Maple Leafs vs. Senators Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Senators NHL game on April 15, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Maple Leafs
1
3
Apr 15, 11:30PM Canadian Tire Centre
Senators
Apr 15, 11:30PM Canadian Tire Centre
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
0 0 1 1
Senators
1 1 1 3
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Maple LeafsTOR
Win %
0%
100%
SenatorsOTT
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
0 0 1 1
Senators
1 1 1 3
P3 19:07 Artem Zub shot blocked by Matthew Knies
P3 18:21 Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Artem Zub
P3 16:57 Warren Foegele shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 16:29 Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 14:45 Shot missed by Steven Lorentz
P3 13:41 Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by James Reimer
P3 11:26 Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by James Reimer
P3 10:19 Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 09:27 Ridly Greig shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 08:48 Shot on goal by Ryan Tverberg saved by James Reimer
P3 08:09 Goal scored by William Nylander assisted by Jacob Quillan and Easton Cowan
P3 07:37 Shot missed by Nick Cousins
P3 07:36 Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 05:42 Lars Eller shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P3 05:08 Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by James Reimer
P3 04:11 Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 03:55 Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by James Reimer
P3 03:09 Lassi Thomson shot blocked by Ryan Tverberg
P3 02:49 Kurtis MacDermid shot blocked by William Villeneuve
P3 02:31 Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Dennis Hildeby
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:54
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
P3 19:47
Takeaway by Claude Giroux in defensive zone
P3 19:07
SHOT
Artem Zub shot blocked by Matthew Knies
P3 18:40
Shane Pinto won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P3 18:40
Stoppage - Icing
P3 18:21
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Artem Zub
P3 17:15
Giveaway by Luke Haymes in defensive zone
P3 17:07
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Luke Haymes in offensive zone
P3 17:07
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 16:57
SHOT
Warren Foegele shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 16:31
Ridly Greig won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P3 16:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 14:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Steven Lorentz
P3 13:51
Stephen Halliday won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
P3 13:43
Max Domi won faceoff against Dennis Gilbert in offensive zone
P3 13:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by James Reimer
P3 12:21
Giveaway by Nikolas Matinpalo in neutral zone
P3 11:28
Ridly Greig won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
P3 11:28
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 11:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by James Reimer
P3 11:11
Luke Haymes won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
P3 10:49
Giveaway by Simon Benoit in defensive zone
P3 10:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 09:27
SHOT
Ridly Greig shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 08:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Tverberg saved by James Reimer
P3 08:30
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
P3 08:11
Lars Eller won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
P3 08:09
GOAL
Goal scored by William Nylander assisted by Jacob Quillan and Easton Cowan
1-2
P3 07:37
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Cousins
P3 07:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 05:58
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Luke Haymes in neutral zone
P3 05:42
SHOT
Lars Eller shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P3 05:10
Max Domi won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
P3 05:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by James Reimer
P3 04:13
John Tavares won faceoff against Ridly Greig in defensive zone
P3 04:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 03:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by James Reimer
P3 03:09
SHOT
Lassi Thomson shot blocked by Ryan Tverberg
P3 03:07
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in offensive zone
P3 03:07
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Equipment
P3 02:49
SHOT
Kurtis MacDermid shot blocked by William Villeneuve
P3 02:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 02:24
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 02:11
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
P3 01:35
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 01:03
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Drake Batherson
P3 00:28
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Maple Leafs
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:58
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 19:37
Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Steven Lorentz in offensive zone
P2 19:37
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 19:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 18:32
John Tavares won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
P2 18:24
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Fabian Zetterlund
P2 18:18
SHOT
Power play - Warren Foegele shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P2 18:13
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 18:11
SHOT
Power play - Lassi Thomson shot blocked by teammate
P2 17:19
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 16:38
Shorthanded - Steven Lorentz won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
P2 16:19
Takeaway by Hayden Hodgson in defensive zone
P2 16:12
SHOT
Max Domi shot blocked by Shane Pinto
P2 16:04
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Domi
P2 14:25
Giveaway by Stephen Halliday in neutral zone
P2 14:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Stephen Halliday saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 14:04
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in offensive zone
P2 14:04
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 13:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Drake Batherson
P2 13:21
Giveaway by John Tavares in offensive zone
P2 13:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by James Reimer
P2 12:43
Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P2 12:39
Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P2 12:37
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by James Reimer
P2 11:16
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Nikolas Matinpalo in defensive zone
P2 10:51
Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
P2 10:51
Penalty to Ridly Greig 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Ryan Tverberg)
P2 10:22
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
P2 09:52
Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
P2 09:04
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 08:46
Steven Lorentz won faceoff against Ridly Greig in defensive zone
P2 08:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 06:35
Takeaway by Ridly Greig in offensive zone
P2 06:25
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
P2 06:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P2 06:17
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P2 05:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 05:03
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 04:56
SHOT
Troy Stecher shot blocked by teammate
P2 04:49
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 04:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Fabian Zetterlund
P2 03:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jordan Spence saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 02:15
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Luke Haymes in neutral zone
P2 01:56
SHOT
Drake Batherson shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P2 01:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Jacob Quillan
P2 01:03
Giveaway by Nikolas Matinpalo in defensive zone
P2 00:30
Power play - William Nylander won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
P2 00:00
Shorthanded - Shane Pinto won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:34
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Warren Foegele saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 18:53
Penalty to Artem Zub 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Matias Maccelli)
P1 18:18
Giveaway by Shane Pinto in offensive zone
P1 17:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Hayden Hodgson saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 17:04
Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Claude Giroux in neutral zone
P1 16:39
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
P1 16:39
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
P1 16:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by James Reimer
P1 15:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by James Reimer
P1 15:26
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 15:06
Max Domi won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
P1 14:24
SHOT
Shot missed by Shane Pinto
P1 13:47
Shane Pinto won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P1 13:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Lassi Thomson
P1 12:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by James Reimer
P1 12:33
SHOT
Troy Stecher shot blocked by Cameron Crotty
P1 11:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Drake Batherson
P1 10:09
John Tavares won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
P1 10:09
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 10:07
SHOT
Shot missed by Artem Zub
P1 08:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Stephen Halliday saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 08:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by James Reimer
P1 07:28
Max Domi won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
P1 07:28
Stoppage - Icing
P1 07:20
Max Domi won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
P1 07:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by James Reimer
P1 06:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Ridly Greig
P1 06:23
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
P1 06:04
Lars Eller won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
P1 05:48
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 05:44
Penalty to Luke Haymes 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Dylan Cozens)
P1 05:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lassi Thomson saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 05:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Claude Giroux
P1 04:42
SHOT
Jacob Quillan shot blocked by teammate
P1 04:39
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in defensive zone
P1 04:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
P1 04:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 03:33
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 03:12
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
P1 03:08
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
P1 03:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Dennis Hildeby
P1 02:00
Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
P1 01:47
Stoppage - High Stick
P1 00:58
Giveaway by Nick Cousins in defensive zone
P1 00:20
SHOT
Shot missed by Fabian Zetterlund
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Maple Leafs
STATS
Senators
20Shots on Goal38
43% Faceoff Win % 57%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/2
6Penalty Infraction Mins4
28Hits27
13Shots Blocked7
22Giveaways18
Maple LeafsTOR
SenatorsOTT
20Shots on Goal38
43% Faceoff Win % 57%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/2
6Penalty Infraction Mins4
28Hits27
13Shots Blocked7
22Giveaways18

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Maple Leafs vs. Senators: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Senators
  • Date: Wednesday, April 15, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Canadian Tire Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Senators favored at undefined
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs +175, Senators -167

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Maple Leafs: 36%
  • Senators: 64%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 36%, while the Senators have a win probability of 64%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Canadian Tire Centre on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Maple Leafs vs. Senators predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.