Blackhawks vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Blackhawks vs. Lightning NHL game on October 23, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Blackhawks
3
2
Benchmark International Arena
Lightning
Benchmark International Arena
TEAM123T
Blackhawks
1 1 1 3
Lightning
0 2 0 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Blackhawks
    100%
  • Lightning
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Blackhawks
1 1 1 3
Lightning
0 2 0 2
P3 19:56 Brayden Point shot blocked by Alex Vlasic
P3 19:49 Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by teammate
P3 19:06 Goal scored by Ryan Donato assisted by Frank Nazar and Teuvo Teravainen
P3 19:04 Shot on goal by Frank Nazar saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:45 Shot on goal by Ryan Donato saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 16:41 Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Spencer Knight
P3 16:06 Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Spencer Knight
P3 15:20 Power play - Shot missed by Victor Hedman
P3 14:09 Shot on goal by Ryan Greene saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 13:12 Power play - Shot on goal by Connor Bedard saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 12:48 Power play - Shot on goal by Frank Nazar saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 12:16 Shot on goal by Ilya Mikheyev saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 12:07 Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Spencer Knight
P3 11:45 Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Spencer Knight
P3 11:19 Shot on goal by Ryan Donato saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 10:27 Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
P3 09:51 Power play - Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P3 09:20 Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Spencer Knight
P3 09:09 Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Spencer Knight
P3 08:31 Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:58
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  3. P3 19:57
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Nick Foligno in offensive zone
  4. P3 19:56
    SHOT
    Brayden Point shot blocked by Alex Vlasic
  5. P3 19:54
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  6. P3 19:53
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Foligno in offensive zone
  7. P3 19:49
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by teammate
  8. P3 19:46
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Nick Foligno in offensive zone
  9. P3 19:46
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  10. P3 19:06
    Nick Foligno won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  11. P3 19:06
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Ryan Donato assisted by Frank Nazar and Teuvo Teravainen
    3-2
  12. P3 19:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Frank Nazar saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  13. P3 18:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Donato saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  14. P3 16:43
    Dominic James won faceoff against Nick Foligno in offensive zone
  15. P3 16:43
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  16. P3 16:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Spencer Knight
  17. P3 16:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Spencer Knight
  18. P3 15:20
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Victor Hedman
  19. P3 14:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Greene saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  20. P3 13:38
    Ryan Greene won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  21. P3 13:38
    Penalty to Sam Rinzel 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by J.J. Moser)
  22. P3 13:12
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Connor Bedard saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  23. P3 12:48
    Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Frank Nazar in defensive zone
  24. P3 12:48
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Frank Nazar saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  25. P3 12:48
    Penalty to Emil Lilleberg 2 minutes for Misconduct
  26. P3 12:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ilya Mikheyev saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  27. P3 12:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Spencer Knight
  28. P3 11:49
    Nick Foligno won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
  29. P3 11:49
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  30. P3 11:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Spencer Knight
  31. P3 11:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Donato saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  32. P3 10:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
  33. P3 09:51
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
  34. P3 09:20
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Spencer Knight
  35. P3 09:11
    Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Frank Nazar in offensive zone
  36. P3 09:11
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  37. P3 09:09
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Spencer Knight
  38. P3 08:31
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
  39. P3 08:21
    Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Nick Foligno in offensive zone
  40. P3 08:21
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  41. P3 08:21
    Penalty to Landon Slaggert 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Brayden Point)
  42. P3 07:53
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Sam Rinzel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  43. P3 07:41
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Sam Rinzel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  44. P3 06:18
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Colton Dach
  45. P3 05:35
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Artyom Levshunov
  46. P3 05:29
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Colton Dach
  47. P3 05:01
    Power play - Connor Bedard won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  48. P3 05:01
    Stoppage - High Stick
  49. P3 04:54
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Frank Nazar saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  50. P3 04:40
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Teuvo Teravainen
  51. P3 04:26
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Sam Rinzel
  52. P3 04:14
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Teuvo Teravainen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  53. P3 04:00
    Power play - Nick Foligno won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  54. P3 04:00
    Penalty to Yanni Gourde 2 minutes for Misconduct
  55. P3 03:43
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Teuvo Teravainen
  56. P3 02:36
    Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Frank Nazar in defensive zone
  57. P3 02:36
    Penalty to Darren Raddysh 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Wyatt Kaiser)
  58. P3 02:24
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Connor Bedard in offensive zone
  59. P3 02:24
    Stoppage - Icing
  60. P3 02:14
    Connor Bedard won faceoff against Oliver Bjorkstrand in defensive zone
  61. P3 02:14
    Stoppage - Icing
  62. P3 02:01
    SHOT
    Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Connor Bedard
  63. P3 01:21
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Connor Bedard in neutral zone
  64. P3 01:21
    Stoppage - Offside
  65. P3 01:13
    SHOT
    Erik Cernak shot blocked by Sam Rinzel
  66. P3 01:06
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Frank Nazar in offensive zone
  67. P3 01:06
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  68. P3 01:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Spencer Knight
  69. P3 00:52
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Frank Nazar in neutral zone
  70. P3 00:52
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  71. P3 00:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Landon Slaggert saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  72. P3 00:23
    SHOT
    Victor Hedman shot blocked by teammate
  73. P3 00:00
    Dominic James won faceoff against Nick Foligno in neutral zone
  74. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  75. P2 19:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brayden Point
  76. P2 19:38
    SHOT
    Sam Rinzel shot blocked by Jake Guentzel
  77. P2 19:32
    SHOT
    Sam Rinzel shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
  78. P2 19:18
    Frank Nazar won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
  79. P2 19:16
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Ryan McDonagh assisted by Nikita Kucherov
    2-2
  80. P2 17:59
    Nick Foligno won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
  81. P2 17:59
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  82. P2 17:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Bertuzzi saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  83. P2 16:59
    SHOT
    J.J. Moser shot blocked by Lukas Reichel
  84. P2 16:51
    SHOT
    Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Louis Crevier
  85. P2 16:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
  86. P2 16:19
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Lukas Reichel in offensive zone
  87. P2 16:19
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  88. P2 16:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Spencer Knight
  89. P2 15:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Landon Slaggert saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  90. P2 14:50
    Nick Foligno won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
  91. P2 14:50
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  92. P2 14:31
    Connor Bedard won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
  93. P2 14:31
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  94. P2 14:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor Bedard saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  95. P2 13:15
    SHOT
    Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Ilya Mikheyev
  96. P2 13:02
    SHOT
    Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Alex Vlasic
  97. P2 12:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
  98. P2 12:51
    SHOT
    Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Alex Vlasic
  99. P2 12:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Spencer Knight
  100. P2 12:27
    Oliver Bjorkstrand won faceoff against Frank Nazar in neutral zone
  101. P2 12:27
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  102. P2 11:38
    Landon Slaggert credited with hit on Dominic James in defensive zone
  103. P2 11:10
    Dominic James won faceoff against Nick Foligno in neutral zone
  104. P2 11:10
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  105. P2 11:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Vlasic saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  106. P2 10:25
    Ryan Greene won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  107. P2 10:25
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  108. P2 10:16
    Ryan Greene won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
  109. P2 10:16
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Ryan Donato assisted by Lukas Reichel
    2-1
  110. P2 09:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
  111. P2 09:00
    SHOT
    J.J. Moser shot blocked by teammate
  112. P2 08:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dominic James
  113. P2 08:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Spencer Knight
  114. P2 08:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Curtis Douglas
  115. P2 08:25
    Nick Foligno won faceoff against Mitchell Chaffee in defensive zone
  116. P2 08:25
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  117. P2 08:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Spencer Knight
  118. P2 08:11
    SHOT
    Sam Rinzel shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
  119. P2 07:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Murphy
  120. P2 07:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Vlasic saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  121. P2 06:57
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Nick Foligno in neutral zone
  122. P2 06:57
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jake Guentzel assisted by Ryan McDonagh and Nikita Kucherov
    1-1
  123. P2 06:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  124. P2 06:30
    SHOT
    Darren Raddysh shot blocked by teammate
  125. P2 06:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Spencer Knight
  126. P2 05:51
    Dominic James won faceoff against Lukas Reichel in defensive zone
  127. P2 05:51
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  128. P2 05:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Bedard
  129. P2 05:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Bedard
  130. P2 05:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Artyom Levshunov
  131. P2 04:52
    Nick Foligno won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  132. P2 04:52
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  133. P2 04:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Spencer Knight
  134. P2 04:46
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Frank Nazar in offensive zone
  135. P2 04:46
    Stoppage - Icing
  136. P2 04:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Spencer Knight
  137. P2 04:20
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Frank Nazar in defensive zone
  138. P2 04:20
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  139. P2 04:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ilya Mikheyev
  140. P2 03:41
    SHOT
    Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Connor Murphy
  141. P2 03:25
    Dominic James won faceoff against Nick Foligno in offensive zone
  142. P2 03:25
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  143. P2 03:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Spencer Knight
  144. P2 03:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  145. P2 02:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by J.J. Moser
  146. P2 02:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Victor Hedman
  147. P2 02:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Spencer Knight
  148. P2 01:17
    SHOT
    Alex Vlasic shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
  149. P2 00:00
    Nick Foligno won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
  150. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  151. P1 18:56
    Oliver Bjorkstrand won faceoff against Connor Bedard in neutral zone
  152. P1 18:56
    Stoppage - Offside
  153. P1 17:02
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Ilya Mikheyev shot blocked by Victor Hedman
  154. P1 17:02
    Shorthanded - Frank Nazar won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  155. P1 17:02
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  156. P1 16:43
    Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Ilya Mikheyev in offensive zone
  157. P1 16:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Spencer Knight
  158. P1 16:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
  159. P1 15:46
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Connor Bedard in defensive zone
  160. P1 15:46
    Penalty to Jake Guentzel 2 minutes for Misconduct
  161. P1 15:10
    Shorthanded - Frank Nazar won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  162. P1 15:10
    Penalty to Nick Foligno 2 minutes for Unsportsmanlike Conduct
  163. P1 15:10
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  164. P1 15:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Spencer Knight
  165. P1 14:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Colton Dach
  166. P1 14:05
    SHOT
    Connor Bedard shot blocked by J.J. Moser
  167. P1 13:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Spencer Knight
  168. P1 13:38
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Connor Murphy
  169. P1 13:36
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Ryan Greene in offensive zone
  170. P1 13:36
    Stoppage - Icing
  171. P1 13:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Spencer Knight
  172. P1 12:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Spencer Knight
  173. P1 12:07
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Frank Nazar in defensive zone
  174. P1 12:07
    Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
  175. P1 11:27
    SHOT
    Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Colton Dach
  176. P1 10:41
    Nick Foligno won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  177. P1 10:40
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Frank Nazar
  178. P1 10:26
    Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Frank Nazar in defensive zone
  179. P1 10:26
    Penalty to Emil Lilleberg 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Landon Slaggert)
  180. P1 09:52
    Ryan Greene won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
  181. P1 09:52
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  182. P1 09:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Spencer Knight
  183. P1 09:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Victor Hedman
  184. P1 08:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Colton Dach
  185. P1 08:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Foligno saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  186. P1 06:36
    SHOT
    Matt Grzelcyk shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
  187. P1 06:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Colton Dach saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  188. P1 05:42
    SHOT
    Victor Hedman shot blocked by Lukas Reichel
  189. P1 05:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Spencer Knight
  190. P1 04:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  191. P1 03:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Wyatt Kaiser saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  192. P1 03:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Spencer Knight
  193. P1 03:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Frank Nazar saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  194. P1 03:20
    Stoppage - Icing
  195. P1 02:23
    Mitchell Chaffee won faceoff against Nick Foligno in offensive zone
  196. P1 02:23
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  197. P1 01:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Frank Nazar saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  198. P1 01:44
    Frank Nazar won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  199. P1 01:44
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  200. P1 00:31
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Connor Bedard in offensive zone
  201. P1 00:31
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  202. P1 00:00
    Nick Foligno won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
  203. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Blackhawks
STATS
Lightning
25Shots on Goal31
39% Faceoff Win % 61%
5/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
8Penalty Infraction Mins12
18Hits18
15 Shots Blocked 7
14Giveaways12
BlackhawksCHI
LightningTB
25Shots on Goal31
39% Faceoff Win % 61%
5/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
8Penalty Infraction Mins12
18Hits18
15 Shots Blocked 7
14Giveaways12

Blackhawks vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Blackhawks vs. Lightning
  • Date: Thursday, October 23, 2025
  • Time: 6:45 PM ET
  • Venue: Benchmark International Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Blackhawks +260, Lightning -315

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Blackhawks: 30%
  • Lightning: 70%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Blackhawks a win probability of 30%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 70%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Blackhawks in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Blackhawks vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.