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Senators vs. Islanders Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Senators vs. Islanders NHL game on April 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Senators
3
0
Apr 11, 5PM UBS Arena
Islanders
Apr 11, 5PM UBS Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Senators
1 0 2 3
Islanders
0 0 0 0
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
SenatorsOTT
Win %
100%
0%
IslandersNYI
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Senators
1 0 2 3
Islanders
0 0 0 0
P3 19:46 Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 16:02 Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by teammate
P3 15:27 Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Artem Zub
P3 14:48 Shot on goal by Brayden Schenn saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 14:22 Shot missed by Emil Heineman
P3 12:35 Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 12:01 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 10:58 Carson Soucy shot blocked by Michael Amadio
P3 10:36 Ondrej Palat shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
P3 10:19 Scott Mayfield shot blocked by teammate
P3 09:29 Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 06:58 Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
P3 05:13 Power play - Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 04:53 Power play - Shot on goal by Warren Foegele saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 01:58 Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by teammate
P3 01:47 Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 01:09 Power play - Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
P2 19:02 Claude Giroux shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
P2 18:33 Shot missed by Michael Amadio
P2 18:19 Shot missed by Nick Cousins
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 18:34
Tony DeAngelo credited with hit on Nick Cousins in offensive zone
P3 17:33
Giveaway by Carson Soucy in neutral zone
P3 17:29
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
P3 17:11
Giveaway by Michael Amadio in offensive zone
P3 16:18
Takeaway by Drake Batherson in defensive zone
P3 16:02
SHOT
Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by teammate
P3 15:56
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
P3 15:48
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
P3 15:30
Giveaway by Shane Pinto in defensive zone
P3 15:27
SHOT
Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Artem Zub
P3 14:51
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
P3 14:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Schenn saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 14:42
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
P3 14:22
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Heineman
P3 13:23
Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
P3 12:36
Shorthanded - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
P3 12:35
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 12:01
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 11:38
Shorthanded - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
P3 11:24
Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
P3 11:04
Shorthanded - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
P3 10:58
SHOT
Carson Soucy shot blocked by Michael Amadio
P3 10:36
SHOT
Ondrej Palat shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
P3 10:24
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 10:19
SHOT
Scott Mayfield shot blocked by teammate
P3 10:16
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P3 09:36
Warren Foegele credited with hit on Tony DeAngelo in offensive zone
P3 09:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 07:17
Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in defensive zone
P3 06:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
P3 06:56
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P3 06:05
Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
P3 05:13
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 04:56
Power play - Shane Pinto won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P3 04:53
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Warren Foegele saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 04:18
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Simon Holmstrom in defensive zone
P3 03:16
Shorthanded - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
P3 02:22
Takeaway by Tony DeAngelo in offensive zone
P3 02:00
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
P3 01:58
SHOT
Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by teammate
P3 01:57
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 01:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 01:31
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 01:09
SHOT
Power play - Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
P3 00:00
Shorthanded - Ridly Greig won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:40
Penalty to Jordan Spence 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Brayden Schenn)
P2 19:05
Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
P2 19:02
SHOT
Claude Giroux shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
P2 18:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Amadio
P2 18:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Cousins
P2 17:25
Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on Marc Gatcomb in offensive zone
P2 17:05
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
P2 16:27
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Shane Pinto in defensive zone
P2 15:19
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 14:43
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Bo Horvat
P2 14:37
Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
P2 14:37
Penalty to Jordan Spence 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Anders Lee)
P2 14:24
Giveaway by Anders Lee in offensive zone
P2 13:57
SHOT
Kyle MacLean shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
P2 12:33
Brayden Schenn credited with hit on Jordan Spence in offensive zone
P2 12:10
SHOT
Shot missed by Drake Batherson
P2 11:35
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
P2 11:35
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
P2 11:29
SHOT
Shot missed by Artem Zub
P2 10:41
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Casey Cizikas
P2 09:52
SHOT
Power play - Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P2 09:45
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Simon Holmstrom in defensive zone
P2 08:47
Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
P2 08:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 07:57
Fabian Zetterlund credited with hit on Scott Mayfield in offensive zone
P2 07:25
SHOT
Shot missed by Anders Lee
P2 07:03
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 06:55
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
P2 06:10
SHOT
Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
P2 05:42
SHOT
Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
P2 04:25
SHOT
Artem Zub shot blocked by Emil Heineman
P2 04:13
SHOT
Drake Batherson shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P2 03:09
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Pelech
P2 02:22
Giveaway by Thomas Chabot in defensive zone
P2 02:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Cousins
P2 01:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 00:29
Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on Emil Heineman in defensive zone
P2 00:00
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Casey Cizikas saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 17:54
Stoppage - High Stick
P1 17:02
Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
P1 16:23
SHOT
Bo Horvat shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
P1 15:03
Stoppage - Icing
P1 14:58
Lars Eller won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
P1 14:01
Lars Eller won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
P1 14:01
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
P1 13:06
Senators won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
P1 12:43
Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
P1 12:43
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 12:25
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 12:05
Lars Eller won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
P1 12:01
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
P1 11:37
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
P1 11:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 10:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Pelech
P1 09:54
Stoppage - Icing
P1 08:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
P1 08:39
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
P1 08:15
Takeaway by Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
P1 07:58
Stoppage - Icing
P1 05:40
Claude Giroux credited with hit on Brayden Schenn in offensive zone
P1 04:54
SHOT
Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P1 04:46
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 04:41
SHOT
Senators shot blocked by Michael Amadio
P1 03:30
Stoppage - High Stick
P1 03:26
SHOT
Power play - Claude Giroux shot blocked by teammate
P1 02:08
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Casey Cizikas saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 02:05
Senators won faceoff against Matthew Schaefer in defensive zone
P1 01:20
Takeaway by Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
P1 01:03
SHOT
Scott Mayfield shot blocked by Jordan Spence
P1 01:02
Giveaway by Thomas Chabot in defensive zone
P1 00:46
Stoppage - Offside
P1 00:33
Giveaway by Artem Zub in defensive zone
P1 00:29
Stoppage - Icing
P1 00:08
Giveaway by Tony DeAngelo in defensive zone
P1 00:01
Penalty to Anders Lee 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Brady Tkachuk)
P1 00:00
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
Stats
Senators
STATS
Islanders
16Shots on Goal23
55% Faceoff Win % 45%
5/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/0
15Penalty Infraction Mins15
27Hits26
15Shots Blocked12
12Giveaways10
SenatorsOTT
IslandersNYI
16Shots on Goal23
55% Faceoff Win % 45%
5/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/0
15Penalty Infraction Mins15
27Hits26
15Shots Blocked12
12Giveaways10

Game Prediction Article

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Senators vs. Islanders: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Senators vs. Islanders
  • Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: UBS Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Senators favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Senators -121, Islanders +118

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Senators: 54%
  • Islanders: 46%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Senators a win probability of 54%, while the Islanders have a win probability of 46%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at UBS Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Senators vs. Islanders predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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