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Canadiens vs. Islanders Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Canadiens vs. Islanders NHL game on April 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
FINAL
NHL
4
1
Apr 12, 10PM UBS Arena
Apr 12, 10PM UBS Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Canadiens | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Islanders | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Canadiens | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Islanders | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
P3 19:44 Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
P3 19:38 Lane Hutson shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
P3 19:05 Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Jacob Fowler
P3 18:01 Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
P3 17:18 Shot missed by Jake Evans
P3 16:47 Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Jayden Struble
P3 15:23 Shot missed by Kirby Dach
P3 15:08 Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Jacob Fowler
P3 14:53 Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Jacob Fowler
P3 14:07 Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Jake Evans
P3 13:53 Shot missed by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
P3 12:48 Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by teammate
P3 10:52 Shot missed by David Reinbacher
P3 10:25 Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
P3 09:52 Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Jacob Fowler
P3 08:39 Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Jacob Fowler
P3 08:37 Shot missed by Kyle MacLean
P3 06:34 Anders Lee shot blocked by David Reinbacher
P3 06:27 Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Jacob Fowler
P3 04:25 Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
Canadiens won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Jacob Fowler
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Evans
Jake Evans won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
SHOT
Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Jayden Struble
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Canadiens won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Kirby Dach
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Jacob Fowler
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Jacob Fowler
SHOT
Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Jake Evans
Canadiens won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by teammate
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by David Reinbacher
SHOT
Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Jacob Fowler
Anders Lee won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Jacob Fowler
SHOT
Shot missed by Kyle MacLean
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Anders Lee shot blocked by David Reinbacher
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Jacob Fowler
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
Jake Evans won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
SHOT
Shot missed by Calum Ritchie
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Alex Newhook shot blocked by Simon Holmstrom
Giveaway by Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Duclair
SHOT
Mathew Barzal shot blocked by teammate
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Jacob Fowler
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Stoppage - Skater Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Jacob Fowler
SHOT
Shot missed by Kaiden Guhle
GOAL
Goal scored by Alex Newhook assisted by Zachary Bolduc and Arber Xhekaj
3-0
Alex Newhook won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Simon Holmstrom in neutral zone
Arber Xhekaj won faceoff against Kyle MacLean in neutral zone
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Anderson
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Zachary Bolduc in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Ilya Sorokin
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Alex Newhook in offensive zone
Giveaway by Brayden Schenn in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Juraj Slafkovský in defensive zone
SHOT
Kaiden Guhle shot blocked by teammate
Jake Evans won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass
SHOT
Carson Soucy shot blocked by Kirby Dach
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kaiden Guhle saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Duclair saved by Jacob Fowler
Canadiens won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
SHOT
Ryan Pulock shot blocked by Zachary Bolduc
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Juraj Slafkovský shot blocked by Adam Pelech
Jayden Struble credited with hit on Simon Holmstrom in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Jacob Fowler
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Duclair
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by Anders Lee
Takeaway by Kaiden Guhle in defensive zone
Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jayden Struble saved by Ilya Sorokin
Kyle MacLean won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Juraj Slafkovský credited with hit on Adam Pelech in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Anders Lee
SHOT
Bo Horvat shot blocked by Jake Evans
Canadiens won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
Takeaway by Simon Holmstrom in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Cole Caufield
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Ilya Sorokin
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
Alex Newhook won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Ilya Sorokin
Canadiens won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Newhook
Jayden Struble credited with hit on Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Phillip Danault in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Cole Caufield shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
SHOT
Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Anthony Duclair
SHOT
Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Lane Hutson
SHOT
Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Jacob Fowler
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Kyle MacLean
SHOT
Power play - Simon Holmstrom shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Phillip Danault saved by Ilya Sorokin
Penalty to Josh Anderson 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Carson Soucy)
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Jacob Fowler
SHOT
Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
Jayden Struble credited with hit on Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
SHOT
Cole Caufield shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 22 | Shots on Goal | 31 | |||
| 47% | Faceoff Win % | 53% | |||
| 2/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/0 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 23 | Hits | 16 | |||
| 13 | Shots Blocked | 11 | |||
| 12 | Giveaways | 9 |
| |
|---|
| 22 | Shots on Goal | 31 | |||
| 47% | Faceoff Win % | 53% | |||
| 2/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/0 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 23 | Hits | 16 | |||
| 13 | Shots Blocked | 11 | |||
| 12 | Giveaways | 9 |
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Canadiens vs. Islanders: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Canadiens vs. Islanders
- Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET
- Venue: UBS Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Islanders favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Canadiens +115, Islanders -114
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Canadiens: 51%
- Islanders: 49%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canadiens a win probability of 51%, while the Islanders have a win probability of 49%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Canadiens are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at UBS Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Canadiens vs. Islanders predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
