdeau)
SHOT
Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Anthony Stolarz
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Zary saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Jake McCabe shot blocked by Joel Farabee
SHOT
Philippe Myers shot blocked by Joel Farabee
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Connor Zary in defensive zone
Stoppage
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Bean saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Bean
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Dustin Wolf
Ryan Lomberg credited with hit on Philippe Myers in offensive zone
Justin Kirkland credited with hit on Max Domi in offensive zone
Nicholas Robertson credited with hit on Joel Hanley in neutral zone
Justin Kirkland won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
Max Domi won faceoff against Connor Zary in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Frost saved by Anthony Stolarz
Morgan Frost won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Dustin Wolf
Morgan Frost won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Dustin Wolf
SHOT
Shot missed by Philippe Myers
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Blake Coleman in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Dustin Wolf
SHOT
Shot missed by Maple Leafs
SHOT
Shot on goal by Blake Coleman saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joel Hanley saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Simon Benoit shot blocked by MacKenzie Weegar
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 29 | Shots on Goal | 37 | |||
| 50% | Faceoff Win % | 50% | |||
| 3/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/1 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 20 | Hits | 18 | |||
| 10 | Shots Blocked | 15 | |||
| 30 | Giveaways | 16 |
| |
|---|
| 29 | Shots on Goal | 37 | |||
| 50% | Faceoff Win % | 50% | |||
| 3/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/1 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 20 | Hits | 18 | |||
| 10 | Shots Blocked | 15 | |||
| 30 | Giveaways | 16 |
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Flames vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Flames vs. Maple Leafs
- Date: Tuesday, October 28, 2025
- Time: 6:00 PM ET
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 5.5
- Moneyline Odds: Flames +143, Maple Leafs -160
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Flames: 41%
- Maple Leafs: 59%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Flames a win probability of 41%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 59%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Flames in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Flames vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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