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Lightning vs. Canadiens Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Canadiens NHL game on April 24, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
2
3
Apr 24, 11PM Bell Centre
Apr 24, 11PM Bell Centre
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Canadiens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Canadiens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
OT1 02:08 Goal scored by Lane Hutson
OT1 00:31 Jake Evans shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P3 19:58 Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:00 J.J. Moser shot blocked by Zachary Bolduc
P3 17:54 J.J. Moser shot blocked by teammate
P3 15:55 Scott Sabourin shot blocked by Josh Anderson
P3 15:00 Lane Hutson shot blocked by Dominic James
P3 14:32 Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 13:15 Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 11:41 Shot missed by Canadiens
P3 09:21 Power play - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
P3 07:57 Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 07:04 Shot on goal by Alexandre Carrier saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 05:35 Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Declan Carlile
P3 05:13 Shot missed by Dominic James
P3 04:49 Shot on goal by Phillip Danault saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 04:14 Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
P3 03:23 Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Juraj Slafkovský
P3 03:05 Dominic James shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
P3 01:52 Shot on goal by Jake Evans saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of 1st OT.
GOAL
Goal scored by Lane Hutson
2-3
SHOT
Jake Evans shot blocked by J.J. Moser
Arber Xhekaj credited with hit on J.J. Moser in defensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Zachary Bolduc
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by teammate
Kirby Dach credited with hit on Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
Brayden Point won faceoff against Alex Newhook in neutral zone
Giveaway by Darren Raddysh in neutral zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
Penalty to Phillip Danault 2 minutes for Roughing
Penalty to Zemgus Girgensons 2 minutes for Roughing
SHOT
Scott Sabourin shot blocked by Josh Anderson
Jake Evans won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by Dominic James
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Jakub Dobes
Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Alex Newhook won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Canadiens
Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Penalty to Josh Anderson 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Jakub Dobes
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexandre Carrier saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Kirby Dach won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
SHOT
Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Declan Carlile
SHOT
Shot missed by Dominic James
Brayden Point won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Phillip Danault saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
Giveaway by Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
SHOT
Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Juraj Slafkovský
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
SHOT
Dominic James shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
Zachary Bolduc credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in offensive zone
Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
Stoppage - Icing
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Evans saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Power play - Giveaway by Mike Matheson in neutral zone
Power play - Giveaway by Ivan Demidov in offensive zone
End of 2nd Period.
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Lane Hutson shot blocked by Erik Cernak
Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
SHOT
Josh Anderson shot blocked by Declan Carlile
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zachary Bolduc saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Penalty to Emil Lilleberg 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Kirby Dach)
Shorthanded - Yanni Gourde credited with hit on Cole Caufield in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Yanni Gourde credited with hit on Alex Newhook in offensive zone
Alex Newhook won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kirby Dach saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Shorthanded - Phillip Danault won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Penalty to Ivan Demidov 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Ryan McDonagh)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Giveaway by Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jayden Struble saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Takeaway by Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Brandon Hagel
2-1
SHOT
Shot on goal by Phillip Danault saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Alex Newhook
Alex Newhook won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Zachary Bolduc
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Kirby Dach in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Jakub Dobes
Shorthanded - Phillip Danault won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Stoppage - Offside
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Sabourin
SHOT
Shot missed by Kirby Dach
SHOT
Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
SHOT
Jayden Struble shot blocked by J.J. Moser
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by Lane Hutson
SHOT
Lightning shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
SHOT
Shot on goal by Phillip Danault saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Shorthanded - Brayden Point won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Power play - Giveaway by Lane Hutson in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Penalty to Nikita Kucherov 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Alexandre Carrier)
Nick Paul won faceoff against Juraj Slafkovský in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Lane Hutson in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Dominic James
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Power play - Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Alex Newhook
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
SHOT
Shot missed by Kaiden Guhle
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Brayden Point assisted by Jake Guentzel and Nikita Kucherov
1-1
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Lane Hutson
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Alex Newhook won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jake Evans in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Kirby Dach in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Phillip Danault shot blocked by Erik Cernak
SHOT
Mike Matheson shot blocked by Corey Perry
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 17 | Shots on Goal | 29 | |||
| 54% | Faceoff Win % | 46% | |||
| 5/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/0 | |||
| 14 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 16 | |||
| 31 | Hits | 36 | |||
| 14 | Shots Blocked | 19 | |||
| 9 | Giveaways | 17 |
| |
|---|
| 17 | Shots on Goal | 29 | |||
| 54% | Faceoff Win % | 46% | |||
| 5/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/0 | |||
| 14 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 16 | |||
| 31 | Hits | 36 | |||
| 14 | Shots Blocked | 19 | |||
| 9 | Giveaways | 17 |
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Lightning vs. Canadiens: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Lightning vs. Canadiens
- Date: Friday, April 24, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Bell Centre
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Lightning -106, Canadiens +109
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Lightning: 51%
- Canadiens: 49%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 51%, while the Canadiens have a win probability of 49%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at Bell Centre on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Lightning vs. Canadiens predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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