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Lightning vs. Bruins Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Bruins NHL game on April 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
2
1
Apr 11, 4:30PM TD Garden
Apr 11, 4:30PM TD Garden
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Bruins | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Bruins | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
P3 19:32 Power play - Morgan Geekie shot blocked by teammate
P3 18:22 Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 17:15 Shot missed by Tanner Jeannot
P3 16:31 J.J. Moser shot blocked by Morgan Geekie
P3 13:43 Declan Carlile shot blocked by Sean Kuraly
P3 13:19 Shot on goal by Mark Kastelic saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 12:01 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 11:08 Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by teammate
P3 10:22 Shot on goal by Casey Mittelstadt saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 10:04 Shot on goal by Corey Perry saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 07:02 J.J. Moser shot blocked by teammate
P3 05:34 Shorthanded - Shot missed by Mark Kastelic
P3 03:25 Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 02:03 Nick Paul shot blocked by Mason Lohrei
P2 19:53 Shot missed by David Pastrnak
P2 18:02 Shot on goal by Viktor Arvidsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 17:09 Shot missed by Tanner Jeannot
P2 16:44 Shot missed by Jonathan Aspirot
P2 15:40 Shot on goal by Michael Eyssimont saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 15:40 Shot missed by Michael Eyssimont
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Power play - Morgan Geekie shot blocked by teammate
Penalty to Brandon Hagel 2 minutes for Misconduct
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jeremy Swayman
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Fraser Minten in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Tanner Jeannot
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Morgan Geekie
Gage Goncalves credited with hit on Hampus Lindholm in defensive zone
SHOT
Declan Carlile shot blocked by Sean Kuraly
Declan Carlile won faceoff against Sean Kuraly in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Kastelic saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jeremy Swayman
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by teammate
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Casey Mittelstadt saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Corey Perry saved by Jeremy Swayman
Ryan McDonagh credited with hit on Mark Kastelic in neutral zone
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Bruins in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by teammate
Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Mark Kastelic
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Marat Khusnutdinov in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Shorthanded - Mark Kastelic won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Shorthanded - Fraser Minten won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Penalty to Elias Lindholm 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Jake Guentzel)
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Jeremy Swayman
Lightning won faceoff against Bruins in neutral zone
SHOT
Nick Paul shot blocked by Mason Lohrei
Takeaway by Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by David Pastrnak
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in defensive zone
Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Viktor Arvidsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Tanner Jeannot
SHOT
Shot missed by Jonathan Aspirot
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Eyssimont saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Eyssimont
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
Brayden Point won faceoff against Marat Khusnutdinov in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonathan Aspirot saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Viktor Arvidsson
Mark Kastelic credited with hit on Nick Paul in offensive zone
Giveaway by Mason Lohrei in defensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Fraser Minten in neutral zone
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Morgan Geekie
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
Shot missed by Viktor Arvidsson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Kastelic saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Mark Kastelic
Giveaway by Charle-Edouard D'Astous in defensive zone
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Jeremy Swayman
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Kastelic saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Mark Kastelic
SHOT
Nikita Zadorov shot blocked by Erik Cernak
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Eyssimont
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Jonathan Aspirot
Lightning won faceoff against Bruins in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Lightning won faceoff against Bruins in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Jeremy Swayman
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Andrew Peeke
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
Erik Cernak won faceoff against Bruins in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Elias Lindholm saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Brayden Point won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Andrew Peeke shot blocked by teammate
Conor Geekie won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Tanner Jeannot
Declan Carlile credited with hit on Fraser Minten in defensive zone
Declan Carlile credited with hit on Fraser Minten in neutral zone
Fraser Minten won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Fraser Minten saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
Giveaway by Conor Geekie in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Viktor Arvidsson
Nick Paul won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in neutral zone
SHOT
Charlie McAvoy shot blocked by Gage Goncalves
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
SHOT
Shot missed by Marat Khusnutdinov
SHOT
Elias Lindholm shot blocked by J.J. Moser
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Sabourin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pavel Zacha saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Jonathan Aspirot shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
David Pastrnak credited with hit on Charle-Edouard D'Astous in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 24 | Shots on Goal | 20 | |||
| 38% | Faceoff Win % | 62% | |||
| 1/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 1/0 | |||
| 4 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 27 | Hits | 23 | |||
| 14 | Shots Blocked | 13 | |||
| 20 | Giveaways | 18 |
| |
|---|
| 24 | Shots on Goal | 20 | |||
| 38% | Faceoff Win % | 62% | |||
| 1/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 1/0 | |||
| 4 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 27 | Hits | 23 | |||
| 14 | Shots Blocked | 13 | |||
| 20 | Giveaways | 18 |
Game Prediction Article
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Lightning vs. Bruins: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Lightning vs. Bruins
- Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
- Time: 12:30 PM ET
- Venue: TD Garden
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Lightning -105, Bruins +105
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Lightning: 53%
- Bruins: 47%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 53%, while the Bruins have a win probability of 47%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Bruins in the NHL game at TD Garden on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Lightning vs. Bruins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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