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Capitals vs. Golden Knights Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Capitals vs. Golden Knights NHL game on March 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
5
4
Mar 29, 2:30AM T-Mobile Arena
Mar 29, 2:30AM T-Mobile Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Capitals | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
Golden Knights | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Capitals | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
Golden Knights | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
OT1 03:18 Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Adin Hill
OT1 02:10 Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Adin Hill
OT1 01:29 Shot on goal by Cole Hutson saved by Adin Hill
P3 18:33 Rasmus Andersson shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
P3 17:24 Mitch Marner shot blocked by teammate
P3 17:05 Shot missed by Jack Eichel
P3 16:32 Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Logan Thompson
P3 16:09 Shot on goal by Mark Stone saved by Logan Thompson
P3 15:28 Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Adin Hill
P3 14:29 Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Keegan Kolesar
P3 13:56 Connor McMichael shot blocked by Shea Theodore
P3 12:02 Shot missed by Martin Fehervary
P3 10:32 Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Adin Hill
P3 08:54 Power play - Goal scored by Dylan Strome assisted by Cole Hutson and Alex Ovechkin
P3 07:53 Power play - Pierre-Luc Dubois shot blocked by Noah Hanifin
P3 07:32 Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Adin Hill
P3 07:08 Power play - Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Adin Hill
P3 07:07 Power play - Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by teammate
P3 06:29 Power play - Shot missed by Rasmus Andersson
P3 06:16 Power play - Shea Theodore shot blocked by Brandon Duhaime
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of Shootout period.
Shootout attempt by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Logan Thompson
Shootout attempt missed by Pierre-Luc Dubois
Shootout attempt by Rasmus Andersson saved by Logan Thompson
Shootout Goal scored by Dylan Strome on Adin Hill
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
Penalty to Noah Hanifin 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Justin Sourdif)
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Brett Howden in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Giveaway by Mark Stone in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Adin Hill
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Brett Howden in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Adin Hill
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Shea Theodore in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Hutson saved by Adin Hill
Takeaway by Rasmus Sandin in defensive zone
End of 3rd Period.
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Rasmus Andersson shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by teammate
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Eichel
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Logan Thompson
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Mitch Marner in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Stone saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Adin Hill
Pavel Dorofeyev credited with hit on Martin Fehervary in defensive zone
SHOT
Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Keegan Kolesar
SHOT
Connor McMichael shot blocked by Shea Theodore
Giveaway by Reilly Smith in offensive zone
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Colton Sissons in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Martin Fehervary
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Brett Howden in defensive zone
Giveaway by Keegan Kolesar in neutral zone
Giveaway by Reilly Smith in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Adin Hill
Tom Wilson credited with hit on Mark Stone in defensive zone
Giveaway by Brett Howden in offensive zone
Hendrix Lapierre credited with hit on Pavel Dorofeyev in neutral zone
Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Mitch Marner in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Dylan Strome assisted by Cole Hutson and Alex Ovechkin
4-4
Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Pierre-Luc Dubois shot blocked by Noah Hanifin
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Adin Hill
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Adin Hill
SHOT
Power play - Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by teammate
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Mitch Marner 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Connor McMichael)
Capitals won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Rasmus Andersson
SHOT
Power play - Shea Theodore shot blocked by Brandon Duhaime
Shorthanded - Anthony Beauvillier won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Penalty to Dylan Strome 4 minutes for High Sticking
SHOT
Shot missed by Shea Theodore
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitch Marner
SHOT
Capitals shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Logan Thompson
Tom Wilson credited with hit on Rasmus Andersson in neutral zone
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Brett Howden in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Mitch Marner
3-4
Shorthanded - Anthony Beauvillier won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Penalty to Tom Wilson 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Cole Smith)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Smith saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Cole Smith shot blocked by Dylan Strome
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Nic Dowd in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitch Marner
Capitals won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
Giveaway by Mitch Marner in defensive zone
Brett Howden credited with hit on Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Jeremy Lauzon
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Colton Sissons saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Justin Sourdif
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Colton Sissons in offensive zone
Penalty to Keegan Kolesar 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Dylan Strome)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Hanifin saved by Logan Thompson
Brayden McNabb credited with hit on Ryan Leonard in defensive zone
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Brett Howden in defensive zone
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Brett Howden in neutral zone
Stoppage - Icing
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
Brett Howden won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in offensive zone
Power play - Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
Capitals won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Shorthanded - Noah Hanifin credited with hit on Connor McMichael in defensive zone
SHOT
Keegan Kolesar shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
SHOT
Cole Smith shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Mitch Marner in defensive zone
Brandon Duhaime credited with hit on Jeremy Lauzon in offensive zone
Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
Tomas Hertl credited with hit on Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Colton Sissons
Power play - Jack Eichel won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Power play - Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
Capitals won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Dylan Strome shot blocked by Colton Sissons
Shorthanded - Colton Sissons won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Penalty to Brett Howden 2 minutes for Holding
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Duhaime
SHOT
Shot missed by Shea Theodore
Giveaway by Rasmus Andersson in offensive zone
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Colton Sissons won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Pierre-Luc Dubois shot blocked by Rasmus Andersson
Capitals won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Eichel
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
Cole Smith credited with hit on Rasmus Sandin in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden McNabb saved by Logan Thompson
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tomas Hertl saved by Logan Thompson
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in offensive zone
SHOT
Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Reilly Smith saved by Logan Thompson
Takeaway by Colton Sissons in offensive zone
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Mitch Marner in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Capitals won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Golden Knights
SHOT
Shot missed by Jeremy Lauzon
SHOT
Shot on goal by Capitals saved by Adin Hill
SHOT
Shot missed by Rasmus Sandin
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in offensive zone
SHOT
Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Jeremy Lauzon
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Hendrix Lapierre
1-0
Takeaway by Cole Hutson in defensive zone
Giveaway by Cole Hutson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Adin Hill
SHOT
Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Cole Smith
SHOT
Ivan Barbashev shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
Brandon Duhaime won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in neutral zone
Stoppage - High Stick
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Stone saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Mark Stone shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Strome
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 21 | Shots on Goal | 29 | |||
| 48% | Faceoff Win % | 52% | |||
| 6/2 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/1 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 12 | |||
| 18 | Hits | 15 | |||
| 13 | Shots Blocked | 11 | |||
| 20 | Giveaways | 20 |
| |
|---|
| 21 | Shots on Goal | 29 | |||
| 48% | Faceoff Win % | 52% | |||
| 6/2 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/1 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 12 | |||
| 18 | Hits | 15 | |||
| 13 | Shots Blocked | 11 | |||
| 20 | Giveaways | 20 |
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Capitals vs. Golden Knights: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Capitals vs. Golden Knights
- Date: Saturday, March 28, 2026
- Time: 10:30 PM ET
- Venue: T-Mobile Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Golden Knights favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Capitals +140, Golden Knights -135
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Capitals: 44%
- Golden Knights: 56%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Capitals a win probability of 44%, while the Golden Knights have a win probability of 56%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Golden Knights are more likely to beat the Capitals in the NHL game at T-Mobile Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Capitals vs. Golden Knights predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
