Lightning vs. Canadiens Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Canadiens NHL game on April 24, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Lightning
2
3
Apr 24, 11PM Bell Centre
Canadiens
Apr 24, 11PM Bell Centre
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
TEAM123OTT
Lightning
1 1 0 0 2
Canadiens
1 1 0 1 3
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
LightningTB
Win %
0%
100%
CanadiensMTL
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Lightning
1 1 0 0 2
Canadiens
1 1 0 1 3
OT1 02:08 Goal scored by Lane Hutson
OT1 00:31 Jake Evans shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P3 19:58 Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:00 J.J. Moser shot blocked by Zachary Bolduc
P3 17:54 J.J. Moser shot blocked by teammate
P3 15:55 Scott Sabourin shot blocked by Josh Anderson
P3 15:00 Lane Hutson shot blocked by Dominic James
P3 14:32 Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 13:15 Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 11:41 Shot missed by Canadiens
P3 09:21 Power play - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
P3 07:57 Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 07:04 Shot on goal by Alexandre Carrier saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 05:35 Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Declan Carlile
P3 05:13 Shot missed by Dominic James
P3 04:49 Shot on goal by Phillip Danault saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 04:14 Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
P3 03:23 Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Juraj Slafkovský
P3 03:05 Dominic James shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
P3 01:52 Shot on goal by Jake Evans saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
OT1 20:00
End of 1st OT.
OT1 02:08
GOAL
Goal scored by Lane Hutson
2-3
OT1 00:31
SHOT
Jake Evans shot blocked by J.J. Moser
OT1 00:19
Arber Xhekaj credited with hit on J.J. Moser in defensive zone
OT1 00:00
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:00
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Zachary Bolduc
P3 17:54
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by teammate
P3 16:58
Kirby Dach credited with hit on Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
P3 16:34
Brayden Point won faceoff against Alex Newhook in neutral zone
P3 16:08
Giveaway by Darren Raddysh in neutral zone
P3 16:02
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
P3 16:02
Penalty to Phillip Danault 2 minutes for Roughing
P3 16:02
Penalty to Zemgus Girgensons 2 minutes for Roughing
P3 15:55
SHOT
Scott Sabourin shot blocked by Josh Anderson
P3 15:26
Jake Evans won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
P3 15:00
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by Dominic James
P3 14:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 14:24
Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
P3 13:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 12:10
Alex Newhook won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P3 12:10
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
P3 11:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Canadiens
P3 10:09
Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
P3 09:21
SHOT
Power play - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
P3 08:50
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P3 08:50
Penalty to Josh Anderson 2 minutes for Misconduct
P3 07:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 07:05
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
P3 07:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexandre Carrier saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 06:48
Kirby Dach won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P3 05:35
SHOT
Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Declan Carlile
P3 05:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Dominic James
P3 04:53
Brayden Point won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
P3 04:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Phillip Danault saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 04:14
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
P3 03:47
Giveaway by Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
P3 03:23
SHOT
Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Juraj Slafkovský
P3 03:12
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P3 03:05
SHOT
Dominic James shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
P3 02:57
Zachary Bolduc credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in offensive zone
P3 02:32
Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
P3 02:32
Stoppage - Icing
P3 02:05
Stoppage - Icing
P3 01:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Evans saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 01:22
Power play - Giveaway by Mike Matheson in neutral zone
P3 00:24
Power play - Giveaway by Ivan Demidov in offensive zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:58
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
P2 19:58
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 19:46
SHOT
Power play - Lane Hutson shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P2 19:29
Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
P2 19:08
SHOT
Josh Anderson shot blocked by Declan Carlile
P2 18:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zachary Bolduc saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 17:22
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
P2 17:22
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 16:14
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
P2 16:14
Penalty to Emil Lilleberg 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Kirby Dach)
P2 15:33
Shorthanded - Yanni Gourde credited with hit on Cole Caufield in defensive zone
P2 14:38
SHOT
Power play - Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P2 14:25
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 14:05
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P2 13:19
Yanni Gourde credited with hit on Alex Newhook in offensive zone
P2 12:43
Alex Newhook won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P2 12:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kirby Dach saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 11:33
Shorthanded - Phillip Danault won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
P2 11:15
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P2 09:59
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
P2 09:59
Penalty to Ivan Demidov 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Ryan McDonagh)
P2 09:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 08:39
Giveaway by Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
P2 08:18
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P2 08:18
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 07:41
Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in defensive zone
P2 07:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jayden Struble saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 06:44
Takeaway by Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
P2 06:13
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
P2 06:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 04:47
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
P2 04:45
GOAL
Goal scored by Brandon Hagel
2-1
P2 04:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Phillip Danault saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 03:29
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 03:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Jakub Dobes
P2 02:58
SHOT
Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Alex Newhook
P2 02:31
Alex Newhook won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P2 02:19
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Zachary Bolduc
P2 02:14
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P2 01:51
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Kirby Dach in defensive zone
P2 01:51
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 01:14
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P2 01:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P2 00:28
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Jakub Dobes
P2 00:00
Shorthanded - Phillip Danault won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:45
Stoppage - Offside
P1 19:11
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P1 19:04
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
P1 19:04
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P1 19:02
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Sabourin
P1 17:34
SHOT
Shot missed by Kirby Dach
P1 17:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
P1 16:57
SHOT
Jayden Struble shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P1 16:24
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by Lane Hutson
P1 15:31
SHOT
Lightning shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
P1 14:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Phillip Danault saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 14:17
Shorthanded - Brayden Point won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
P1 14:17
Stoppage - Offside
P1 13:03
Power play - Giveaway by Lane Hutson in offensive zone
P1 12:23
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
P1 12:23
Penalty to Nikita Kucherov 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Alexandre Carrier)
P1 11:38
Nick Paul won faceoff against Juraj Slafkovský in defensive zone
P1 11:38
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P1 10:48
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Lane Hutson in offensive zone
P1 10:10
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Jakub Dobes
P1 10:01
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Dominic James
P1 10:01
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Jakub Dobes
P1 08:51
SHOT
Power play - Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Alex Newhook
P1 08:44
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
P1 08:12
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P1 08:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
P1 08:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Kaiden Guhle
P1 07:42
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Brayden Point assisted by Jake Guentzel and Nikita Kucherov
1-1
P1 07:32
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P1 07:29
SHOT
Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Lane Hutson
P1 06:13
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 06:06
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P1 05:29
Alex Newhook won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P1 04:53
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
P1 03:40
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jake Evans in defensive zone
P1 03:40
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 02:26
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Kirby Dach in defensive zone
P1 01:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Jakub Dobes
P1 01:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 01:04
SHOT
Phillip Danault shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P1 00:57
SHOT
Mike Matheson shot blocked by Corey Perry
P1 00:00
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Stats
Lightning
STATS
Canadiens
17Shots on Goal29
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
5/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
14Penalty Infraction Mins16
31Hits36
14Shots Blocked19
9Giveaways17
LightningTB
CanadiensMTL
17Shots on Goal29
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
5/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
14Penalty Infraction Mins16
31Hits36
14Shots Blocked19
9Giveaways17

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Lightning vs. Canadiens: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lightning vs. Canadiens
  • Date: Friday, April 24, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Bell Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Lightning -106, Canadiens +109

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lightning: 51%
  • Canadiens: 49%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 51%, while the Canadiens have a win probability of 49%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at Bell Centre on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Canadiens predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.