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Maple Leafs vs. Senators Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Senators NHL game on April 15, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
FINAL
NHL
1
3
Apr 15, 11:30PM Canadian Tire Centre
Apr 15, 11:30PM Canadian Tire Centre
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Senators | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Senators | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
P3 19:07 Artem Zub shot blocked by Matthew Knies
P3 18:21 Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Artem Zub
P3 16:57 Warren Foegele shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 16:29 Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 14:45 Shot missed by Steven Lorentz
P3 13:41 Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by James Reimer
P3 11:26 Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by James Reimer
P3 10:19 Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 09:27 Ridly Greig shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 08:48 Shot on goal by Ryan Tverberg saved by James Reimer
P3 08:09 Goal scored by William Nylander assisted by Jacob Quillan and Easton Cowan
P3 07:37 Shot missed by Nick Cousins
P3 07:36 Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 05:42 Lars Eller shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P3 05:08 Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by James Reimer
P3 04:11 Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 03:55 Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by James Reimer
P3 03:09 Lassi Thomson shot blocked by Ryan Tverberg
P3 02:49 Kurtis MacDermid shot blocked by William Villeneuve
P3 02:31 Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Dennis Hildeby
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
Takeaway by Claude Giroux in defensive zone
SHOT
Artem Zub shot blocked by Matthew Knies
Shane Pinto won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Artem Zub
Giveaway by Luke Haymes in defensive zone
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Luke Haymes in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Warren Foegele shot blocked by Jake McCabe
Ridly Greig won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Shot missed by Steven Lorentz
Stephen Halliday won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
Max Domi won faceoff against Dennis Gilbert in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by James Reimer
Giveaway by Nikolas Matinpalo in neutral zone
Ridly Greig won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by James Reimer
Luke Haymes won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
Giveaway by Simon Benoit in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Ridly Greig shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Tverberg saved by James Reimer
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
Lars Eller won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by William Nylander assisted by Jacob Quillan and Easton Cowan
1-2
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Cousins
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Dennis Hildeby
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Luke Haymes in neutral zone
SHOT
Lars Eller shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
Max Domi won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by James Reimer
John Tavares won faceoff against Ridly Greig in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by James Reimer
SHOT
Lassi Thomson shot blocked by Ryan Tverberg
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in offensive zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Equipment
SHOT
Kurtis MacDermid shot blocked by William Villeneuve
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Dennis Hildeby
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Drake Batherson
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Maple Leafs
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Dennis Hildeby
Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Steven Lorentz in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Dennis Hildeby
John Tavares won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Fabian Zetterlund
SHOT
Power play - Warren Foegele shot blocked by Jake McCabe
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Lassi Thomson shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Dennis Hildeby
Shorthanded - Steven Lorentz won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
Takeaway by Hayden Hodgson in defensive zone
SHOT
Max Domi shot blocked by Shane Pinto
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Domi
Giveaway by Stephen Halliday in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Stephen Halliday saved by Dennis Hildeby
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Drake Batherson
Giveaway by John Tavares in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by James Reimer
Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by James Reimer
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Nikolas Matinpalo in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
Penalty to Ridly Greig 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Ryan Tverberg)
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Steven Lorentz won faceoff against Ridly Greig in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Dennis Hildeby
Takeaway by Ridly Greig in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Dennis Hildeby
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Troy Stecher shot blocked by teammate
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Fabian Zetterlund
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jordan Spence saved by Dennis Hildeby
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Luke Haymes in neutral zone
SHOT
Drake Batherson shot blocked by Simon Benoit
SHOT
Shot missed by Jacob Quillan
Giveaway by Nikolas Matinpalo in defensive zone
Power play - William Nylander won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
Shorthanded - Shane Pinto won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Warren Foegele saved by Dennis Hildeby
Penalty to Artem Zub 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Matias Maccelli)
Giveaway by Shane Pinto in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Hayden Hodgson saved by Dennis Hildeby
Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Claude Giroux in neutral zone
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by James Reimer
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by James Reimer
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Max Domi won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Shane Pinto
Shane Pinto won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Lassi Thomson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by James Reimer
SHOT
Troy Stecher shot blocked by Cameron Crotty
SHOT
Shot missed by Drake Batherson
John Tavares won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Artem Zub
SHOT
Shot on goal by Stephen Halliday saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by James Reimer
Max Domi won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Max Domi won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by James Reimer
SHOT
Shot missed by Ridly Greig
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
Lars Eller won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Dennis Hildeby
Penalty to Luke Haymes 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Dylan Cozens)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lassi Thomson saved by Dennis Hildeby
SHOT
Shot missed by Claude Giroux
SHOT
Jacob Quillan shot blocked by teammate
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
SHOT
Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Dennis Hildeby
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Dennis Hildeby
Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
Stoppage - High Stick
Giveaway by Nick Cousins in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Fabian Zetterlund
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 20 | Shots on Goal | 38 | |||
| 43% | Faceoff Win % | 57% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/2 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 28 | Hits | 27 | |||
| 13 | Shots Blocked | 7 | |||
| 22 | Giveaways | 18 |
| |
|---|
| 20 | Shots on Goal | 38 | |||
| 43% | Faceoff Win % | 57% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/2 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 28 | Hits | 27 | |||
| 13 | Shots Blocked | 7 | |||
| 22 | Giveaways | 18 |
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Maple Leafs vs. Senators: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Senators
- Date: Wednesday, April 15, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Canadian Tire Centre
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Senators favored at undefined
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs +175, Senators -167
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Maple Leafs: 36%
- Senators: 64%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 36%, while the Senators have a win probability of 64%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Canadian Tire Centre on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Maple Leafs vs. Senators predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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