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Canadiens vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Canadiens vs. Sabres NHL game on May 6, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
2
4
May 6, 11 PM KeyBank Center
May 6, 11 PM KeyBank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Canadiens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Sabres | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Canadiens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Sabres | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
P3 19:59 Mike Matheson shot blocked by Tage Thompson
P3 19:27 Noah Dobson shot blocked by Conor Timmins
P3 19:10 Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
P3 19:03 Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
P3 17:55 Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Alex Lyon
P3 17:51 Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Alex Lyon
P3 17:39 Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Alex Lyon
P3 16:59 Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Alex Lyon
P3 16:15 Mike Matheson shot blocked by Conor Timmins
P3 15:42 Tage Thompson shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
P3 14:22 Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Alex Lyon
P3 14:05 Shot missed by Tyson Kozak
P3 13:08 Juraj Slafkovský shot blocked by Conor Timmins
P3 11:57 Josh Doan shot blocked by Noah Dobson
P3 10:03 Shot missed by Jack Quinn
P3 08:49 Shot missed by Kirby Dach
P3 06:42 Shot missed by Alex Tuch
P3 05:58 Logan Stanley shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
P3 05:09 Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
P3 05:05 Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Alex Lyon
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Mike Matheson shot blocked by Tage Thompson
Jake Evans won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
SHOT
Noah Dobson shot blocked by Conor Timmins
SHOT
Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
SHOT
Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Alex Lyon
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Alex Lyon
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Alex Lyon
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Alex Lyon
SHOT
Mike Matheson shot blocked by Conor Timmins
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Alex Lyon
SHOT
Shot missed by Tyson Kozak
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
SHOT
Juraj Slafkovský shot blocked by Conor Timmins
SHOT
Josh Doan shot blocked by Noah Dobson
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Quinn
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Kirby Dach
Jordan Greenway won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
Juraj Slafkovský credited with hit on Rasmus Dahlin in offensive zone
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Tuch
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
SHOT
Logan Stanley shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Kirby Dach in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
Jake Evans won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Alex Lyon
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Alex Lyon
Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Quinn
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Alex Lyon
Jake Evans won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Alex Lyon
Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Alex Lyon
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by Owen Power
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by teammate
Nick Suzuki credited with hit on Jason Zucker in defensive zone
Giveaway by Mike Matheson in defensive zone
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joseph Veleno saved by Alex Lyon
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
Giveaway by Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Josh Norris won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Alex Lyon
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Bowen Byram
1-4
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Alexandre Carrier in defensive zone
Power play - Giveaway by Jason Zucker in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex Tuch
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
SHOT
Jack Quinn shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
SHOT
Logan Stanley shot blocked by Alexandre Texier
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Jason Zucker in neutral zone
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by Josh Doan
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
Alexandre Texier won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in neutral zone
Josh Norris won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Jake Evans in defensive zone
Cole Caufield credited with hit on Bowen Byram in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Jakub Dobes
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Josh Norris won faceoff against Phillip Danault in defensive zone
Josh Norris won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
SHOT
Power play - Lane Hutson shot blocked by Conor Timmins
Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
SHOT
Bowen Byram shot blocked by Jake Evans
Alex Newhook won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Giveaway by Josh Doan in neutral zone
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Arber Xhekaj
Jordan Greenway won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Josh Doan shot blocked by Lane Hutson
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Alex Lyon
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Evans saved by Alex Lyon
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Alex Lyon
SHOT
Shot on goal by Phillip Danault saved by Alex Lyon
SHOT
Shot missed by Kaiden Guhle
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexandre Texier
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Tuch
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Alex Lyon
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Doan
Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Alex Lyon
SHOT
Shot missed by Jordan Greenway
Shorthanded - Phillip Danault won faceoff against Alex Tuch in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Kaiden Guhle in defensive zone
Power play - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
Power play - Giveaway by Alex Tuch in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
Penalty to Lane Hutson 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Zach Benson)
Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 28 | Shots on Goal | 16 | |||
| 63% | Faceoff Win % | 37% | |||
| 2/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/2 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 31 | Hits | 27 | |||
| 13 | Shots Blocked | 12 | |||
| 7 | Giveaways | 15 |
| |
|---|
| 28 | Shots on Goal | 16 | |||
| 63% | Faceoff Win % | 37% | |||
| 2/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/2 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 31 | Hits | 27 | |||
| 13 | Shots Blocked | 12 | |||
| 7 | Giveaways | 15 |
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Canadiens vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Canadiens vs. Sabres
- Date: Wednesday, May 6, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: KeyBank Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Sabres favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 5.5
- Moneyline Odds: Canadiens +130, Sabres -125
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Canadiens: 44%
- Sabres: 56%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canadiens a win probability of 44%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 56%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Sabres are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Canadiens vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
